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Navigating Global Waves: The Role of Adaptability in International Trade

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Navigating Global Waves: The Role of Adaptability in International Trade

International trading is more accessible to businesses of all sizes than ever before. This is largely thanks to the emergence of tools that enable companies to connect with global consumers and supply chain partners. Nevertheless, this isn’t quite the same as saying that global trading will always be easy.

Somewhat inevitably, challenges will occur that threaten to disrupt your international operations. These issues can take a variety of forms and you’ll have more warning of some than others. This means that you’ll need to establish practices that enable your business to swiftly and effectively adapt when disruptions arise.

Let’s look a little closer at the role of adaptability in global trade and how you can make your business more agile.

Building Greater Resilience

For all its many benefits, international trade is fraught with risks. You might find there are delays in shipping due to weather conditions or products may become lost entirely. There may also be occasional regulatory changes that significantly impact both the administrative hurdles and costs of trading. Many internationally trading UK businesses discovered this last in the aftermath of Brexit. These risks don’t mean it’s not worth engaging with the international markets. Rather, to be adaptable in the face of hazards, you need to create greater resilience in your business.

Developing operational resilience is about establishing protocols that empower you to keep functioning in the face of disruptions. This begins with a thorough assessment of your company’s working practices. You need to identify what aspects of your international trade processes could make you vulnerable and what specific risks you’re likely to confront.

From here, it’s vital to take a holistic approach to resilience planning, rather than just focusing on individual departments or senior staff contributors. Involve staff from all areas of your organization both in arranging solutions and implementing them during emergencies. This isn’t just effective because it encourages collaboration and knowledge sharing that can make your company more robust. It also means professionals with a diverse range of perspectives are involved in highlighting issues and developing more relevant and innovative tactics.

Adopting Technology for Agility

It’s not just resilience planning that can influence your adaptability when you’re navigating challenges. The technology you choose to use in your organization plays a significant role, too. Tools that help you gather reliable data and pivot when problems arise are increasingly accessible. This is both in terms of affordability and user-friendliness. It’s well worth taking the time to consider upgrading.

Perhaps the most important resource for adaptability in international trade is the technology that supports smart manufacturing. Otherwise known as industry 4.0, this is in effect a combination of hardware, analytics software, and network infrastructure that enable reliable automation. For instance, sensors in the Internet of Things (IoT) can gather data throughout your production, inventory, and international shipping processes. Connected analytics platforms can monitor this and market information for shifts, including those related to potential disruptions in global trading conditions.

That said, IoT devices can be problematic to security and operational stability if not properly implemented. It’s important to test IoT devices before launching them in the supply chain. Use test-driven development (TDD) to check for failure cases. Testing phases include unit testing, integration testing, system testing, and end-to-end testing.

From here, connected artificial intelligence (AI) driven software can use machine learning (ML) algorithms to make predictions about likely disruptive scenarios. When integrated into your wider manufacturing infrastructure, it can make automatic adjustments to production in line with expected demand changes. Alternatively, managers can review the interpreted data and make informed decisions about how best to pivot operations in response to the challenges.

Remember, though, that while this tech is useful, it’s not a guaranteed solution. Always aim to position your technologies as collaborators with human workers. Your experienced staff have nuanced perspectives on production processes, risks, and international markets that the machines may not be a party to. Keeping them meaningfully involved in the effective use of automated tech means that your company can adapt to issues not just faster but more responsibly.

Maintaining an Open Dialogue

One of the most important resources to keep you adaptable when navigating international markets is communication. Your resilience protocols are essential and your tech provides great support. Nevertheless, building good quality relationships and maintaining an open dialogue with this network enables you to be adaptable on multiple levels. 

Firstly, it’s a solid way to keep you informed of potential international trade challenges well in advance. Focus on developing a range of industry connections in each territory you ship to. This may involve regularly having video calls with them or occasionally flying out to visit in person. Ensure these meetings aren’t just one-sided information-gathering sessions, though. Share your local knowledge and aim to connect on a personal as well as professional level. This helps to create a mutually positive experience that will benefit you in the long run.

It’s also vital to keep an open dialogue with all partners in your supply chain. Establish procedures to ensure you get immediate contact as soon as there are signs of potential issues that might disrupt any other link in the chain. Where possible, adopt digital technologies that allow all partners in the chain to share current information on market influencers. Additionally, keep communicating regularly with backup supply chain partners. Your efforts can make a difference should you need to urgently pivot to them if a current partner can’t meet your needs.

Perhaps most important of all is to keep an open dialogue with your staff. The need to respond to unexpected scenarios can be stressful and logistically challenging. It’s a matter of both practicality and respect to keep your employees abreast of the status of all current and potential disruptions. This transparency enables them to make more informed decisions that influence your company’s agility. 

Conclusion

An adaptable business is essential when you’re navigating international markets. This requires thorough planning, automated technology ecosystems, and good communication. It’s vital to remember, though, that putting these elements in place isn’t enough. The market evolves, as do the tools that can help you respond to it. You need to regularly test your resilience and identify the practices that meet the current needs of both your business and global trading conditions.

commercial

Commercial Fishing and Global Trade: Navigating the Deep Waters of Economic Impact

As the world stands on the cusp of a transformative era, the commercial fishing industry, with its intricate and interwoven relationships with global trade dynamics, stands as a sector of colossal significance. For centuries, it has played a pivotal role in shaping economic landscapes, creating a nexus of interactions that are as deep and vast as the oceans it spans. In this analysis, we delve into the multifaceted impact of commercial fishing on global trade, unraveling its economic, environmental, and sociopolitical influences, drawing from the well of history while gazing into the prospects of a future rich with sustainable potential.

The Commercial Fishing Landscape

Historically grounded yet modern in its implications, the commercial fishing landscape has experienced monumental shifts, evolving from traditional coastal hubs to contemporary spaces powered by giants such as China and Indonesia. This industry, with its rich reserve of marine commodities ranging from salmon to shrimp, has fostered a robust economic dialogue and nurtured partnerships that defy geopolitical boundaries.

