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Shipping Giants Slash China–U.S. Routes as Tariffs Choke Trade Flows

high-tech global trade dock tariffs market shipping

Shipping Giants Slash China–U.S. Routes as Tariffs Choke Trade Flows

Major shipping carriers are canceling multiple weekly routes between China and the United States as the fallout from the Trump administration’s aggressive tariff strategy continues to hammer global trade. According to maritime analysts, at least six transpacific services have been suspended in recent weeks, eliminating capacity for over 25,000 forty-foot containers per week — the equivalent of more than 1.3 million annually.

Read also: U.S. Tariffs Could Break Up Shipping Alliances and Disrupt Global Trade

The cutbacks come amid a collapse in demand for China-made goods following President Donald Trump’s move to impose sweeping 145% tariffs, prompting widespread order cancellations from U.S. importers. Toy manufacturers, footwear producers, car part suppliers, and U.S. industrial clients are among the hardest hit.

“These aren’t warning signs — they’re confirmation of declining economic activity,” said Simon Sundboell, CEO of Danish maritime data firm eeSea.

The suspended routes affect all major U.S. coasts, with four hitting the West Coast and one each impacting the East and Gulf Coasts. Shipping lines involved include MSC, Zim, and the Ocean Alliance (Cosco, Evergreen, CMA CGM, and OOCL), according to eeSea.

Although Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd’s Gemini Alliance have avoided suspending services, both companies have downsized some vessels to mitigate falling demand.

The trade collapse comes at a pivotal moment. U.S. and Chinese officials are meeting in Switzerland this weekend, seeking a path forward after months of tariff-driven stalemate.

In the interim, carriers are deploying a familiar tool: blank sailings — the cancellation of individual scheduled voyages — to cut costs and stabilize rates. These tactics, widely used since the COVID-19 pandemic, help operators avoid oversupply while maintaining profitability.

Retail giants like Amazon and Walmart, which together account for nearly half of global container trade, have paused or canceled orders from China in response to surging import costs.

According to maritime consultancy Drewry, blank sailings on the Asia–North America corridor have soared. By early May, 24% of voyages were canceled, up from just 9% at the end of March. On Asia–West Coast routes, capacity fell 20% in April and 12% so far in May. East Coast cuts were even steeper, dropping 22% in April and 18% in May.

MSC, the world’s largest container line, canceled 30% of its transpacific sailings in April — more than any competitor. In May, the Premier Alliance (ONE, HMM, and Yang Ming) leads with a 20% blank sailing rate.

Industry leaders warn that the full impact of the tariff war may not be felt until July, when U.S. container import volumes could plunge by 25% or more compared to last year.

“Something’s got to give,” said Alan Murphy, CEO of Sea-Intelligence. “Either we’ll see even more capacity taken out of the market, or spot rates will begin to collapse.”

global trade schedule reliability maersk logistics freight

$500 Million Lost to Outages: Why Logistics Tech Can’t Afford to Blink

In June 2017, Maersk—the world’s largest container shipping company—went offline in less than 7 minutes. Not from a storm or labor strike, but from a piece of malicious code: NotPetya. Within hours, booking systems, terminal operations, and global communications were paralyzed. Ports from Rotterdam to Los Angeles were manually rebooted. The final damage? Over $300 million in direct losses, according to the company.

Read also: Logistics Technology Trends to Watch in 2025

In May 2021 & March 2025, a quieter but equally disruptive failure occurred when Blue Yonder, one of the most widely used supply chain management systems, experienced a multi-day cloud outage. Retailers like Kroger, Walmart, Starbucks & Coca-Cola were affected. Transportation Management Systems (TMS) went offline, leading to stalled dispatches, missed replenishments, and re-planning on Excel sheets. The estimated operational impact—while not disclosed—was believed by industry analysts to have crossed $200 million in cumulative losses, especially during tight-capacity cycles.

And these are just the ones we hear about.

In 2022, a major USPS sorting hub’s software failure led to thousands of parcels undelivered or returned, costing the agency millions during peak season. One internal estimate pinned the fallout at over $10 million in SLA penalties and manpower overages.

Downtime Is Logistics’ Silent Killer

Supply chains today run on a fragile digital backbone—dozens of integrations, cloud services, mobile interfaces, and warehouse automation engines, all assuming seamless interoperability. But when just one of these fails, the downstream effect isn’t just technical—it’s operational.

Every hour of downtime in a Tier 1 logistics operation can cost anywhere between $300,000 to $1 million, depending on scale, load value, and customer expectations.

Yet most companies still treat uptime and platform stability as an IT KPI, not a business risk.

