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Nickel Prices Shoot Up Due to Supply Lagging Behind Robust Demand

nickel prices

Nickel Prices Shoot Up Due to Supply Lagging Behind Robust Demand

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Nickel – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

Nickel prices skyrocketed on the expectations of a shortage on the global market provoked by the increase in demand that outpaces the supply growth. The rebound in the steel industry and rising electric vehicle manufacturing drive nickel consumption. Pandemic-related lockdowns in the first half of 2020 and the related uncertainty led to a decrease in the global nickel mine output by -4% y-o-y. Despite this, refined nickel production increased by +2% y-o-y, boosted by the recovering demand from mid-2020 and the use of secondary smelting. Indonesia, the largest nickel ore producer worldwide, banned exports of the ore and thus achieved a record output of refined nickel. 

Key Trends and Insights

According to World Bank, the average nickel price in the first half of 2021 reached $17,489 per tonne, which was 27% higher than the 2020’s average price of $13,787 per tonne. Rising demand from the recovering steel industry and from emerging electric car manufacturing provokes the price rally, while the supply is expected to be insufficient in the immediate term due to a decrease in the mined output.

In the first half of 2020, global demand for nickel decreased, following the pronounced slump in steel output. From Q3 2020, it started to recover, driven by the Chinese and Indonesian stainless steel and nickel pig iron sectors. Thanks to this, global refined nickel production grew by 2% in 2020, with the use of recycled nickel enabled to offset the shortage of mined ores.

Global nickel mine output in 2020 fell from 2.6M to 2.5M tonnes of nickel content, following the pronounced slump in steel output in the first half of the year. The U.S. (+18.5%), Australia (+6.9%), Brazil (+21.6%) and Russia (+0.3%) observed an increase in nickel ore mining in 2020, while in Canada (-17%), the Dominican Republic (-17.4%), and Indonesia (-10.9%), output slumped significantly.

Indonesia, the leading global producer of nickel ore, reduced its volume of mine production from 853К to 760К tonnes, banned the export of unprocessed nickel ore and increased the refined nickel production to 636K tonnes. This should help Indonesia to emerge as the largest refined nickel producer worldwide, displacing China from the current leader’s position.

Demand from growing stainless steel production will be the main driver of the nickel market in the medium term. Another impact comes from the rapid expansion of the electric vehicle industry. New types of energy-efficient electric vehicle batteries that are being developed use a higher nickel content in the cathode, which will accelerate the consumption growth in this industry.

Global Refined Nickel Production

In 2020, production of refined nickel decreased by -0.5% to 2.6M tonnes for the first time since 2015, thus ending a four-year rising trend. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% from 2012 to 2020. In value terms, nickel production stood at $38.5B in 2020 estimated in export prices.

The countries with the highest volumes of refined nickel production in 2020 were China (725K tonnes), Indonesia (636K tonnes) and Russia (236K tonnes), together comprising 61% of global production.

From 2012 to 2020, the most notable rate of growth in terms of refined nickel production, amongst the leading producing countries, was attained by Indonesia (+55.7% per year), while nickel production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Global Refined Nickel Imports

In 2020, global nickel imports dropped to 691K tonnes, shrinking by -9.7% on 2019 figures. In value terms, nickel imports shrank to $9.4B (IndexBox estimates) in 2020.

China represented the largest importer of nickel in the world, with the volume of imports accounting for 214K tonnes, which was approx. 31% of total imports in 2020. The U.S. (90K tonnes) held the second position in the ranking, followed by Germany (57K tonnes), the Netherlands (37K tonnes) and Japan (32K tonnes). All these countries together took near 31% share of total imports. The following importers – India (31K tonnes), Italy (30K tonnes), South Korea (27K tonnes), Taiwan (Chinese) (24K tonnes), Sweden (20K tonnes), Belgium (16K tonnes), Austria (15K tonnes) and Spain (14K tonnes) – together made up 26% of total imports.

In value terms, China ($2.7B) constitutes the largest market for imported nickel worldwide, comprising 29% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by the U.S. ($1.2B), with a 13% share of global imports. It was followed by Germany, with an 8.1% share.

In 2020, the average nickel import price amounted to $13,651 per tonne, shrinking by -3.5% against the previous year. Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major importing countries. In 2020, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in Austria ($14,894 per tonne) and Japan ($14,825 per tonne), while China ($12,827 per tonne) and Sweden ($13,194 per tonne) were amongst the lowest.

Source: IndexBox Platform

sawnwood

Prices in the American Sawnwood Market Went Through the Roof Amid Construction Boom

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘U.S. Sawmill Products Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2025’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

In 2020, the construction boom in the U.S. set off an unprecedented demand for sawnwood, outpacing the rate of recovery from disruptions due to Covid. With stocks depleting, product prices have skyrocketed over the previous year. From February 2021, lumber mill utilization began to fall following a softened activity in the construction sector. According to the results of the year, growth in the sawnwood market is predicted, stimulated by a continuing increase in construction.

Key Trends and Insights

The construction boom in the U.S. has driven a record demand for sawnwood in 2020. Throughout the year lumber mills were at 80-90% utilization. Sawnwood production increased by 5% y-o-y compared to 2019 and reached 71M tonnes. Lumber futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange peaked at $1,515 in May 2021, up 300% from the same period in 2020.