Technology has emerged as a powerful ally in this journey, guiding the industry to realms of unprecedented efficiency and sustainability. Innovations such as sonar systems and satellite-guided monitoring processes have carved a path where tradition meets modernity, ensuring a transition that honors the history of the mariners while embracing the dynamic advancements steered by data.

Economic Perspectives

Within the economic theater, the commercial fishing industry stands as a robust pillar, weaving a complex narrative of supply and demand dynamics. International trade agreements hold sway here, orchestrating a meticulous balance between economic vibrancy and responsible stewardship of marine resources, fostering a harmony rooted in ethical commerce and conservation.

It engenders more than mere economic transactions; it is a cradle nurturing livelihoods, sustaining communities, and safeguarding maritime traditions that echo through generations. The industry serves as a guardian of heritage, infusing coastal societies with a sense of purpose and an unbreakable bond with the marine life that sustains them.

Environmental Considerations and Overfishing

A critical facet of this narrative is the delicate dance with environmental stewardship, where the industry operates with a deep-seated respect for marine ecosystems. Central to this is grappling with the threat of overfishing — a relentless pursuit that depletes fish stocks to unsustainable levels, imperiling marine biodiversity and the very essence of the industry itself.

Combating the problem of overfishing calls for a globally unified front championing sustainable fishing practices. These include enforcing catch quotas to allow for the replenishment of fish stocks, and leveraging cutting-edge technology to monitor and prevent illegal fishing activities. Alongside, the industry is also responding to the Herculean challenge posed by climate change, adapting with strategies rooted in scientific research and an acute understanding of the shifting marine terrains, evoking a symbiotic relationship characterized by respect and preservation.

Sociopolitical Impacts

Venturing into the societal dimensions carved by commercial fishing, we witness regions resonating with the rhythmic tales of the sea, societies where identities are forged and nurtured through maritime traditions. But these waters are also a theater of geopolitical contentions, rife with disputes over maritime boundaries and fishing rights.

In this complex framework, regulatory measures act as harmonizing forces, facilitating dialogues that foster cooperation, ethical competition, and the promotion of peaceful engagements. They serve to guide the industry through tempestuous waters, steering it towards horizons of sustainable economic growth while respecting the sanctity of marine ecosystems and geopolitical boundaries.

The Road Ahead

As we navigate the pathways unveiling before us, we find emerging markets in Latin America and Africa, brimming with opportunities for innovation, collaboration, and economic resurgence. The future beckons with technological revolutions spearheaded by AI and blockchain technologies, painting a canvas of possibilities where mankind and marine ecosystems can thrive in harmonious coexistence, guided by wisdom, foresight, and a sustainable blueprint for progress.

It is a journey characterized by a continual dance between exploration and conservation, a nuanced ballet promising vistas of untapped potential where economic growth and environmental stewardship hold hands, steering towards a future vibrant with opportunities and rich in prosperous dynamics.

Conclusion

As we stand on the shores echoing with the rich narratives of the past and gazing towards horizons laden with promises of a sustainable future, we acknowledge the intricate relationship between commercial fishing and global trade. It is a story unfolding with every wave, a testimony to a timeless voyage navigating through challenges towards realms of harmony, responsible growth, and sustainable prosperity in the intricate web of global trade dynamics.

Commercial Fishing’s Impact on Global Trade: FAQs

How does the commercial fishing industry shape global market dynamics?

The industry crafts a significant narrative in global market dynamics, influencing supply and demand fluctuations, and fostering economic relationships and cultural interchanges through the trading of marine commodities. Its impact reverberates through communities globally, nurturing livelihoods and preserving maritime heritage.

What role do international policies play in commercial fishing?

International policies play a pivotal role, orchestrating a balance between exploitation and conservation, and fostering a sustainable global trade environment. Regulatory frameworks guide the industry through complex waters, promoting ethical practices and a respectful engagement with marine resources.

How is the commercial fishing sector evolving in response to environmental challenges?

The sector is adapting to environmental challenges with a renewed commitment to sustainable practices. These encompass initiatives to curb overfishing through scientific management of marine resources and leveraging technology to foster a respectful and balanced interaction with marine ecosystems. It is a dynamic response, characterized by innovation and a deep-seated respect for environmental wellbeing.

Can advancements in technology foster sustainable practices in commercial fishing?

Yes. Technology stands as a beacon of hope, promising a revolution in the industry with developments such as AI and blockchain, fostering data-driven strategies that can enhance efficiency and sustainability, thus promising a harmonious and prosperous future.

What potential does the future hold for the commercial fishing industry?

The future unveils a landscape rich with sustainable growth, vibrant opportunities for collaboration and innovation, and a seamless alignment between economic prosperity and environmental stewardship. It is a path brimming with potential, guiding the industry towards a harmonious global trade landscape that respects the bounty of the oceans and the intricate dynamics of international commerce.

With this deep dive into the nuanced world of commercial fishing, we chart a course through the vibrant, challenging, yet promising landscape that it presents, a journey guided by wisdom, foresight, and a harmonious vision for the future.

sourcing trade

Questioning the Merits of Globalized Trade

Threats to global trade aren’t new. History is full of protectionist hyperbole coupled with good-faith arguments on the merits of trade solely between trusted partners. In the end, we come back to the safe harbor that is a globalized market. But that doesn’t mean the conversations in the other direction ever subside. In fact, we’re returning to the issue once again. 

Global Trade at a Glance 

If we zoom out and look at global trade growth, there is little evidence to suggest we are in a deglobalization moment. At the onset of the pandemic global trade growth slowed, but it has since rebounded and is arguably at its highest value ever. Yet, viewed solely as a share of GDP, here is where we see a dip. Most of the dip can be explained by China and India. From roughly 2003 to 2010 both economies were exporting goods and services at a steady clip. India continued to climb but eventually began declining by 2013 while China has experienced an unvarying decline since 2010. 

The 1990s was an era characterized by hyperglobalization. Economic indicators were broadly over-performing and extreme poverty was greatly reduced. East Asian countries witnessed dramatic growth and as a result standards of living globally increased. Electronic devices – smartphones and computers specifically – provided hundreds of millions of people ways to be more productive and of course, improve entertainment and communication options. Airline prices came down allowing more and more people to travel all thanks to market-oriented policies and openness. 