The Blind Spot No One Is Talking About

Modern logistics dashboards light up with metrics on delivery performance, fleet productivity, and carbon emissions. But uptime, mobile crash rates, and infrastructure stability rarely make the cut.

Why? Because when systems work, they disappear. But when they don’t—operations unravel.

From WMS sync failures to mobile app crashes mid-delivery, these technical hiccups create tangible ripple effects: late shipments, irate customers, SLA breaches, and revenue leakage.

In 2023, a leading 3PL in Southeast Asia reportedly lost a $15 million/year FMCG contract due to repeated app instability—caused not by the operations team, but by their mobile delivery platform failing under volume load.

Building for What Doesn’t Happen

Amid this, a few platforms have made infrastructure reliability their core differentiator—not through flashy marketing, but through consistent engineering.

Following its strategic restructuring into Stellation Inc to promote scale & growth. LogiNext has achieved 1.2x growth while doubling down on its foundational commitment to native AI integration. AI has been embedded into the platform’s core since inception—not as an add-on, but as an architectural principle. This early investment, combined with a recent surge in AI-driven innovation, has enabled LogiNext to scale rapidly without compromising on stability. Over the past two years, the platform has quietly sustained 99.99% uptime and a 99.6% crash-free rate, equating to less than five minutes of downtime annually – a benchmark most legacy systems fail to meet even quarterly. Designed for AI-assisted graceful degradation, containerized rollouts, and self-healing infrastructure, LogiNext empowers enterprises to run mission-critical logistics operations with confidence and continuity.

Why The Next Logistics Disruption Will Be Digital

As AI, robotics, and predictive routing mature, the logistical future promises efficiency and speed. But all of it rests on one assumption: that the foundational tech stack won’t fail under pressure. If 2023 showed us anything—from cyberattacks to cloud misconfigurations—it’s that tech reliability is now as important as fleet readiness. And in a business where every minute counts, the companies that win won’t necessarily be the fastest or the cheapest. They’ll be the ones whose platforms simply don’t go down.

global trade us april china

China’s Exporters Gear Up as U.S. Trade Talks Spark Hopes of Revival

Chinese exporters are ramping up preparations to resume shipments to the United States, as trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing are set to begin in Switzerland.

Read also: US vs China: Global Trade: Who’s winning? 

For weeks, U.S. tariffs have cast a shadow over trade flows, with President Donald Trump’s April 10 move to impose steep 145% tariffs on Chinese goods triggering retaliatory 125% tariffs from China. This tit-for-tat escalation has dragged trade between the two economic giants to a near standstill.

According to logistics firm Flexport, sailings from China to the U.S. plunged 60% in April, and German shipping giant Hapag-Lloyd saw 30% of China-bound orders canceled. But signs of a thaw are emerging.

Since late April, Chinese freight forwarders have been actively booking container space for mid-May departures, two industry executives told Reuters on condition of anonymity. Four China-based exporters — some supplying major U.S. retailers like Walmart — said they are preparing to resume shipments, marking a shift after weeks of halted orders.

Optimism has grown as both governments adopt a softer tone. With talks scheduled in Geneva and Trump hinting at a possible tariff rollback, exporters are cautiously hopeful that some relief is on the horizon.

“We’re all looking forward to some easing of the tariffs this month. I believe it’s coming,” said Liu, a second-generation toy manufacturer from Dongguan. Half her sales typically go to U.S. buyers, including Walmart.

But it’s not just optimism driving the resurgence.

Many American retailers are running dangerously low on inventory. Products such as toys, home furnishings, and Bluetooth speakers — which are difficult to source outside China — have been stranded as businesses waited out the trade dispute. Chinese exporters warn that without fresh shipments by June, U.S. store shelves could start to empty.

“Companies are running out of stock, and Trump has softened his China rhetoric,” said Jonathan Chitayat, Asia head of Genimex Group, a contract manufacturer. The looming risk of “empty shelves in 30 to 60 days” is pushing U.S. buyers to act, he added, regardless of whether tariffs remain in place.

Liu confirmed that shipments would restart this month, though volumes will be smaller. She cautioned that without tariff relief, American consumers will ultimately shoulder the extra costs.

Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, noted that some recovery in shipping was unavoidable. “These economies are deeply intertwined, and both are feeling the pain,” he said. The recent collapse in trade followed months of pre-tariff stockpiling, he explained, adding that many now expect an improvement in the tariff landscape.

Walmart, for its part, said it had not halted purchases from any country and is working closely with suppliers to manage the fluid situation.

Meanwhile, freight costs are expected to rise as shipping rebounds. Dominic Desmarais of Liya Solutions said freight forwarders are forecasting price hikes of up to $500 per container after May 15. Currently, a 40-foot container from Shanghai to Los Angeles costs between $2,640 and $3,781, according to Freightos.