The maximum utilization of lumber mill capacities was suitable in January 2021 (92%), but in February it dropped to 83%, and lumber production declined due to a curtailment in demand from the construction sector. Despite the record demand for new housing, construction companies are slowing down their activity due to land shortages, rapidly growing material costs and labor shortages.

In March 2021, there was a drop in sales for single-family houses, which was caused by a shortage of ready-made houses on the market. In some areas, the situation is so tense that some buyers are applying for all free lots, which very quickly sell out. Against the background of increased demand, housing prices continue to rise, which alongside rising food prices, accelerates inflation.

The high vaccination rate in the U.S. allows to expect a gradual return to normal activities, which will support economic growth. The housing shortage will remain in the coming years, which will stimulate growth in construction and increase the demand for sawnwood. The American sawnwood market is expected to grow at an average annual CAGR of 3.4% and to reach 101M tonnes by 2030.

American Sawnwood Market Size

The U.S. sawmill product market was estimated at $28.7B in 2020, increasing by 4.1% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% from 2013 to 2020.

Imports into the U.S.

In 2020, supplies from abroad of sawmill products decreased by -11.2% to 9.3M tonnes, falling for the second consecutive year after three years of growth. In value terms, sawmill product imports totaled $5.8B (IndexBox estimates) in 2020.

In 2020, Canada (8.6M tonnes) was the main supplier of sawmill product to the U.S., accounting for a 92% share of total imports. It was followed by Brazil (258K tonnes), with a 2.8% share of total imports.

In value terms, Canada ($5.2B) constituted the largest supplier of sawmill product to the U.S., comprising 90% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Brazil ($128M), with a 2.2% share of total imports.

In 2020, the average sawmill product import price amounted to $626 per tonne, picking up by 13% against the previous year. Over the last seven years, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.4%.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major supplying countries. In 2020, the country with the highest price was Canada ($612 per tonne), while the price for Brazil amounted to $496 per tonne. From 2013 to 2020, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada.

Source: IndexBox Platform

ocean freight

KEELVAR SAYS ITS OCEAN AND AIR FREIGHT AI WILL REVOLUTIONIZE PROCUREMENT

Bots are everywhere these days. They play poker against you and help you order a pizza. They assist in getting you hotel reservations and chat with you when you contact customer service to find out why your pizza had extra onions instead of extra cheese. And now, thanks to Cork, Ireland-based Keelvar, they can all but take over a company’s ocean and air freight procurement.

There’s no question air cargo really needs help right now, given the volatility in the market. Capacity is down, way down—nearly 40 percent from China in mid-February, 20 percent over the last year as a whole. Ocean capacity has also dropped. Meanwhile, demand has been rising, due to the pandemic. Optimizing sourcing at a time when rates, transit times and carriers are changing so rapidly is challenging for even the largest firms. 

For Keelvar, there are few better times to unleash their bots.

“We’ve been helping shippers to find ways to bring the product to market faster,” says Keelvar CEO Alan Holland. “It’s automated—that’s what’s different about what we’re doing. A bot can go to work as soon as someone wants to move something, say, from Montevideo to New York. It’s always available. That’s the biggest competitive advantage.”

The bots that Keelvar and many other companies make these days are simply software that automates specialized tasks. Keelvar calls the artificial intelligence (AI) bots it makes Sourcing Automation, which it defined in a June 2018 white paper as “a new category of software that leverages intelligent systems to automate complex human reasoning that exceeds expert standards.” 

Holland likens his bots to those that entered the world of online poker a few years ago. The earliest poker bots could play the game well, but couldn’t best professional players. But as the software evolved, the AI learned how to play better. Today, even the best poker champions in the world can’t beat the latest generation of poker bots. Holland’s goal, which he articulated in the white paper, is creating software that performs sourcing work for companies better than the experts in the field.

“The sobering fact is that AI is defeating the best human experts in most tasks where the boundaries and constraints on decision making are well-defined closed systems,” states the Keelvar white paper. “It would be a mistake to assume that AI won’t be competitive in the task of strategic sourcing and then ultimately overtake humans in this role. Once the boundaries of decision making are communicated, then the game-theoretic reasoning for optimizing the mechanism for sourcing goods and services becomes just another complex but the tractable calculation for Artificial Intelligence.”

In other words, Keelvar says their bots can automate all bidder communications in sourcing: opening, feedback generation, data cleansing, closing, termination-criteria monitoring, and activation. They basically run a company’s sourcing events, though logistics officials are always free to override the bot’s preferred course of action. Sourcing events can be complex and require the labor of many employees, some with years or decades in the procurement field, but Keelvar’s sourcing automation can basically handle it all.

“This process is tedious to execute manually and the more bidders there are, the more onerous the tasks above become and also the more likely that short-cuts are taken, and mistakes are made,” states Keelvar’s white paper. “Furthermore, the slow pace in manual events leads to curtailment of the rounds of bidding and inevitable lost savings opportunities due to the frictional effect of manual operations.”