Peace Matters

Another often overlooked reason contributing to the boom of the 90s and early 2000s was a historically long period of peace. When countries are interconnected the incentive to play nice is substantial. War in this era would have equated to dreadful consequences. Yet, all along the tensions surrounding winners and losers, inequality, and the plain desire for something different were evident. This first began around 2015, later reemerged during the pandemic, and is now back in the news following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. 

Our Parents Were Better Off

The age-old concept of parents putting everything in place so their children will have a better life seemed to have run its course by the late 2010s. The average worker globally was better off compared to their predecessors. Nevertheless, there is evidence pointing to some advanced economy workers underperforming the previous generation. There were also interesting geographic observations with communities importing freely from developing countries doing worse than those communities without the same amount of imports. This led to natural scapegoats (cheap labor abroad is stealing American jobs) and helped to fuel protectionist voices. 

In parallel, big firms became gigantic firms and a cohort of middle and upper-management people were getting extremely rich. People around the US especially blamed China for unfair competition due to the country’s use of subsidies and entry restrictions to doing business. Most economists at the time did not recommend protectionist policies, but rather some manner of redistribution from those at the top to those left behind. 

The COVID Effect

COVID was unique in that it brought about both a supply and demand shock. On the supply side, suppliers faced a series of lockdowns that hampered deliveries. From the demand perspective, cars, second homes, and medical supplies rose dramatically. Now, the delays we all faced in receiving goods and services were real. Yet, the US (and many other countries) proved very resilient and despite overall trade volume decreasing, importers and exporters collaborated with the same partners before the pandemic and actively sought out new ones throughout. This should have been enough to at least stave off deglobalization arguments for a short while. But what came next has fueled a resurgence.  

A Geopolitical Hot Bed

The most interesting outcome of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine had nothing to do with Russia or Ukraine. Germany, one of the world’s largest economies, depended on Russia for two-thirds of its natural gas, roughly one-third of its oil, and half of its coal. The invasion pushed Germany and many other European countries into a very difficult position where economic interests favored supporting Russia, but the political and social environment absolutely prohibited it. 

The alarm went off with leaders and influential actors publicly chastising certain countries for having cozied up to Russia in exchange for cheap energy. Others wondered how their shifts to a carbon-neutral future were possible without cheap energy subsidizing the path forward. In parallel China became increasingly hostile in its position with Taiwan, home to arguably one of the world’s most valuable industries – semiconductors. Should China seize control of Taiwan Beijing would reap the spoils of approximately 20% of the industry. At this point, most of the world would be pushed into doing business with an openly hostile aggressor.  

A Cold Status Quo

The future is notoriously impossible to predict. One direction could be a US/China split where respective allies choose their camps and trade within them. Yet, when we think about how new ideas emerge, population matters. Having the world’s largest countries (China, India, US, Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria, Brazil, Bangladesh, Russia, and Mexico) more or less aligned is a benefit to humanity. Looking at this list challenges certainly exist. 

Some are concerned about how these splits affect issues such as climate change. The cost to produce solar panels in the West is higher than in China. If you remove low-cost suppliers from the chain decarbonization efforts will stall. While climate change is an issue, making people richer (especially among some of the poorer nations in the previously mentioned list) would lead to communities being more resilient to climate shocks and better equipped to invest in adaptation measures. 

For the time being, we find ourselves in a new cold war of sorts. It would be foolish to forget what occurred during the interwar period in the 1930s. Multilateral trade shifted to trade within empires and friends. This ratcheted up the heat leading into World War II. Policymakers have their work cut out for them over the coming years. Until quite recently peace and open markets were an aberration in the human experiment. War and conflict had been the norm.   

 

   

          

 

global trade

Global Trade Strategy Execution Roadmap: Turning Plans into Action

The world of global trade is evolving at a lightning speed, demanding businesses to consistently revisit their strategies to keep up with these rapid changes. Navigating the complex labyrinth of international trade involves more than just drafting a strategic plan. It requires the meticulous execution of that plan, a roadmap that translates vision into actionable milestones. But how can businesses turn their international trade strategies into action and reap significant benefits?

This comprehensive guide explores the steps of a successful Global Trade Strategy Execution Roadmap. By the end, you will have gained invaluable insights into maneuvering your business successfully in the volatile terrain of global commerce.

Understanding the Global Trade Landscape

Global trade involves an intricate web of stakeholders, regulatory bodies, and markets spread across the world. Understanding this landscape is fundamental to creating a successful trade strategy. It’s crucial to comprehend the regional differences, market dynamics, cultural nuances, and regulatory constraints that impact global business operations.

According to the World Trade Organization, world merchandise trade is expected to increase by 8.0% in 2023, signaling promising opportunities for businesses willing to understand and adapt to the global trade landscape. Explore more about global trade scenarios on the WTO’s official site here.

Formulating an Effective Global Trade Strategy

An effective global trade strategy aligns with the overall business objectives, considering factors such as target markets, product/service offerings, pricing, and promotional strategies. It must also assess potential risks, including exchange rate fluctuations, geopolitical shifts, and supply chain disruptions.

A well-articulated strategy involves choosing markets based on demand patterns, competitive landscape, and alignment with the company’s strengths. However, as  Harvard Business Review article points out, it’s equally important to factor in the market’s ease of doing business, legal structure, and socio-political stability.

Creating a Detailed Execution Roadmap

Turning strategy into action necessitates a clear, detailed execution roadmap. This roadmap should delineate responsibilities, set timelines, and establish performance metrics. Critical aspects include product/service localization, supply chain management, talent acquisition, and regulatory compliance.

Having a detailed roadmap not only keeps everyone aligned but also helps anticipate potential hurdles, enabling proactive mitigation strategies. Utilizing slide templates by ex-McKinsey consultants can be an efficient way to visualize your roadmap, facilitating understanding and buy-in across your organization.

Localizing Your Product or Service

In global trade, one size does not fit all. A product or service that performs well in one market might not necessarily replicate its success in another. Hence, product or service localization – adapting your offering to the tastes, preferences, and regulations of the target market – is key.

Localization could involve modifying product features, packaging, or marketing communication. It might also mean altering business practices to meet local legal and cultural requirements. For more on localization, check out this insightful piece from Entrepreneur.