Still, Desmarais warned against overly rosy expectations. “When Trump imposed 25% tariffs in 2018, it took two years to reach a deal. I don’t think a few days in Switzerland will solve this,” he said.

global trade business

After Trump–Carney Meeting, It’s Time to Turn Words into Action

The recent meeting between President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Mark Carney marked an important and encouraging step forward for the U.S.–Canada relationship. Both leaders brought their business acumen and negotiating instincts to the table, setting a constructive tone that signaled a shared understanding of the stakes involved. For businesses on both sides of the border, this was a welcome reset.

Read also: Canada Calls for Diplomacy Amid U.S. Trade Tensions

But while the tone of the meeting was promising, the work is far from done.

Our two economies remain deeply integrated—more than $2.7 billion (CAD$3.6 billion) in goods and services cross the border each day. Businesses rely on predictability and consistent rules to plan, invest, and grow. Yet in recent months, shifting trade dynamics, rising tariffs, and regulatory uncertainty have strained the system. These pressures have been especially hard on highly integrated sectors like automotive, manufacturing, and energy, where disruption in one country is immediately felt in the other.

Now is the time to move beyond rhetoric and toward results. The Canadian American Business Council (CABC) is encouraged by the initial signals coming out of the Trump–Carney discussion, and we’re hopeful that this momentum can carry forward into meaningful progress. We believe there’s a real opportunity to craft a modernized framework that supports shared growth, reduces trade friction, and restores confidence among investors and consumers alike.

One of the most immediate priorities must be resolving tariff issues that are hindering industries across the board. While tariffs may be used as tools of leverage, their real-world impacts are clear: higher costs, slower production, and economic uncertainty. They affect virtually every sector—and their impacts are most acutely felt by working families already dealing with inflation and supply chain instability.

The CABC has stood at the forefront of the U.S.-Canada relationship for the better part of three decades, through ups and downs. In this era of our bilateral relationship, we continue to support both governments in finding mutually beneficial solutions. Our members represent a cross-section of North America’s economy, bringing more than 7,000 years of combined experience navigating this vital relationship. That experience tells us that collaboration—not confrontation—is what drives prosperity.

As an American with ties on both sides of the border, I see the ways in which the United States and Canada are inherently connected. We share geography, personal connections, and multi-layered economic ties. Having worked in both business and government, I believe that the U.S. and Canada can and must re-commit to a long-term, mutually beneficial economic partnership. That means putting in place smart trade rules, fostering investment, and strengthening the channels that connect our businesses, workers, and communities.

As Prime Minister Carney settles into his leadership role, and as President Trump looks to chart a clear economic course, both sides have a chance to do something bold: turn a historically strong friendship into a next-generation partnership.

The CABC is committed to making that vision a reality, as we have in the past. We’re ready to work with officials, advocate for business, and help shape a future where North American competitiveness is not only protected—but elevated.

With the right follow-through, the positive tone of the Trump–Carney meeting can become the foundation for a more resilient, more integrated, and more prosperous future for both nations.

high-tech global trade dock tariffs market shipping

Shipper Confidence Climbs for Q3 as Order Expectations Surge, but Market Fragmentation Emerges

The BlueGrace Logistics Confidence Index® for Q3 2025 reveals a complex but active freight environment. This quarter’s data highlights a major rebound in order volume expectations, with 55% of shippers forecasting growth—the highest response in over a year. The mean order sentiment more than doubled, signaling stronger demand across sectors like agriculture, manufacturing, and construction.

Read also: How Shippers can Respond to Fast-Changing Trade and Tariff Policy Changes

Revenue expectations remain high, holding steady at a mean of 3.0%, while inventory sentiment shows a moderate uptick. However, behind these gains lies a shift in alignment: the consensus index dropped sharply in both revenue and order outlooks, indicating a widening gap in how shippers are preparing for the months ahead. While some companies are accelerating purchases to get ahead of tariffs and potential disruptions, others are minimizing inventory and exposure in hopes the pressure eases. This divergence marks a notable change from the cohesion seen in Q2 and suggests the market is entering a more fragmented planning cycle.

Key supply chain challenges continue to shape priorities. Service expectations remained the top concern for Q3, while freight rate volatility moved into second place and market volatility climbed. These trends reflect growing concern among shippers around cost control, capacity stability, and the ability to meet customer expectations in a persistently uncertain freight environment.

Adam White, Vice President of Marketing at BlueGrace Logistics, commented on the findings, stating, “This quarter’s Index shows shippers navigating a more complex freight environment, with strong order optimism but growing divergence in strategy due to tariff uncertainty. As we track these shifting concerns, especially around pricing, capacity, and inventory posture, the LCI continues to offer a forward-looking lens into how the industry is adapting in real time.”