What’s more, Keelvar’s ocean freight bots can even account for the pollution emissions of cargo vessels when conducting sourcing events (a feature that will eventually be available on the company’s air cargo bots). “Humans can’t get to that level of detail to do emission-sustainable options,” Holland said.

While the ocean freight bot has been around a year or so, the air freight bot only became available in January. Keelvar says the bot can automate 90 percent of a company’s tactical sourcing processes.

“It’s a natural evolution from our first bot, the ocean freight bot,” Holland said. “There’s a finite set of airport codes, but different logic around recommendations in air freight. Bid sheets are different, and cargo tends to be weight-based, rather than container-based, which is how ocean freight works.”

For Felix Plapperer, a venture capital investor and CEO of Paua Ventures, Keelvar’s sourcing bots will “dominate” the procurement market. Not merely because the bots are inherently more efficient than manual labor, but also because they learn the sourcing job better every time they operate. 

“When a tender/auction is conducted by a bot, the number of actions is between eight and 20, depending on the complexity,” Plapperer wrote in a June 4, 2020, post on Medium on why he invested in Keelvar. “If each bot action costs less than $1, then the cost per event is roughly one or two orders of magnitude (yes, that is 10x to 100x times) cheaper than for an event operated by manual labor. Now, these cost savings only capture the value driven by process automation. As ‘mini-tenders’ are not run by sourcing experts, little to no optimization takes place (in fact, often personal relationships drive the outcome). Sourcing bots, in contrast, analytically optimize each and every event based on business priorities. Thus, they create additional value in reduced spend—every time they are at work.”

Of course, the bots aren’t replacements for a company’s procurement teams, but were designed to work alongside them. Major companies such as BMW, Novartis, Siemens and Coca Cola are already using Keelvar’s bots for their procurement.

Another of Keelvar’s recent customers, McKesson Corp., is an Irving, Texas-based healthcare and pharmaceutical company founded back in 1883. According to Keelvar’s marketing materials, McKesson was on track to save 6 percent of its global freight budget prior to the pandemic, and had already saved 6 percent the year prior, through the use of sourcing optimization products from Keelvar.

“Excel is nice, but it’s not where we need to be,” said Tad Strong, McKesson’s Vice President of Global Operations during a March 2021 webinar hosted by Procurement Leaders. “And over the next few years, we’ve some pretty big plans on making that shift into a more automated, more robust system.” 

So, what does the future hold? Holland wouldn’t comment on whether his company is developing a bot to handle ground freight logistics (though that would be a logical step for the company), but he did say the next generation of artificial intelligence bots are just on the horizon.

“This is all level four automation, but level five automation systems in the future will have more autonomy,” said Holland. “We want the bot to autonomously decide on new carriers. There’s a lot of strategy on negotiating rates. You learn by experience which strategies are best. In level five, the bot learns new strategies.”

Holland said the first of examples of his level five AI bots in ocean freight should appear in the fourth quarter of this year. 

canadian

A Founder’s Guide to Importing with Canadian Fulfillment

Since the year 2010 when it overtook the United States, it is no longer news that China has become the world’s leading nation in terms of manufacturing. The United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) released data that estimated China’s contribution to global manufacturing in 2019 at a massive 28.7 percent. This has turned the attention of many ambitious entrepreneurs to the East where the most populous nation on earth presents itself as an irresistible manufacturing market.

On the other hand, the trade war between the US and China – which has seen both parties slap heavy tariffs on each other’s goods has made it economically difficult to import goods directly from China, and by extension frustrating the efforts of American businesses that are trying to explore the Chinese market.

So, how can the American entrepreneurs that want to take advantage of the booming Chinese market beat the harsh economic demands of direct importation from China? The answer is in taking Canada as a smart China-to-US route and leveraging Section 321 and Canadian Fulfillment.

What is Section 321 and how does it work?

Section 321 is one of the most common US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) statutes known by ecommerce businesses. Introduced in 2019, the section authorizes low-value merchandise below the minimum of $800 to be exempted from paying custom duties or taxes.

What does Canadian fulfillment mean?

Canadian fulfillment companies are third-party companies in Canada that receive and provide warehousing and logistic services, as well as handle the shipping processes, checking in imported stock for business organizations, and helping them to deliver orders directly to their customers. Their delivery service makes sure the processing and shipping of orders to the US are carried out on the same day just as would be the case from a store in the States.

How do you take full advantage of Section 321 through Canadian fulfillment?

As mentioned above, Section 321 is a bridge for direct importation from China to the US. It is important to note, however, Section 321 alone, is not enough. There are certain conditions and best practices that could make the process tedious and difficult for business owners to ship their goods through the border. These conditions, if not complied with, may also lead to serious punishments and delays in shipment.

Here is how you as an entrepreneur that has an ecommerce business can take advantage of Canadian fulfillment, maximize the benefits of section 321 and bypass its constraints:

1. Importers are only allowed to claim Section 321 once daily. If you are going to be importing goods that are worth above the $800 value threshold (which is very likely), this means you will not be able to ship your entire goods through the US border all at once. As an entrepreneur, using the services of a Canadian fulfillment company will aid in maintaining business-to-customer and business-to-business delivery operations across the border at an economy-friendly cost, and without having to worry about the import duty and tax.