Navigating Supply Chain Complexities

In the realm of global trade, managing supply chain complexities becomes an immense task. Companies must deal with varying customs regulations, logistical hurdles, and uncertainties like political unrest or natural disasters. Having a robust supply chain strategy that factors in these complexities is paramount.

Recruiting and Training Global Talent

People are the backbone of any business. For international operations, businesses need a diverse talent pool with a deep understanding of local markets. Recruiting the right talent, providing them with necessary training, and fostering a diverse and inclusive culture are key elements in this step.

Ensuring Regulatory Compliance

Regulatory compliance is a critical factor in international business. From tax codes to employment laws, businesses need to comply with a myriad of regulations that vary across countries. Non-compliance can lead to hefty fines, damaged reputation, and business discontinuation.

Companies can navigate this complex regulatory terrain by partnering with local legal advisors, conducting regular audits, and staying updated with regulatory changes. More on the importance of regulatory compliance can be found here.

Adapting to Changes and Iterating Your Strategy

The global trade landscape is constantly evolving. Businesses must remain agile, ready to adapt their strategies in response to market shifts, policy changes, or competitive moves. This requires continuous monitoring of market trends, customer feedback, and performance metrics.

With the roadmap in place, executing the strategy becomes a systematic, disciplined process. However, success lies not just in executing the plan, but in the ability to adapt and innovate amidst changing circumstances. As Charles Darwin said, “It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent; it is the one most adaptable to change.”

Measuring and Evaluating Performance

The road to global trade success is incomplete without periodic measurement and evaluation of your strategy execution. Performance metrics should align with your strategic objectives, providing insights into what’s working and what needs to be adjusted. Depending on your goals, these metrics could range from sales and market share to customer satisfaction and brand awareness.

Implementing a balanced scorecard approach, a performance measurement framework proposed by Robert Kaplan and David Norton, can help. It incorporates a balanced set of financial and non-financial metrics, promoting a more holistic evaluation. More about the balanced scorecard approach can be found in this Harvard Business Review article.

Leveraging Technology for Execution

In today’s digital age, technology plays an indispensable role in executing a global trade strategy. From data analytics tools providing market insights to communication technologies facilitating collaboration across geographies, businesses can leverage technology in various ways.

Consider enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems for seamless management of your global operations or customer relationship management (CRM) platforms to personalize customer interactions. Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) can help predict market trends, while blockchain technology can enhance supply chain transparency.

Cultivating Strategic Partnerships

Partnerships can be a powerful tool in your global trade strategy execution. By collaborating with local businesses, you can gain better market understanding, share resources, and increase your market reach.

Strategic partnerships might involve distributors, suppliers, or even other businesses offering complementary products or services. Such alliances can reduce costs, enhance product/service offerings, and accelerate market entry. 

Prioritizing Sustainability in Global Trade

Today, sustainability is no longer an option but a business imperative. Global trade activities should adhere to ethical and sustainable practices, considering environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. Sustainable practices can contribute to long-term business success while minimizing harmful impacts on the environment and society.

Future-Proofing Your Business

Global trade is subject to many external forces, including technological advancements, changing consumer behavior, and shifts in the geopolitical landscape. Future-proofing your business involves staying abreast of these changes, continuously updating your knowledge and skills, and being prepared to pivot your strategy when needed.

Futuristic businesses embrace change, innovate continuously, and foster a culture of lifelong learning. 

In summary, executing a global trade strategy is a dynamic, multifaceted process. It demands a clear roadmap, encompassing understanding the global trade landscape, formulating an effective strategy, creating an execution roadmap, localizing products/services, navigating supply chain complexities, recruiting global talent, ensuring regulatory compliance, and adapting to changes.

Author Bio

Kasper is a serial tech entrepreneur and investor with a history of building digital products and businesses based on deep technology and market understanding. Today, as the Founder and CEO of the Slideworks- slide templates by ex-Mckinsey experts, he  build companies with large corporations.

trade

The Shifting US-China Trade Landscape 

In the wake of pandemic-driven supply chain disruptions, U.S. trade flows are realigning, shifting away from overreliance on China as American companies move to diversify sourcing channels to mitigate risk. During the pandemic, U.S. firms experienced firsthand the disastrous effects of concentrating their supply chains in one geographic area or with single suppliers. While the Covid impact on the supply chain has waned, companies are facing other challenges to the flow of goods, from the increasing frequency of climate-related disruptions to sanctions repercussions stemming from China’s human rights abuses in Xinjiang.

Ongoing trade tensions between China and the U.S. also continue to impact the movement of goods. Beginning in 2018, the previous administration rolled out tariffs on over $350 billion worth of Chinese imports, prompting American companies to buy similar goods from companies in countries not impacted by the tariffs—especially for products like semiconductors, furniture, IT hardware, and some consumer electronics. These tariffs affected approximately 18% of imports into the U.S., equivalent to 2.6% of GDP, and increased costs for about two-thirds of dutiable products across multiple industries. 

From nearshoring and reshoring to the sourcing shift to other countries, U.S. companies are seeking to mitigate supply chain risk moving forward. While China remains the dominant Country of Origin (CoO) for many of the top 10 commodity groups imported by the U.S., the country has been slowly losing its share of U.S. container import volume. 

SHIFTING TIDES

Looking back over the past 20 years of trade data, China’s share of container import volumes into the U.S. peaked in 2010 at 44.5% (50.1% including Hong Kong) (Figure 1). The country’s share was relatively stable from 2011 to 2017 and then peaked again in 2018. The 2018 peak, however, was heavily influenced by the previous U.S. administration imposing duties on select goods, causing importers to expedite shipments into the U.S. to avoid paying the incremental import fees. 

Figure 1: China’s Share of U.S. Container Imports

Source: Descartes Datamyne™

 From 2019 through to the first five months of 2023, China’s import share declined to 35.8%. Hong Kong also saw a decrease in container imports over the last 20 years, with its share peaking at 11.7% in 2004 and falling to 2.3% in the first five months of 2023. 