This report reinforces the need for agility in logistics planning as the market grapples with both opportunity and risk and provides ongoing insight into the freight economy’s evolving pressure points.

About BlueGrace Logistics Confidence Index

The unique shipper survey aggregates data to show a predictive analysis of shippers’ confidence for the upcoming quarter, correlating growth or shrinkage to overall revenue, inventories, and orders. The data can provide an insightful and reasonable analysis of how the freight market may unfold and discern freight strategies to best suit organizational goals. Get a complimentary edition of the index at www.mybluegrace.com   

global trade port Equipment

Next-Gen Port Equipment Powering Global Trade Efficiency

Introduction

The Port Equipment Market is evolving rapidly with the rise of global trade, automation, and sustainability initiatives. Demand is driven by increased container traffic, the expansion of smart ports, and the integration of electric and hybrid machinery. Innovations in crane systems, automated guided vehicles (AGVs), and energy-efficient solutions are transforming port operations. With a growing focus on reducing carbon footprints, ports worldwide are adopting eco-friendly equipment to boost efficiency and competitiveness.

Read also: Efficiency at Scale: How Automation is Reshaping Global Logistics

According to recent market analysis, the global port equipment industry was valued at US$ 22.7 billion in 2023. It is projected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.9% from 2024 to 2034, reaching an estimated value of US$ 42.2 billion by the end of 2034. This upward trajectory reflects the growing demand for more efficient, automated, and environmentally sustainable equipment to support rising maritime trade volumes and the modernization of port infrastructure worldwide. The Port Equipment Market is on a transformative journey, playing a pivotal role in redefining the future of global trade.

Driving Forces Behind the Growth

1. Rising Global Trade Volumes

The continued expansion of international trade, e-commerce, and intermodal logistics has intensified the demand for efficient cargo handling solutions. Ports worldwide are under pressure to boost capacity and throughput, making advanced port equipment an indispensable part of global supply chains.

2. Automation and Digitalization

Port terminals are increasingly adopting automated cranes, smart sensors, autonomous vehicles, and AI-driven systems to optimize operations and reduce human error. Automation not only accelerates loading and unloading processes but also minimizes downtime and improves safety.

3. Green Port Initiatives

With stricter environmental regulations and a growing focus on sustainable logistics, next-gen port equipment is being designed with electric, hybrid, and hydrogen-powered technologies. Eco-friendly container handlers, electric RTGs (Rubber-Tired Gantry cranes), and automated mooring systems are helping ports cut emissions and energy consumption.

Key Equipment Driving the Transition

1. Ship-to-Shore (STS) Cranes

Designed for speed and precision, STS cranes are becoming more intelligent with integrated control systems and condition monitoring tools.

2. Automated Guided Vehicles (AGVs)

AGVs are revolutionizing container transport within terminals, offering seamless, driverless mobility for enhanced efficiency and round-the-clock operations.

3. Straddle Carriers and Reach Stackers

Upgraded with GPS and telematics, these machines enable better yard management and faster container turnover.

4. Terminal Tractors and Tug Masters

Now available in electric and hybrid variants, these are crucial for short-distance container hauling and offer lower maintenance costs.

Market Segmentation Highlights

By Equipment Type:

  • Cranes (STS, RTG, RMG)
  • Forklifts and Stackers
  • Container Handling Equipment
  • Automated and Semi-Automated Vehicles

By Mode of Operation:

  • Manual
  • Semi-Automated
  • Fully Automated

By Application:

  • Container Handling
  • Bulk Handling
  • General Cargo

By Region:

  • Asia Pacific leads the market with heavy investments in China, Singapore, and India.
  • Europe and North America are focusing on upgrading existing ports with smart, green equipment.
  • Middle East & Africa are emerging players driven by strategic logistics investments and port expansions.

Regional Outlook: Asia-Pacific in the Lead

The Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to maintain its dominance throughout the forecast period. Countries such as China, South Korea, Japan, and India are making massive investments in port expansion, automation, and sustainability. China’s Belt and Road Initiative and India’s Sagarmala Project are creating strong demand for state-of-the-art port handling equipment.

Opportunities and Challenges

 Opportunities:

  • Integration of IoT and AI for predictive maintenance and remote monitoring
  • Rising demand for smart ports and intelligent terminal management systems
  • Expansion of inland logistics and dry ports requiring specialized equipment

️ Challenges:

  • High initial capital costs of advanced port equipment
  • Cybersecurity risks due to increasing connectivity
  • Need for skilled labor to operate and maintain new-generation machines

Competitive Landscape

Leading companies in the global port equipment market are focusing on R&D, automation, and green technologies to stay ahead of the curve. Strategic partnerships with port authorities, shipping lines, and logistics providers are also driving innovation.