2. Apart from the daily limit, the logistic effort of receiving very large ecommerce shipments from China, shipping them to the U.S., and the cost of transporting them to your warehouse could be very overwhelming and unnecessary. E-commerce business owners have settled with using the warehousing services of Canadian fulfillment to save cost and prevent stress.

3. An entrepreneur that does not have to worry about the logistic and warehousing aspect of their business would have the opportunity of focusing on other things.

Summarily, leveraging on Section 321 through Canadian fulfillment can help entrepreneurs conveniently maximize their exploits in the Chinese market without feeling the economic heat of the trade war.

garlic

Global Garlic Imports Surged But Record Chinese Exports Curb Price Growth

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Garlic – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

Global garlic imports rose by 13% to 2.5M tonnes in 2020, boosted by the increased popularity of home cooking and a widespread reputation that the product helps to strengthen immunity. Indonesia remains the largest global importer, followed by Viet Nam and Malaysia. China dominates global garlic exports, supplying 89% of the total volume. Chinese manufacturers managed to ramp up exports which led to a drop in prices. 

Global Garlic Imports

In 2020, approx. 2.5M tonnes of garlic were imported worldwide; increasing by 13% compared with the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% from 2012 to 2020. In value terms, garlic imports totaled $3B (IndexBox estimates) in 2020.

In 2020, Indonesia (624K tonnes), distantly followed by Viet Nam (254K tonnes), Malaysia (118K tonnes) and Brazil (118K tonnes) represented the major importers of garlic, together making up 44% of total imports. The following importers – Bangladesh (103K tonnes), the U.S. (102K tonnes), Pakistan (101K tonnes), the Philippines (87K tonnes), the United Arab Emirates (70K tonnes), Russia (59K tonnes), Saudi Arabia (53K tonnes), the Netherlands (46K tonnes) and the UK (41K tonnes) – together made up 26% of total imports.

In value terms, Indonesia ($460M), Viet Nam ($305M) and the U.S. ($235M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2020, with a combined 33% share of global imports. Brazil, Malaysia, Pakistan, the UK, the Netherlands, Russia, the Philippines, Bangladesh, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 27%.

Pakistan saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

China dominates the global exports, supplying 89% of the total volume. Chinese garlic supplies hit record highs of near $2B which provides a solid base for the global surge in demand. The Indonesian market for imported garlic is almost entirely met by supplies from China.

The average garlic import price stood at $1,185 per tonne in 2020, falling by -7.1% against the previous year. From 2012 to 2020, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the U.S., while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

Frozen Crustaceans

Spain, France and Italy Comprise Over a Half of $4.6B European Frozen Crustacean Imports

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘EU – Frozen Crustaceans – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

The pandemic-related restrictions insignificantly affected the EU trade of frozen crustaceans. In 2020, imports in the EU countries decreased by -6% y-o-y to $4.6B due to supply chain disruptions and limitations of the HoReCa segment. Spain, France and Italy remain the largest importers of frozen crustaceans in the EU, with a combined share of over 50% of the total value. Germany, Netherlands and France increased their imports in 2020, while most other importers experienced slight declines in supplies. 

Frozen Crustaceans Imports in the EU

In 2020, frozen crustaceans imports in the European Union reduced to 601K tonnes, which is down by -2.7% on the year before. In value terms, frozen crustaceans imports dropped to $4.6B in 2020 (IndexBox estimates).

The countries with the highest levels of frozen crustaceans imports in 2020 were Spain (163K tonnes), France (112K tonnes) and Italy (80K tonnes), together amounting to 59% of total import. The Netherlands (53K tonnes) ranks next in terms of total imports with an 8.8% share, followed by Denmark (8.8%) and Germany (6.8%). Belgium (25K tonnes) held a relatively small share of total imports.

In 2020, Germany (+10.7% y-o-y), Netherlands (+6.6% y-o-y) and France (+5.2% y-o-y) increased their imports, while in most other countries they experienced a negative dynamic.

Over the period from 2012 to 2020, the biggest increases were in the Netherlands, while purchases for the other leaders experienced a decline in the imports figures.

In value terms, Spain ($1.1B), France ($907M) and Italy ($578M) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2020, together accounting for 57% of total imports. The Netherlands, Germany, Denmark and Belgium lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 31%.

The frozen crustaceans import price in the European Union stood at $7,653 per tonne in 2020, falling by -2.6% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2020, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.0%.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2020, the country with the highest price was Germany ($9,845 per tonne), while Denmark ($5,919 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

Source: IndexBox Platform

intermodal transport

5 KEY STATES WITH INTERMODAL TRANSIT HUBS OFFERING SIZABLE ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL ADVANTAGES

In today’s hyper-globalized world, the ease at which goods are moved from A to B in many ways defines how we live and work. 

If you were to take a straw poll of your household or office, the chances of somebody not wearing, carrying or using an item made from components that were produced or assembled hundreds if not thousands of miles away is almost zero. The ease at which we can acquire everything, from food and clothing to tech gadgets and furniture is, largely, taken for granted. 