A VIEW INTO TOP 10 IMPORTS

A recent report from Descartes drilled down into the global trade data, analyzing the top 10 container import goods categories—by 2-digit Harmonized System (HS) codes—from 2016 to 2022 and the related top 10 CoOs for each category to examine shifts in trade volumes and the impact on TEU import share. (Note: from a historical perspective, mainland China is measured separately from Hong Kong in the analysis.)

For the top 10 goods categories during the period from 2016 to 2022, China experienced:

  • Two that grew and increased share,
  • Five that grew but lost share,
  • Two that declined in growth and share, and 
  • One that declined and dropped out of the top 10 CoO. 

Despite the rise of imports from other countries, China remained the dominant CoO in eight of the top 10 goods categories. South and Southeast Asian countries, such as Vietnam, India, Bangladesh, Thailand and Indonesia, however, usurped import share from China, having built capacity in a number of goods categories driving market share to climb across several categories—with some growing significantly faster than the overall market. 

DIVERSIFYING SUPPLY CHAINS 

An analysis of individual HS categories highlights where there has been a shift away from reliance on China, as U.S. importers begin to diversify their supply chains to find alternate sources for raw materials and finished goods. For example, between 2016 and 2022, the goods category HS-94 (Furniture, Bedding, Lighting, etc.) grew 42.8% overall in TEU import volume (Figure 2). Despite this growth, imports from China increased by only 5%, while Vietnam’s import volume grew a hefty 186.3% during the same seven-year period. Looking at market share, China’s share decreased 17.3% to 47.6% and Vietnam’s share expanded, increasing 12.4% to 24.7% from 2016 to 2022. Notably, imports from Vietnam were one-fifth of China’s volume in 2016, rising to half by 2022.

Vietnam was not the only Southeast Asian country making gains exporting products such as garden furniture, ironing boards and bedspreads in the HS-94 trade category. Starting in 2018 and continuing through 2021, other South and Southeast Asian countries, such as India (+198.6%), Indonesia (+139.6%) and Malaysia (+69.3%), experienced accelerated TEU import growth, albeit from a smaller base, with Thailand and Cambodia displacing Poland and Macau from the top 10 list. 

Figure 2: Top 10 CoO Analysis for HS-94

Source: Descartes Datamyne™

A similar trend occurred in the HS-85 goods category (Electronic Machinery, Sound Recorders, TV Equipment, etc.). While TEU import volume of products such as transformers, AC generators and batteries increased 34.8% overall between 2016 and 2022 (Figure 3), Vietnam demonstrated phenomenal growth of 556.3%, rising from the eighth to the second-largest CoO in this category. By contrast, imports from China increased only 12% and its share slipped 9.5% to 46.7% in the same period.

Thailand (+72.5%) and South Korea (+52.6%) also experienced strong container import growth, with India displacing the Philippines in the top 10 CoOs. The accelerated growth for Vietnam began in 2019 and continued through 2022, for Thailand in 2020, and for South Korea in 2020 through 2022.

Figure 3: Top 10 CoO analysis for HS-85

Source: Descartes Datamyne™

FINAL THOUGHTS

Given recent moves by the current administration to strengthen American supply chains and limit business flow with China—including the CHIPS and Science Act and the Inflation Reduction Act which funnel hundreds of billions of dollars into development of leading-edge technology and domestic manufacturing capacity—and unprecedented export controls aimed at China’s semiconductor and advanced computing industry—trade tensions with China is showing no signs of letting up.

Bracing for ongoing trade volatility, U.S. companies are seeking to create risk-resistant supply chains that provide greater flexibility in response to disruption. While sourcing shifts to alternate countries are underway for many different types of goods, decreasing China’s share of imports and dampening its growth, China remains the dominant CoO for many of the top 10 commodity groups imported by the U.S., as the country looks to maintain its production capacity and stay a significant source. 

SMB business

4 Common SMB Challenges in Managing International Trade

International trade represents a significant opportunity for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs), connecting them to a wider customer base and new markets. Yet, navigating through customs and border regulations can be a challenging process for SMBs, due to the intricacy and complexities of the various factors involved.

Effectively managing these challenges is crucial to avoid delays, penalties, and disruptions in your supply chain

In this article, we’ll explain four common challenges SMBs face in managing international trade and explore potential solutions.

1. Understanding diverse customs and border regulations

Operating in the global market entails grappling with customs and border regulations, which can easily get confusing for SMBs, due to the rapidly changing nature of the laws surrounding them and the documentation required. To keep up, SMBs must consistently monitor the process, which requires sifting through numerous online sources – a time-consuming task SMBs often don’t have the manpower for.

However, keeping up-to-date with regulations is pivotal for any business in the international trade arena. Even the slightest oversight can lead to fines, shipment delays, or legal complications, which can damage a business’s supply chain and more importantly, their customers’ satisfaction.

Inoreader, a content aggregation platform, can help in simplifying the process of staying updated with industry changes. Using its platform, businesses can monitor websites, newsletters, social feeds, and podcasts related to customs and border regulations, without the need to check multiple sources.

Inoreader also monitors keywords across multiple languages, helping businesses keep tabs on related topics such as regulatory changes, trade agreements, or compliance deadlines, and automates news feeds to personalized content for SMBs.

By streamlining the monitoring of customs and border regulations, SMBs can stay better informed and compliant and reduce their chances of encountering unwanted delays.

2. Documentation and compliance

In international trade, there is a large amount of documentation needed to comply with customs and border regulations. For SMBs, not executing the documentation process properly can cause roadblocks such as non-compliance penalties and delays.

The Export Documentation Manager from Descartes Visual Compliance provides a one-stop solution to streamline the export documentation process. 

SMB

The software integrates compliance checks such as restricted party screening and product classification verification. By automating these processes, SMBs can reduce their chances of making costly mistakes, and have peace of mind regarding compliance matters.

The tool presents data in an easy-to-understand format, offers centralized control of export activities, and allows for the creation of multiple export documents in one step. Moreover, it includes features like AES and EEI filing assistance, which ensure businesses adhere to government regulations correctly.

The platform accumulates knowledge as you use it, creating a personalized, automated export system, saving time on future shipments. The user-friendly interface of Descartes’ platform, coupled with its adaptive learning capabilities, makes it a valuable asset for SMBs aiming to manage their documentation and compliance efficiently.