Key Players Include:

  • Konecranes
  • Liebherr Group
  • Kalmar (Cargotec Corporation)
  • ZPMC (Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries)
  • Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc.
  • SANY Group
  • Toyota Material Handling
  • TIL Limited
  • Anhui Heli Co., Ltd.

These players are investing in electrification, smart controls, and integrated port logistics solutions to meet evolving trade and environmental requirements.

Trends to Watch

  • Electrification of port vehicles to align with net-zero carbon goals
  • Adoption of 5G connectivity for real-time control and data analytics
  • Blockchain for port logistics, enhancing transparency and reducing paperwork
  • Digital twins for simulating port operations and optimizing layouts

Strategic Recommendations

For Industry Stakeholders:

  • Prioritize interoperability of systems and scalable automation technologies.
  • Invest in training programs for port personnel to operate advanced machinery.
  • Collaborate with technology partners to develop integrated, cloud-based solutions.

For Port Authorities and Policymakers:

  • Provide financial incentives and policy frameworks to support modernization.
  • Encourage public-private partnerships for large-scale port development.
  • Mandate environmental compliance standards for all equipment procurement.

Conclusion

The future of maritime trade hinges on how swiftly and effectively ports adopt next-generation equipment. From automated cranes and electric vehicles to AI-powered logistics systems, the transformation is reshaping global trade dynamics. As container volumes surge and sustainability becomes non-negotiable, the Port Equipment Market is not just evolving—it is powering the next wave of global trade efficiency.

Stakeholders that embrace smart, green, and connected equipment today will be the ones setting the standard for port performance and global logistics leadership tomorrow.

These insights are based on a report on the Port Equipment’s Market by Transparency Market Research (TMR). For More Details Click Here

global trade airline

Challenges and Shifts in the U.S. Airline Industry

The recent turbulence in the airline industry has underscored the challenges faced by budget carriers in the United States. According to a report by Reuters, the ongoing trade war initiated during President Donald Trump’s administration has exacerbated a slump in travel demand, hitting low-cost airlines the hardest. This situation has been further complicated by shifting consumer preferences and economic uncertainties.

Read also: UBS Analysts Downgrade Major U.S. Airlines Amid Economic Concerns

Data from IndexBox reveals that Southwest, Frontier, and JetBlue have all experienced significant declines in their operating margins in the first quarter, while Delta and United Airlines have managed to maintain more stable margins despite the downturn in consumer demand. This divergence hints at a broader industry shift, with full-service airlines capitalizing on a surge in demand for premium travel and the increased value of customer loyalty programs.

As budget airlines grapple with profitability issues post-pandemic, they are reducing capacity to protect their margins. In stark contrast, United and Delta are expanding their flight offerings and attracting bookings with competitive fares. Industry analysts suggest that this strategic expansion by full-service carriers aims not only to retain existing customers but also to capture market share from budget rivals.

Delta, United, and Alaska Airlines have made substantial investments to cater to the booming demand for high-end travel, with premium revenue now constituting a significant portion of their passenger income. For instance, Delta’s premium revenue accounts for 41% of its passenger revenue, up from 35% in 2019. This shift has allowed these airlines to reduce their dependence on traditional business travel, which remains below pre-pandemic levels.

Conversely, budget airlines, which predominantly serve the price-sensitive leisure market, are facing challenges due to the weakened consumer spending among lower-income households. The U.S. domestic market, in particular, has been identified as the softest travel segment, impacting the profitability of carriers like Southwest and Frontier. Despite these challenges, some industry leaders, such as Frontier CEO Barry Biffle, remain optimistic about the resilience of low-cost carriers, attributing current struggles to an oversupply of domestic seats rather than a flawed business model.

As the airline industry navigates these tumultuous times, the ability to adapt to changing market dynamics and consumer preferences will be crucial for both budget and full-service airlines.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

global trade AI

How AI is Navigating the Chaos of Trade Compliance Amid President Trump’s Tariff Turmoil

Global trade has always been a labyrinth of regulations, tariffs, and paperwork. But in the current trade climate, the rules of the game feel like they’re being rewritten on the fly. One day, a product is duty-free, and the next it’s slapped with a 25% tariff. For trade compliance professionals, this unpredictability is a nightmare.

Read also: Managing Risk With Trade Compliance In Global Supply Chains

At the heart of this chaos lies product classification, the process of assigning Harmonized System (HS) codes to goods. These codes dictate everything from duty rates to customs requirements. Get it wrong, and you’re looking at fines, delays, and a logistical headache that could derail your supply chain. 