However, without the non-stop functioning of transportation networks at the local, national and international level, none of this would be possible. And the way in which these networks operate continues to evolve in sophistication, both in terms of routing efficiency, technology leveraged and coordination between players on land, at sea and in the air. 

Indeed, the latter refers to the concept of intermodal transportation. 

In the simplest of terms, intermodal transportation is the use of two or more modes, or carriers, to transport goods from shipper to consignee, without any handling of the freight itself when changing modes. 

A TEU container, for example, could conceivably leave a Chinese factory on a haulage truck to a nearby rail depot, travel by freight train to the nearest seaport, be ferried by container vessel to the U.S. coast, transferred onto a railway line and moved to another depot, before being unloaded onto a truck and driven to its final destination–all without a single hand touching the goods inside. 

Despite the disruption caused by the coronavirus pandemic, the value of such activity is estimated to have hit $25 billion in 2020. As the world’s economy starts to recover, the global intermodal freight transportation industry is forecast to grow at around 15 percent year-on-year between now and 2027, when it is set to be worth $67 billion. 

North America holds a significant share of the global market. The U.S. alone is expected to register at around $6.8 billion for 2020, a figure which should steadily rise given how increasingly dependent intermodal transport activity is on the consumer economy’s demand. 

The region’s rail industry is concentrating on creating new intermodal services that can successfully rival over the road options. 

For instance, in August 2019, Canadian National Railway (CN) and CSX Transportation announced a new intermodal service offering between CN’s greater Montreal and Southern Ontario areas, and the CSX-served ports of New York, New Jersey, Philadelphia and the New York City metropolitan area. 

This intermodal offering is expected to convert long-haul trucks to interline various rail services. Trains will be able to run directly into the center of Toronto and Montreal’s urban markets via CN intermodal yards, making this partnership a natural opportunity for both railroads. 

Meanwhile, there are signs that intermodal activity in the U.S. is bouncing back from the initial COVID-19 slump. 

According to the Association of American Railroads, during the first week of August 2020, 277,054 intermodal shipments were made by U.S. railways, the highest level seen since December 2019 and 30 percent up on the 2020 low in April. 

Around the States: 5 key Intermodal Transit Hubs

The signs are indeed healthy, and many cities and regions across the U.S. are ready to help the country bounce back by increasing throughput of goods once more. 

Critical intermodal transport conduits exist all over the States, from east to west and north to south–without them, supply chains would be far costlier and more difficult to operate seamlessly. Here, we take a look at just five key nodes which provide leading intermodal infrastructure, starting in the Midwest. 

ILLINOIS 

For well over a century, Chicago has acted as a key artery in America’s commercial transport network. Around a quarter of all rail freight calls into the city, either as a final destination or stop on a journey elsewhere, while O’Hare International Airport processes around 2 million metric tons of cargo at a value of approximately $200 billion every year. 

Illinois is also extremely well served by what is North America’s largest inland port in the form of CentrePoint Intermodal Center. Located in the Joliet and Elwood area, around 40 miles southwest of Chicago, it is a 6,400-acre master-planned intermodal development that sees 3 million TEUs pass through it every year. 

It includes a 785-acre Union Pacific Railroad complex just south of Joliet and a 770-acre BNSF railway complex farther to the southwest. Furthermore, it is built with heavyweight roads able to withstand massive pressure and contains a number of other useful features such as water and utility systems, public bus service connections, no restrictions on trailer parking ratios and 24/7 on-site fire and police protection. 

The site constitutes something of an intermodal fortress, and it is currently home to more than 30 tenant companies who between them occupy more than 14 million square feet of space.

TEXAS 

Dallas strategically sits at a crossroads of numerous railroad lines, four major interstate roads and one of the world’s busiest airports, making it among the country’s most important intermodal transport hubs. 

The Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex is a 9,000-square-mile urban center located near the geographic heart of the United States and equally accessible to the East and West coasts. Its location means that around 80 markets can be reached overnight either by road or rail, with major regional business heartlands such as New York, Los Angeles, Toronto and Mexico City all within easy reach, an advantage that few other intermodal nodes can offer. 

Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport considers itself “the nexus of Latin America-Asia transit freight,” and for good reason. In 2019, it saw almost 985,000 tons of international and domestic cargo move through its site and, despite the impact of COVID-19, still recorded more than 870,000 tons of goods in 2020, a drop of around 11.5 percent.

Another important facility is the Wylie Intermodal Terminal. A fairly recent addition to Dallas’ intermodal transport infrastructure (opening in 2015), it is a $64 million development owned by Kansas City Southern Railway (KCS), and it is set to capitalize on significant opportunities in cross-border activity with Mexico. 

Wylie is a city and northeastern suburb of Dallas, with the KCS terminal spanning 500 acres and servicing 12 gulf ports and one Pacific Ocean port, as well as more than 140 transload centers and 11 intermodal ramps. KCS also provides 181 interchange points with other railroads, including all U.S. and Mexico class 1 railroads.

VIRGINIA

Norfolk, Virginia, is home to a vibrant intermodal transport scene thanks to its ability to serve rail, sea and air freight seamlessly. It is built on a formidable maritime history, centered around the enormous naval base on the Chesapeake Bay, a tradition that has very much expanded into the sea freight domain. 