3. Logistics and supply chain management

Logistics and supply chain management in international trade is an intricate labyrinth for SMBs. Ensuring the secure, affordable, and timely delivery of goods is paramount. 

In a recent survey conducted by UPS, 92% of SMBs revealed that they have incurred losses due to logistics and supply chain issues from lost, stolen, or damaged shipments. This can be detrimental for retailers, as 61% of shoppers in the survey stated that they will stop ordering from a particular business after two or three delivery issues.

To maintain smooth logistics and supply chain management in the international arena, SMBs must work with reliable partners that can ensure the safe delivery of their goods. International trade involves many different stages, such as setting up land and overseas deliveries and coordinating customs clearance. It also involves working with several logistics partners along the way, which can be daunting to organize for an SMB.

SMBs can leverage a freight forwarder to take care of the logistics matchmaking. Freight forwarders today are increasingly offering more options to help SMBs navigate international trade. Ship4wd, a new digital freight forwarder powered by the global shipping giant ZIM, gives SMB owners a dashboard where they can obtain competitive quotes and book the entire shipping process directly through the platform, while being able to track their shipments in real time. It also offers payment deferral for up to 90 days and financial credit lines, which can ease cash flow crunches, a common problem for SMBs. 

SMB

Ship4wd understands the struggles of SMBs, which is the reason behind the development of its platform, and therefore provides 24/7 customer support and dedicated account managers for each business, to ensure transparency and resolve any issues on their behalf throughout the shipping process.

By using a freight forwarder, SMBs can more effectively navigate the complexities of logistics and supply chain management, helping ensure reliable and timely global shipping. 

4. Insuring your shipments

Preparing for the worst-case scenario is highly important in international trade, as theft, loss, or damage can severely harm a business’s supply chain. Shipping insurance is therefore a critical component for financial stability, and in some cases, could be a regulatory necessity. 

SMBs can easily struggle with securing comprehensive coverage due to cost considerations, lack of information, or administrative complexity. InsureShield, offered through UPS Capital Insurance Agency, provides a solution for businesses to insure their shipments, including high-value, fragile, and time-sensitive goods, whether transported via ground, air, or ocean. 

SMB

The package offers flexible options such as single shipment coverage, making insurance acquisition quick, easy, and affordable for SMBs.

Having a strong insurance plan not only mitigates financial risk, but also keeps brand reputation intact, keeping customer loyalty.

Wrapping up

There are many challenges for SMBs when it comes to managing international trade, considering the many rules, logistics complexities, documentation requirements, and risk factors involved in the process. 

By addressing the above mentioned issues, SMBs will be better equipped to navigate the complex world of international trade, allowing them to focus more on growth and customer satisfaction.

WTO

International Trade Irrelevance – the Danger Facing the WTO

Organizations don’t take kindly to being pushed around. In this instance, it’s the World Trade Organization (WTO) being pushed. Yet the “aggressors” argue it’s for its own good. 

Founded in 1995 just after the fall of the Berlin Wall, the WTO was hailed as a collaborative success. A globalized coalition of 164 member states, the WTO provides a framework for negotiating agreements among member countries. Most of the agreements surround quotas and tariffs with the WTO weighing in on dispute resolutions where needed. 

An astounding 98% of global trade and GDP is represented in the WTO. Members pay an annual fee and the general consensus is the body has helped in reducing barriers thus boosting overall trade. However, China’s prominence in its share of global trade continues to trouble US policymakers. Some feel the WTO’s strict enforcement of the trade rules has hampered US jobs and granted China an unfettered path to greater influence.

The most powerful appendage of the WTO is arguably its Appellate Body. Akin to a supreme court, the Appellate Body hears appeals and can uphold, reverse, or simply modify legal findings. The Obama Administration made headlines with their vetoing of Appellate Body arbiter appointments back in 2016, and Donald Trump continued the course thwarting even more appointments under his administration. From a US interest standpoint, the WTO was pushed to a near paralyzation of the Appellate Body by 2019.

Under President Biden, the pushing isn’t letting up. Up for proposal is the WTO only allowing a trade dispute to move from a non-binding to a legally-binding judgment (within the Appellate Body stage) if both the defendant and the plaintiff agree to jointly advance. Moreover, there is a discussion on rolling back the Appellate Body’s prior interpretations of trade law. The US proposes to allow countries to determine for themselves when a national security exception can be invoked as opposed to the Appellate Body deciding. 

Most of the WTO members are interested in a strong Appellate Body. When former President Trump instituted tariffs on European aluminum and steel imports in 2018 with a national security justification, the larger community bristled. Yet, administrations from both sides of the aisle stateside are largely interested in a weaker Appellate Body. An anonymous Geneva trade diplomat suggests this is really the US on an island arguing within the larger context of a Sino-American rivalry. 

The Inflation Reduction Act passed under President Biden embeds a host of incentives for goods made in America. This is arguably illegal under WTO rules as is a critical minerals deal the US recently made with Japan. China is cozying up to developing countries, especially in Africa, while a Biden or Trump presidency in 2024 would continue to put pressure on the WTO. The international body was under similar pressure in 1999 but risks irrelevance especially if its biggest members are not interested in the benefits of membership.         

united states secretary PPE

United Safety Technology Authorized as Foreign Trade Zone in Historic Sparrows Point near Baltimore, MD

Federal designation will lower production costs and help build a domestic supply chain for UST’s high-quality, innovative
Personal Protective Equipment. 

Baltimore, MD — United Safety Technologies (UST) plans to bring back to life an abandoned Bethlehem Steel Factory in Sparrows Point, just outside of Baltimore, Maryland to manufacture personal protective equipment (PPE). Today, that effort received yet another vote of confidence from the US Government.

UST has announced that it has been granted approval for its production activity by the Foreign-Trade Zones (FTZ) Board of the US Department of Commerce.  With the designation and grant of authority, UST can begin to manufacture products using important components with tariffs and duties reduced or eliminated, thus reducing its costs and helping ensure high-quality domestically manufactured PPE can be competitively priced.