Enter artificial intelligence (AI). In a world where trade rules feel like they’re being made up as we go, AI is emerging as a lifeline for compliance teams. In fact, AI is bringing a semblance of order to the chaos by automating product classification and duty determination. But can it keep up with the dynamic and constant developments of global trade? 

The Tariff Tango: Why Product Classification is a Minefield

HS codes are the DNA of global trade. They’re a universal language that tells customs officials what’s in a shipment and how much to charge. But here’s the catch: there are over 5,000 6-digit codes in the WCO’s HS 2022 edition. Every country then has the ability to further extend these codes for more granular classifications, particularly for tariff and statistical purposes. For example, the United States uses a 10 digit system for commodities. This means that each country’s tariff book can easily climb to tens of thousands of individual tariff codes, and they change often without warning.

Manual classification is a painstaking process. It involves sifting through dense regulatory documents, cross-referencing product descriptions, and praying you didn’t make a mistake. And in the current climate, where tariffs are widely unpredictable, the stakes have never been higher.

The challenges:

  • Human Error: Misclassify a product, and you could be hit with hefty fines.
  • Time-Consuming Research: Keeping up with regulatory changes is a full-time job.
  • Regulatory Whiplash: One social media post from the White House can upend your entire compliance strategy.

The result? A system that’s ripe for disruption.

AI to the Rescue: Revolutionizing Product Classification

AI is stepping into the breach, offering a way to automate and streamline product classification. By leveraging machine learning models trained on historical classification data and relevant regulatory data, AI can analyze product descriptions and assign the most accurate HS codes in seconds. 

How it works:

  • AI scans product descriptions, technical specs, and even images.
  • It cross-references this data with historical classification records and existing regulations.
  • It spits out a suggested HS code, complete with a confidence score.

The benefits:

    • Speed: What used to take hours now takes minutes.
  • Accuracy: AI reduces the risk of human error.
  • Consistency: No more guessing games, AI applies the same logic every single time.

AI isn’t just a tool for compliance teams, it is also a shield against uncertainty. In a world where tariffs can change overnight, AI’s ability to process vast amounts of data in real-time is a game changer. 

Duty Determination in the Tariff Twilight Zone

Duty determination is where things get really tricky. With President Trump’s tariffs targeting specific industries and countries, importers are scrambling to figure out how much they’ll have to pay and whether they can avoid it altogether.

AI is stepping up here, too. By analyzing Bills of Materials (BOMs), AI can determine duty eligibility and identify opportunities under free trade agreements (FTAs). It can even flag discrepancies in duty calculations before they’re submitted to customs.

For example, a US importer of steel components uses AI to analyze its BOMs. The AI identifies that some components qualify for duty-free treatment under the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement). The result? Thousands of dollars in savings and a lot less stress. 

But with tariffs changing at the drop of a hat, the question remains: Can AI keep up?

AI and the Human Factor: A Partnership, Not a Replacement

AI isn’t here to replace trade compliance teams. It’s here to make their lives easier. By automating repetitive tasks like product classification and duty determination, AI frees up compliance professionals to focus on higher value work. 

What’s left for humans?

  • Risk Assessment: AI can flag potential issues, but humans need to interpret them. 
  • Trade Strategy: Navigating the geopolitical outlook requires a human touch. 
  • Regulatory Interpretation: When the rules are unclear, humans need to make the call.

In other words, AI is the co-pilot, not the pilot.

The Fine Print: What to Consider Before Adopting AI

AI isn’t a magic bullet. To be effective, it needs high-quality data, regular updates, and human oversight.

Key Considerations:

  • Data Quality: Garbage in, garbage out. AI is only as good as the data it’s trained on.
  • Regulatory Updates: AI models need to be updated constantly to reflect changing regulations.
  • Integration: AI tools must work seamlessly with existing systems.
  • Bias: AI can inherit biases from its training data, leading to flawed classifications.

And then there’s the elephant in the room: the unpredictability of global trade. Can AI adapt to a world where tariffs are used as political leverage?

Maneuvering the Unknown with AI

The world of trade compliance is more uncertain than ever. President Trump’s newest tariffs have thrown a wrench into the system, leaving importers scrambling to keep up. But in this chaos, AI is emerging as a beacon of hope. AI is helping importers navigate the complexities of global trade with greater accuracy and efficiency by automating product classification and duty determination, but it’s not a silver bullet. To truly succeed, AI needs high-quality data, human oversight, and the ability to adapt to an ever-changing regulatory landscape.

For trade compliance teams, the message is clear: Embrace AI, but don’t rely on it blindly. In a world where the rules are constantly shifting, the human touch is more important than ever. In these strange and uncertain times, one thing is absolute: AI is here to help. 