The Port of Virginia, which is situated around two and half hours from the open sea, handled 2,327 vessel calls and departures in 2019, equating to around 3 million TEUs and 55 million tons of cargo worth almost $75 billion. Thanks to the port’s two on-dock class 1 railroads, more than a third of the cargo managed here arrives or departs by rail–this is a higher proportion than any port on the East Coast. 

Logistics firms using Norfolk can also rely on its international airport. It is one of the most efficient cargo operations in Virginia and moves around 30,000 tons of air cargo every year, with the likes of FedEx, Mountain Air and UPS all regular customers. 

CALIFORNIA

Around 2,700 miles due west of Norfolk, you will find Los Angeles, arguably the West Coast’s most important intermodal transport hub. 

Its beating heart is undoubtedly the Port of Los Angeles, a massive seaport covering 7,500 acres of land and water along 43 miles of waterfront that brands itself as America’s Port. Indeed, it is the nation’s No. 1 container port and prides itself on providing a global model for sustainability, security and social responsibility. 

Founded in 1907 as a far smaller operation, today it holds 82 ship-to-shore container cranes spread across 15 marinas with 3,376 recreational vessel slips and dry docks, facilities that enabled it to move 9.2 million TEUs in 2020.   

It adjoins the Port of Long Beach, itself one of the busiest seaports in the world. The operation here houses 68 gantry cranes, which between them move around 7.5 million TEUs every year, all valued at close to $200 billion. 

This is not to forget the contribution of Los Angeles International Airport, the world’s fourth busiest, which handled almost 2.5 million tons of cargo in 2018, FedEx alone is responsible for carrying 16 percent of the freight that moves in and out of the site. 

TENNESSEE 

It is also important to consider the significance of intermodal transport infrastructure away from the coast. Memphis, unlike our other four locations, is situated in a landlocked state (Tennessee) and is home to one of the country’s most active intermodal freight systems.  

Its focal point is Memphis International Airport which, thanks to its heavy use by FedEx, is the top U.S. gateway in terms of cargo weight and the second busiest cargo airport in the world. 

FedEx employs more than 11,000 staff at its Memphis hub and has more than 34 million square feet of space under lease on airport property. The company operates around 400 flights daily and handles over 180,000 packages and 245,000 documents per hour.

In striking distance of Memphis International Airport is America’s fifth-largest inland port–the Port of Memphis. It serves more than 150 industries and moves a rich variety of goods, from petroleum and cement to grain and steel, and can connect to sea, rail, road and air via the Mississippi River, five class 1 railroads, major north-south and east-west interstate highways, and the nearby airport. 

Such is its vital role in facilitating economic activity, it claims to carry an annual economic impact of more than $9.2 billion. Indeed, it refers to itself as “the Mid-South’s best kept industrial and economic secret,” even though it has been operational since the 1950s. 

Exploiting the Intermodal Advantages

These are just five examples of cities and regions enabling supply chain and logistics firms to exploit the numerous advantages offered by intermodal transit hubs. 

Economically, they help to minimize truck movements, which reduces fuel consumption, driver costs and the need to invest in road-based vehicles. Lower fuel consumption also results in fewer carbon dioxide and nitrogen oxide emissions, vital if the country is to drive future development along a sustainable path. 

From an operational perspective, businesses can benefit from more reliable transit times (due to reduced road reliance), elimination of border documentation and hold-ups, reduced impacts from adverse weather and fewer accidents and damage to cargo. Meanwhile, hauliers can benefit from working within their own country and avoid making long trips across borders. 

Intermodal transportation is, above all else, designed to create an even more fluid supply chain from which all commercial enterprises and consumers can benefit. By taking advantage of the numerous modes of transport via critical junctures and hubs along long-distance routes, freight need not rely on a single truck to make it from destination A to destination B. 

Rather, intermodal relies on input from a variety of stakeholders along the way, spreading the wealth generated by commercial and consumer-based purchases more widely than it otherwise would. Hubs such as those seen in Chicago, Dallas, Norfolk, Los Angeles, Memphis, and many others not cited, help to realize this.   

And as the country recovers from the enormous health, social and financial impacts of the coronavirus pandemic, intermodal transport will no doubt play its part in remobilizing the U.S. economy for the betterment of all American businesses. 

rubber

Rising Output to Calm Down a Price Rally on the Global Natural Rubber Market

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Natural Rubber And Gums – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

In the beginning of 2021, demand for natural rubber spiked and prices for rubber increased due to a quick rebound in China’s tire manufacturing and the heightened need for latex gloves during the pandemic. Rubber production is projected to climb up this year in line with rising demand, slowing down the price growth. There is a risk that droughts in Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia will create a supply shortage in the market and enable the prices to soar again.

Key Trends and Insights

According to the Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC) and the Malaysian Rubber Board (MRB), global demand for natural rubber will grow by 7% y-o-y in 2021. This gain will be possible due to heightened demand from the rebounding rubber and tire industries as well as the increased need for latex gloves due to the pandemic. Production is projected to rise by 6% and balance out supply and demand and as a result, maintaining prices stability. At the same time, there is a risk that possible droughts in Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia could prompt a decrease in rubber tree yield and threaten a shortfall in the market.