The long-term vision of UST is to source all raw materials and components domestically. In the interim, this approval grants UST the ability to source twenty-two ingredients of its raw materials duty-free globally. This is crucial as UST and the PPE industry await robust domestic availability of these materials. The designation also allows UST to export its final products without duties. UST is one of only a few American-made PPE manufacturers to receive this designation.

The FTZ approval will apply to UST’s three leading glove products. These are its Seamless Gloves, its Surgical Gloves, and its Examination Gloves. In a time of competitive headwinds and supply chain disruptions from PPE manufacturing in the Far East, this will be a boon for American-made PPE.

In 2021, the Department of Defense (DoD), in conjunction with HHS awarded UST a $96.1M contract to initiate the domestic production of medical-grade nitrile exam gloves.

Making gloves and PPE in the USA is critical and is quickly becoming a national preference and supply chain necessity. UST’s facility will sit within Federal Trade Zone Subzone 74D.

The Foreign-Trade Zone benefits extend beyond UST to Baltimore and the entire Mid-Atlantic region. This designation will help to facilitate and expedite international trade. This will help UST compete to supply its domestic enterprise customers, to conduct international trade, and distribute its American-made PPE in nearly every business and government sector. This will also help bring local jobs to the community – especially among a diverse and disabled workforce.

About United Safety Technology (UST)

UST enables buyers to reduce reliance on foreign suppliers. Committed to socially responsible manufacturing and reducing impact, we’re returning critical PPE capabilities to the U.S. UST plans to open a 735,000-square-foot facility in Sparrows Point, MD. Formerly a Bethlehem Steel plant, the UST facility will serve as both a progressive medical manufacturing complex and a model for community renewal. At full scale, UST plans to manufacture more than 9 billion gloves per year, while creating up to 2000 new jobs. UST plans to commence production in 2023.  Learn more at www.unitedsafetytech.com/

 

united states dollar

How the United States Dollar Dominated the Global Trade Space

It’s not surprising to anyone that the United States is the world’s leading superpower, from its dominant economy to its powerful military.

In the modern era, the international role of the US dollar is unrivaled.

There are over 180 currencies in circulation worldwide but only a handful play an outsized role in central bank foreign exchange reserves, finance, and international trade like the US Dollar (USD).

But how did the Dollar grow to become the principal reserve currency?

In this article, we’ll look at the USD’s journey to world dominance in the global trade space.

How the US Dollar Became Dominant in International Transactions and The Financial Markets

A reserve currency is a foreign currency held by central banks in substantial quantities.

It’s widely used to conduct international trade and financial transactions, eradicating the costs of settling transactions involving different currencies.

The US dollar has become the dominant currency in international transactions and financial markets for 5 main reasons:

  • The United States Has the Largest Economy in The World

Since the Dollar is used as the national currency for most international transactions involving the US, this gives the Dollar a unique level of liquidity and stability that other currencies lack. 

Additionally, the US dollar is seen as a safe haven currency, meaning that investors often flock to it during times of economic uncertainty. Finally, the US government and central bank, the Federal Reserve, have a strong track record of maintaining the Dollar’s stability, which has helped to build trust in the currency and further cement its position as the dominant currency in international markets.

The United States dollar is the dominant currency in international transactions and financial markets due to its vast economy, with a gross domestic product (GDP) that is larger than the combined GDPs of the next three largest economies. This makes the Dollar a natural choice for many international transactions, as it is widely available and easily convertible into other currencies.

  • The United States Has A Stable Political System

This, along with a well-established system of property rights and contracts, makes it a safe and reliable place to do business. 

This stability and predictability attract investors and businesses from around the world, who use the Dollar to buy and sell goods and services in the United States and abroad.

  • The United States Has A Large and Sophisticated Financial System

The US boasts a network of banks, investment firms, and other financial institutions capable of handling complex international transactions. 

This financial infrastructure makes it easy for people and businesses to buy and sell dollars and to use them to make payments and investments around the world.  

  • The United States Has A Long History of International Trade and Investment

For decades, the Dollar has been used in these transactions. 

Over time, the Dollar has become a widely accepted and trusted currency, and many businesses and governments around the world have come to rely on it for their financial transactions.

  • The United States Has A Strong Military and A Dominant Position in Global Politics 

This gives the United States a certain degree of influence and power in international affairs. 

This has helped to reinforce the Dollar’s position as the dominant currency and has made it difficult for other currencies to challenge its dominance.

A Timeline of how the US Dollar Dominated the Global Trade Space 

For most of the last century, the outstanding role of the USD in the global economy has been reinforced by the size and strength of the American economy, its stability and openness to trade and capital flows, the rule of law and strong property rights.

  • The first documented use of paper currency in the US dates back to 1690 when the Massachusetts Bay Colony issued colonial notes.
  • It wasn’t until 1776 that the first $2 bill was introduced—9 days before independence. 
  • 9 years later, in 1785, the U.S. officially adopted the dollar sign, using the symbol for the Spanish American peso as a guide.
  • The government established the Office of the Comptroller of Currency (OCC) and the National Currency Bureau in 1863. These 2 agencies were charged with handling new banknotes.
  • Centralized printing began at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in 1869.
  • The U.S. Treasury assumed the official responsibility of issuing the nation’s legal tender in 1890.
  • The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 created the Federal Reserve Bank to respond to the unreliability and instability of a currency system that was previously based on banknotes issued by individual banks. This was the same time the U.S. economy became the world’s largest.
  • Printing began a year after the establishment of the Federal Reserve as the nation’s central bank with the passing of the Federal Reserve Act in 1914.
  • Countries pegged their currencies to the Dollar after WW1, ending the gold standard. The United States became the lender of choice for many countries that wanted to buy dollar-denominated U.S. bonds.
  • Three decades later, the Dollar officially became the world’s reserve currency. Britain finally abandoned the gold standard in 1931, which decimated the bank accounts of international merchants who traded in pounds. By then, the Dollar had replaced the pound as the leading global reserve currency .
  • In WW2, the United States served as the Allies’ main supplier of weapons and other goods. Most countries paid in gold, making the U.S. the owner of the majority of the world’s gold by the end of the war. This made a return to the gold standard impossible for the countries that depleted their reserves.
  • WW2 reshaped the global financial system. When WW2 was coming to an end, global leaders started deliberating on a stable financial system for international transactions.
  • In 1944, more than 700 delegates from 44 Allied countries met in Bretton Wood, New Hampshire, to devise a system to manage foreign exchange that would not disadvantage any country. The delegation decided that the world’s currencies would no longer be linked to gold but could be pegged to the U.S.
  • Thanks to the Bretton Woods Agreement, the U.S. dollar was officially crowned the world’s reserve (global) currency and was backed by the world’s largest gold reserves. Instead of gold reserves, other countries accumulated reserves of U.S. dollars. The US fixed the value of the Dollar to gold at $35 an ounce.
  • Other countries then fixed their exchange rate in tune with the Dollar, making it the central mode of exchange of the system.
  • In the 1960s, the US started racking up huge deficits and running out of its gold reserves, and the government found it too expensive to maintain the promise. 
  • The Bretton Woods system of currency pegs had outlived its usefulness. Japan and Europe had rebuilt their economies, and growing consumer demand made fixed exchange rates unsustainable. This led to fears of a run that could wipe out United States gold reserves.
  • By the early 1970s, countries began demanding gold for the dollars they held. They needed to combat inflation. Rather than allow Fort Knox to be depleted of all its reserves, President Nixon separated the Dollar from gold.
  • This led to the floating exchange rates that exist today. The Dollar’s value was now set by a mishmash of economic and political forces, ranging from the frenetic buying and selling of traders worldwide to central bank decisions.
  • According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Dollar remains the world’s reserve currency today. Central banks hold around 59 percent of their reserves in U.S. dollars , more than double the collective foreign holdings of euros, renminbi, and yen. That makes it the de facto global currency, even though it doesn’t hold an official title.