Now is the time for trade compliance teams to explore AI-powered tools and integrate them into their workflows. Because when they do, they can enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and ensure compliance, no matter what surprises world leaders throw their way.

global trade automation

Efficiency at Scale: How Automation is Reshaping Global Logistics

Global logistics has grown increasingly complex as consumer expectations rise, trade networks expand, and supply chains stretch across continents. To meet demand and maintain competitiveness, companies are turning to automation. In this article, we explore how automation enables efficiency at scale across global logistics.

Read also: How to Find the Best Warehouse Automation System for Your Budget in 2025

How Automation is Transforming the Logistics Landscape Globally

Automation in global logistics uses technology and systems to perform tasks traditionally handled manually across the supply chain. As such, it introduces software, robotics, sensors, and artificial intelligence to manage or execute functions like inventory tracking, order processing, packaging, routing, and delivery coordination. 

For instance, packaging machines from paxiom.com automate the bagging, filling, sealing, and labeling of goods with minimal human input. So, how does such technology transform logistics?

Streamlines Warehouse Operations

Automation reshapes warehouse workflows by handling repetitive tasks such as picking, packing, and sorting. Robotics and conveyor systems maintain consistent speed and precision, significantly reducing handling times. These tools also support real-time inventory tracking, which helps prevent stock imbalances and improves space utilization.

Enables Real-time Visibility

IoT sensors and tracking devices update shipment location, vehicle movement, and cargo conditions. This live data streams into centralized dashboards, offering supply chain managers a comprehensive, moment-to-moment view of operations. With this visibility, teams can respond to delays, reroute shipments, or address equipment issues before they escalate, reducing disruption across the chain.

Optimizes Transportation and Routing

AI-driven route planning tools analyze traffic, weather, fuel costs, and delivery windows to recommend the fastest, most efficient paths. In addition, integrated fleet tracking systems refine those routes in real time to avoid delays. Sometimes, companies deploy autonomous vehicles to reduce human error and lower labor demands, especially for long-haul transport.

Reduces Manual Errors

Automating data capture and input minimizes the risk of human mistakes in tasks like labeling, order entry, and shipment coordination. On top of that, technologies like barcode scanners, RFID tags, and direct software integrations ensure accurate handling from inventory through delivery. As a result, the frequency of lost items, incorrect orders, and billing errors drops significantly.

Accelerates End-to-end Order Processing

Automation connects once-siloed functions such as ordering, fulfillment, and shipping into one continuous process. Orders are automatically verified, routed, and prepared for delivery with minimal intervention. This end-to-end integration shortens delivery timelines and improves consistency in customer updates, confirmations, and final handoffs.

Supports Scalable Operations

As demand grows, automated systems expand output without needing a matching increase in staff. This flexibility ensures stable performance even during rapid expansion, seasonal peaks, or market shifts.

Improves Forecasting and Planning

Predictive analytics tools process historical and real-time logistics data to forecast inventory needs, identify potential delays, and recommend optimal procurement schedules. These insights help logistics managers make informed decisions in advance rather than reacting to disruptions. Such accurate planning reduces waste and ensures smoother coordination across partners.

Strengthens Security and Compliance

Automated systems are programmed to enforce customs checks, safety regulations, and documentation requirements across all shipment stages. They log and timestamp each movement, creating a complete audit trail for compliance reviews.

Repositions Staff Toward Strategic Tasks

Automation frees staff from repetitive, time-consuming responsibilities, allowing them to focus on supervision, exception handling, and performance improvement. Thus, human roles evolve from task execution to strategic oversight, where judgment and critical thinking add more value. This shift increases operational resilience without growing headcount unnecessarily.

Conclusion

As supply chains grow more complex, automated systems provide the control, speed, and adaptability required to meet global demand. For instance, automation reshapes how goods move and how businesses operate by minimizing errors that may crop up in manual operations. In addition, it enables organizations to respond faster to disruptions, scale efficiently without proportional labor increases, and maintain consistent performance across global markets. 

retailers supplier global trade

Navigating The Complex World Of Supplier-Retailer Relations 

Routine transactions between suppliers and retailers are often the product of carefully negotiated agreements that address shifting margins based on sales, returns, and other factors, including disparate tariffs from one country—or one product—to another.

Read also: Supplier Diversification, AI Readiness, and Circularity Top Supply Chain Priorities for 2025 

For suppliers now dealing with ever-changing tariffs, however, there is an increased focus on making every dollar work as effectively as possible.

To counter the potential negative impacts, including supply disruptions or tariff-driven changes to the supplier-retailer relationship, many companies are looking to amend their sourcing strategies. And to maintain their ability to meet delivery obligations, suppliers may need to evaluate risk baselines, renegotiate contracts to account for tariff-related cost increases, and engage in collaborative planning to address mutual challenges caused by tariffs.