At the beginning of 2021, renewed demand from the rubber and tire industries in China caused prices for natural rubber to skyrocket. According to the World Bank, in May 2021 the average price for Rubber RSS3 reached $2.29 per kg, surpassing the 2020 yearly average of $1.73 per kg. The price for Rubber TSR20 rose to $1.69 per kg with a yearly average of $1.33 per kg in 2020.

Unlike in China, the U.S. is experiencing a slower recovery in the tire industry but the rebound will also bolster the global market for natural rubber. The U.S. Tire Manufacturers Association predicts that as of year-end 2021, shipments of tires in the U.S. will grow by 4.1% in comparison to 2020 but their overall amount won’t reach 2019 levels.

High demand for latex gloves during the pandemic will be one of the key factors leading to expansion for the natural rubber market this year. In 2020, a shock in demand caused latex gloves and medical equipment exports from Malaysia to increase by 95.3%. As the pandemic winds down, this element will gradually recede into the background but should remain influential for at least another few years.

Global Natural Rubber Consumption

The global natural rubber and gum market rose sharply to $24.1B in 2020 (IndexBox estimates), increasing by 7.6% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, indirect taxes, intermediary margins, which will be included in the final consumer price).

The countries with the highest volumes of natural rubber and gum consumption in 2020 were Thailand (4.6M tonnes), Indonesia (3.5M tonnes) and China (1.4M tonnes), with a combined 60% share of global consumption. Malaysia, Viet Nam, India and Cote d’Ivoire lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 26%.

From 2012 to 2020, the most notable rate of growth in terms of natural rubber and gum consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Cote d’Ivoire, while natural rubber and gum consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Thailand ($6.1B), Indonesia ($5.2B) and China ($1.8B) constituted the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2020, together accounting for 54% of the global market. Malaysia, India, Viet Nam and Cote d’Ivoire lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 24%.

The countries with the highest levels of natural rubber and gum per capita consumption in 2020 were Thailand (65 kg per person), Malaysia (38 kg per person) and Cote d’Ivoire (28 kg per person).

Global Natural Rubber Imports

In 2020, purchases abroad of natural rubber and gums decreased by -0.2% to 1.6M tonnes. In value terms, natural rubber and gum imports amounted to $1.8B in 2020.

Malaysia (701K tonnes) and China (570K tonnes) prevails in natural rubber and gum import structure, together constituting 77% of total imports. The following importers – the U.S. (37K tonnes) and the Netherlands (25K tonnes) – each finished at a 3.8% share of total imports.

In value terms, China ($634M), Malaysia ($629M) and the U.S. ($52M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2020, with a combined 75% share of the global imports.

Source: IndexBox Platform

cargo

The Important Role Air Cargo Plays in the Global Supply Chain

For over a century now, air cargo has played a crucial role in getting time-sensitive and high-value shipments from one point to another as quickly as possible. The world’s first cargo flight was in 1910. Since then, air cargo and private cargo shipping have played a crucial role in transporting time-sensitive and high-value goods internationally and domestically.

Over the years, air transport has also proven to be a key “connector” between the manufacturers and the consumers. In the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic, shipments that took too long to get from one point to another were quickly transported via air.

According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), air cargo has played a pivotal role in delivering much-needed medical equipment (including repair components and spare parts) and medicines.

Air cargo has also kept the global supply chains functioning for time-sensitive materials. This was carried out by utilizing cargo capacity in passenger aircraft, dedicated cargo freighter operations, and relief flights to affected areas.

IATA added that airfreight had been used to transport a staggering $6 trillion worth of goods annually. This represents at least 35 percent of all global trade by value. However, it is less than 1% of the trade when measured by volume.

The imbalance between value and volume can be attributed to the fact that most of the products that are shipped via air have a high value. Within a given 24-hour period, air cargo providers around the world have:

-Utilized over 100,000 airplanes

-Transported over 20 million parcels

-Shipped a whopping $18.6 billion worth of cargo

Economic Benefits of Air Transport

The air transport industry has a massive and significant impact on other industries and is also considered a growth facilitator. It also affects the global economy’s performance by enhancing the efficiency of other industries across the entire spectrum of economic activity. This is also referred to as “spin-off” or catalytic benefits.

Air transport helps facilitate world trade.

Air transport has allowed countries to participate in the global market by giving them access to primary markets and allowing globalization. Air transport also helps countries to specialize in activities where they have comparative advantage. It also helps facilitate trade with countries that provide other goods and services.

Air transport has been indispensable in the tourism industry.

Air cargo is especially useful for tourism on the island and remote destinations. Tourism directly supports employment in airports and airlines. Spending of tourists and visitors that arrive by air also creates a significant number of jobs in the tourism space.

Air transport boosts global productivity.

Improved air transport links have been pivotal in helping global markets expand. As a result, companies can exploit economies of scale better. This reduces cost dramatically and, as mentioned earlier, allows companies to specialize in areas of comparative advantage.

As more markets open up, air services can introduce companies to more competition and encourage them to become more efficient in the process.

Air transport improves supply chain efficiency.