dollar

dollar

  • The Dollar has a huge footprint in offshore funding markets. Here, financial market participants obtain loans or raise debt in foreign currency. Over 60 percent of the world’s debt is issued in dollars, meaning foreign banks need a lot of dollars to conduct business.

dollar

  • In 2015, The Economist revealed that the United States accounts for 12 percent of merchandise trade and 23 percent of the global GDP.
  • In part because of its dominant role as a medium of exchange, the U.S. dollar is also the dominant currency in international banking.
  • The relative strength of the U.S. economy supports the value of the Dollar. It’s the reason the Dollar is the most powerful currency . As of the end of 2020, the U.S. had $2.04 trillion in circulation.
  • The dollar rules in the foreign exchange market. Approximately 90 percent of forex trading involves the U.S. dollar. The US Dollar’s dominance in global FX markets is generally linked to its use as a vehicle currency for forex transactions, meaning that non-US dollar currency pairs aren’t exchanged directly but via the Dollar.
  • Although there are many speculations that the US dollar will be dethroned by the Chinese Yuan, the general consensus is that the US dollar will remain the world’s global currency.

Will the US Dollar Continue to Dominate World Trade?

You may think that after holding the title of “the world’s most dominant currency” for so long and experiencing a series of events that negatively affected the US economy, the USD would be replaced. After all, no king rules forever.

dollar

It’s difficult to predict with certainty whether the US Dollar will continue to dominate world trade in the future. 

Recent developments have the potential to enhance the international usage of other currencies.

Factors such as shifts in political and economic conditions, changes in the global monetary system, technological developments (e.g., crypto assets), and the increasing economic power of other countries could potentially lead to a decline in the Dollar’s dominance.

  1. The Rapid Growth of China

China’s GDP already exceeds United States GDP on a purchasing power parity basis and is expected to exceed United States GDP in nominal terms in the 2030s

While the US dollar accounts for the lion’s share of international trade, a small subset of other currencies (renminbi, Euro, British Pound, Japanese Yen, and Swiss Franc) is also actively used in international trade alongside the U.S. dollar.

China has been working to internationalize its currency, the renminbi (RMB), to cut its dependence on the US dollar and assert more control over its own economy. Some economic experts believe that the RMB could eventually challenge the US dollar as a dominant currency in international trade.

However, many experts agree that the RMB will not overtake the Dollar as the world’s leading reserve currency anytime soon.

  1. The Race to Create Widespread Digital Currencies

Over the past decade, the private sector has developed thousands of cryptocurrencies over the past decade. 

A cryptocurrency is a digital currency that uses cryptography for security. It’s decentralized and operates independently of a central bank or government.

While cryptos remain a small, volatile, and niche market, they have gained a significant amount of attention and investment in recent years. Some large multinational corporations like JP Morgan seek to create more stable digital currencies for use on a larger scale. 

Central banks are also exploring the possibility of issuing their own digital currencies, which could also impact the future of the monetary system.

However, the diminution of the USD’s status seems unlikely in the near future. There has been only one instance of a predominant currency switching in modern history —the replacement of the British pound by the Dollar.

The US dollar still holds many benefits over other currencies, such as the stability of the US political system, the large size and liquidity of the US economy, and the depth of US financial markets. It’s also widely used as a reserve currency by central banks and international organizations. 

Therefore, it’s unlikely that the US dollar will stop playing a major role in international trade in the near future.

Conclusion 

Overall, the dominance of the US dollar in international transactions and financial markets is the result of a combination of factors, including the size and strength of the US economy, the stability of its political system, the sophistication of its financial system, its history of international trade and investment, and its military and political power. These factors have all contributed to making the Dollar the most dominant currency in the world today.

 

chilean

Copper Worth Millions Stolen from Chilean Port

Chilean authorities are investigating the violent theft of several copper-filled shipping containers from the national firm Codelco.

Local prosecutor Juan Carlos Catalan said in a statement to Reuters that 10 armed men entered the San Antonio port early on Tuesday morning, attacked workers and stole 13 containers, 12 of which had copper.

“There was one guard and four workers that [the assailants] tied up and beat and left locked up,” Catalan said.

Workers alerted authorities after they freed themselves.

Investigations are still ongoing.

Suspects have not yet been detained.

READ: Supply chain congestion ramps up threat of cargo theft

Codelco said the copper was scheduled to be exported and was insured.

Local media reported that the copper plates were worth an estimated $4.4 million.

Mining companies in Chile have repeatedly complained about copper thefts by organized gangs.

Codelco is a Chilean state-owned copper mining company.