While both retailers and suppliers recognize the importance of maintaining the supplier’s viability, all too often suppliers short-change themselves by failing to collect every dollar they are owed under these agreements.

And, at a time when there is a hyper-focus on profit and loss, retail suppliers often look to third parties to identify those stranded assets.

Just as brands rely on accounting firms to minimize their tax liability, many today look for help in tracking the intricacies of their own retailer-supplier agreements to capture every dollar to which they are entitled.

Dallas Counts, Chief Operations Officer at Vendormint, explained to me that supplier agreements include various off-invoice allowances as well as certain compliance and regulatory stipulations by which the retailer can verify that the supplier is working efficiently.

All too often, though, off-invoice deductions or accounts receivable fines do not automatically accrue to the supplier, leaving large sums in limbo and unavailable for working capital.

Deductions and chargebacks can add up to 3% to 8% of the supplier’s revenue—or between 10% and 30% of their margin—so it’s potentially a lot of money.

Vendormint’s job, Counts says, is to help suppliers get that money out of limbo before the timeframe expires for reclaiming the funds.

Counts, who spent 15 years at Walmart mostly as a buyer, partnered with former Fulfillment by Amazon e-commerce seller Max Borin, who had earlier built a platform to help tens of thousands of small, mid-sized, and large businesses recover money in lost and damaged inventory.

Borin went on to found Vendormint to help suppliers recover money from brick-and-mortar retailers and ensure a level playing field that fosters long-lasting relationships, benefiting both parties in the process.

Counts says he is merely following in step with the leadership emblemized by his mentor, Sam Walton, to make sure all dollars in the supply chain are properly accounted for, so they can be most effectively used—whether in cost reduction, innovation, analytics, or retail media.

Suppliers today may have to relocate manufacturing to escape untenable tariffs that would make their goods uncompetitive. Ultimately, in such turbulent times, liquidity is paramount, and unrecovered cash harms liquidity.

Vendormint begins a relationship with the supplier with a free audit of accounts receivable, accounts payable, fines, and deductions, so as to ascertain whether there is unclaimed money that belongs to the supplier. Unlike other firms that charge a flat fee, Vendormint works on a commission basis with clients to incentivize finding every dollar owed.

Borin says that deductions and fines are valid if the supplier violated a policy in the agreement. At other times, those fines and deductions are invalid, and the retailer owes the money to the supplier. The nuances in these agreements are so hyper-complex that it may take some digging to determine rightful ownership of disputed (or otherwise unnoticed) amounts—and there is a critical window after which suppliers cannot recover those funds.

Another aspect of Vendormint’s work is helping suppliers understand how to eliminate valid deductions and avoid spending time and money on recovery down the road. Vendormint can currently assist suppliers in this light in working with 53 major retailers, including Walmart, Target, Costco, Home Depot, etc., and the list of retailers that they can support continues to grow.

For example, says Counts, one client had been billing incorrectly and incurring a lot of needless deductions, leaving millions of dollars floating for 30 days until the retailer reconciled the matter.

Other clients are potentially shipping incorrectly—on the wrong pallet, with an incorrect label, or causing other avoidable errors that result in fines.

Another concern is short-shipping, which enables the retailer to take deductions, and overshipping, for which retailers often fail to issue a payback. Counts says there are a lot of different avenues through which money can end up stuck (or lost), depending on the policies in the retailer-supplier agreement.

The suppliers’ responsibility is further complicated because each of, say, 50 retailers with whom they do business has different quirks in their agreements that may not be noticed by the individuals handling shipping and billing.

The experts at Vendormint are ultimately able to comb through each agreement to uncover unforced errors that are costing suppliers money.

Without this technical support, a supplier would have to work across multiple companies to recover funds and understand and improve their compliance ratings with each retailer. Building an in-house team to do all this work would also be far more expensive and less consistent than working with a firm whose entire business is revenue recovery.

Borin says that the current focus on shifting tariffs has heightened suppliers’ focus on profit/loss and ensuring that every dollar works as effectively as possible. This makes Vendormint’s work even more important—whether the supplier intends to use the recovered funds to combat a tariff or just to improve relationships with the retailers they supply by freeing up more funds for reinvestment.

In years gone by, retailers typically asked suppliers to provide goods at the lowest cost, but today it is the lowest cost plus an investment in the retailer’s analytics, retail media networks, and even seasonal rollbacks or other special pricing actions.

In this brave new world, where suppliers are expected to support as well as just sell to retailers, it is even more imperative for suppliers not to lose cash through retailer deductions.