Countless industries utilize air transport to reduce delivery times as part of the “just-in-time” delivery systems. This will reduce costs and enable companies to deliver products to customers reliably and quickly.

Air transport encourages effective collaboration and networking.

Air transport has been helping promote collaboration and networking among companies from different parts of the world. An excellent transport infrastructure also encourages companies to spend more on development and research.

Final Thought

As the world continues to deal with the unprecedented impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, air transport will continue to play an increasingly vital role in keeping the world’s supply chains running smoothly.

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Melissa Hull is the Content Marketing Strategist for Aviation Charters, a West Trenton, New Jersey-based private aviation company that provides on-demand aircraft charter, aircraft management, and aircraft acquisition services. Aside from her passion for writing, she loves to travel and read espionage books.

trade compliance

If Trade Compliance Was a Soccer Team…

The Olympics, Gold Cup, Copa América, Euro 2020: most soccer fans will have a team or two to cheer for this summer. For those, as well as for those who prefer trade compliance over soccer (so, basically everybody in global trade), here the definitive Summer of 2021 Global Trade Intelligence starting lineup (in a traditional 4-3-3 system). Pretty sure we’d beat those ERP, CRM, and (despite the overlap) TMS teams at the Software World Cup.

Goalkeeper: Export Compliance. A non-plussed, stabile, robust lock on the door is needed to stop penalties (yes, a global trade pun!) and set the standard for the team. Thoroughly, prepared for set plays (like license determination) and deflections (like transshipped exports). Nothing falls through the cracks; errors can be fatal for a compliance program.

Right Back: Origin. You want reliability in your backs plus, ideally, one that can also make progress forward and save some duties. Origin is both: the solid paperwork to verify your claims and the forward approach to benefit from the preferential rates where possible. A sometimes aggressive yet always reliable origin program can bring significant benefit to the company.

Center Back: Restricted Party Screening (RPS). It’s simple: your center back doesn’t let any opponent slip through and that’s the same for your Restricted Party Screening solution. Nothing gets through or there will be consequences. RPS sets the tone and, with a solid RPS application, everyone feels more secure doing their part.

Center Back: Brokerage. Another solution that stands or falls with reliability. Your brokerage application must be strong, solid, reliable, scalable. It bends but doesn’t burst. It’s steady when needed but can accelerate if there’s a lot to do. With just that, there is a perfect center foundation for some solid compliance work.

Left Back: Import Compliance. Completing the back four of compliance, the left-back may be where you used to stick the weak link, but no more. This includes document, permit, license requirements. Import compliance programs (think OGA/PGA requirements but also VAT registrations, packaging requirements) are gaining momentum. Ecommerce plays a role in all this as well. As for the right-back position, it is nice to have a left-back that can also create opportunities, for example, by anticipating B2C compliance requirement changes (like changes to VAT exemptions or licensing exceptions).

Right Midfield: Objectives and Key Results/Key Performance Indicators (OKRs/KPIs). The barometer is of course in midfield—making sure holes are filled, needs are met, focusing on where there is a little shortfall or supporting where things are moving along. OKR/KPI reviews keep everything balanced and ensure that attention is paid to areas where improvements can be made and that strengths are praised and leveraged.

Center Midfield: Classification. The center of it all. The core challenge according to multiple surveys, classification is the ongoing challenge of getting it right all the time and with ever-changing HS codes (hello 2022 WCO Updates!). Only a number 10, central player can figure it all out (the greats co-function as parts master as well). And, when they do, it’s a joy for the whole team. Without classification, there’s no offense or defense—only loose ends.

Left Midfield: Duty Deferral and Saving Programs. The left midfielder is creative (with that subtle left foot), somewhat looking for that through ball but still solid when it comes to defending completed work. Welcome to duty-saving options. Foreign Trade Zones, processing reliefs, drawbacks: you name it, the left midfielder has them all in the pocket and is ready to launch.

Right Forward: Valuation. Better get it correct (must be able to defend when questions are asked) but not impossible to get really creative with it. Think First Sale, non-transaction value-based valuation, the excitement when working with the transfer pricing teammate. The six valuation methods are like the six ways the right-winger can leave the opponent behind.

Center Forward: Supply Chain Resilience (SC Resilience). Arguably, if it were a 5-3-2 system, SC Resilience would be a wingback—new and fancy but still doesn’t always have a spot. But, in a 4-3-3 system, it’s great to have something fresh and sometimes unpredictable to make a good impression. SC Resilience encompasses all the exciting elements a forward-thinking operation needs: anticipating the market and logistics flow, staying ahead of the competition, and surging towards new goals.

Left Forward: Visibility. The left-wing position is made for volatile players. Sometimes everything works, sometimes nothing. The same way it sometimes feels with supply chain visibility—one day the dashboard is packed with useful information and the next there are huge gaps, but the collaboration with SC Resilience, in particular, helps to build expectations.

On the Bench: Implementations, integrations, audit support (reporting), and disaster recovery plans. What to do with the coach? For being the best trade compliance expert I have met and loads of other reasons, I’ll take Ruud Tusveld as the coach—even though he used to play goalie.

Trade compliance for the win!