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Global Trends Driving a Paradigm Shift in Trade Compliance

trade compliance

Global Trends Driving a Paradigm Shift in Trade Compliance

Over the past year, global trade has faced seismic disruptions, from escalating geopolitical conflicts and persistent inflation to supply chain breakdowns and expanding regulations. With fines for non-compliance reaching into the millions and CBP enforcements increasing in severity, organizations can no longer afford—from a financial, reputation and sustainability perspective—to view compliance as anything less than a strategic priority.

Take, for instance, CBP’s enforcement of the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA), established to root out forced labor from the supply chain. CBP requires importers to prove that their goods are free from forced labor before releasing them. For companies lacking full visibility across their supply chain—including sourcing information from Tier 1 and Tier 2 suppliers and their suppliers—this CBP enforcement tactic can be extremely costly. And without key stakeholders within the organization working together to build a holistic compliance strategy, importers are facing an uphill battle.

Navigating murky waters

As enforcement becomes harsher and penalties more severe, ensuring compliance with trade regulations is also becoming trickier for importers. Government stakeholders and policymakers today are significantly less prescriptive in how they identify third parties that are illegal or ill-advised to do business with—and this creates a serious visibility problem for companies.

The U.S. government, for example, publishes a list of Chinese entities involved with forced labor in the Uyghur region but admits the list is not exhaustive. As a result, organizations must conduct their own due diligence to prove to CBP that their goods comply with UFLPA regulations. The bottom line is that simply screening third parties against published government lists is no longer adequate. 

A collaborative model 

As policymakers become markedly less prescriptive, organizations are shackled with the internal operational burden of managing increasingly complex due diligence requirements. Indeed, the rising pressure to mitigate “three-dimensional” risk—regulatory, reputational, and resiliency (e.g., is this supplier facing political instability or climate change challenges that might impact their ability to be a long-term partner?)—is driving a new paradigm of trade compliance that promotes collaboration and the dismantling of departmental silos to build a cohesive risk mitigation strategy.

Due diligence is no longer solely the domain of the compliance group within an organization. Moving forward, companies will need to think collectively and holistically about compliance, working collaboratively across multiple operational areas—legal, procurement, trade compliance, finance, information technology, logistics and supply chain, etc.—to address three-dimensional risk. 

Building the collaborative framework 

How does an organization facilitate internal collaboration to build a compliance program that mitigates regulatory, reputational, and resiliency risk? The first step is to identify the individuals and stakeholder groups within the organization that have the capacity, capabilities, and necessary perspectives to make a meaningful contribution to the compliance discussion.

Executive sponsorship is vital for establishing a common language, lens, and framework to help break down discipline silos and facilitate productive collaboration. By appointing an executive leader, such as the Chief Ethics Officer or Chief Compliance Officer, to chair the internal governance conversations and take ownership of cross-functional collaboration efforts, organizations can build a holistic compliance program capable of meeting complex regulatory demands and reducing compliance risk.

In addition to aligned internal governance, exploring relationships with established third party partners (e.g., freight forwarders, customs brokers, any intermediaries that help enable the supply chain) and technology providers (e.g., contract management, enterprise resource planning, compliance management providers) can yield unexplored collaborative opportunities to address compliance challenges. 

Compliance in the spotlight

Adopting a collaborative approach to trade compliance helps organizations stay ahead of the game, gaining a competitive advantage as the trend towards supply chain transparency intensifies and environment, social, and corporate governance (ESG) becomes a valuable competitive differentiator.  

Notably, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has made significant motions towards codifying sustainability directives, with its Climate and ESG Task Force already levying numerous enforcement actions for ESG-related misconduct. In parallel, the European Commission issued the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) and recently adopted the European Sustainability Reporting Standards (ESRS), impacting many U.S.-based companies. 

ESRS puts companies under the regulatory microscope, requiring annual disclosure of the impact of companies’ activities on people and the environment, including details of what the organization is doing to address issues like human trafficking, forced labor, and sustainability. For the first wave of organizations affected, sustainability reports will be required as soon as fiscal year 2024.

Taking the proactive path 

With the blurring of regulatory and reputational risk, forward-thinking companies are getting out in front of the transparency and sustainability movement—before disclosure becomes a legal requirement. Organizations are driving a stake in the ground, both internally and externally, with statements from executive and governance leaders that clearly demonstrate a commitment to rooting out any forced labor risk and establishing a transparent and sustainable supply chain. 

Whether this commitment takes the form of featuring compliance outcomes in the annual report or making compliance a reported business metric, for example, companies are being proactive in pledging to set specific goals and to be transparent with consumers and internal staff about the work they’re doing and the resources they’re allocating to effect change.  

A collaborative compliance framework enables an organization to provide supply chain information that investors, the public, and regulatory bodies demand. For instance, did the strategic sourcing group change its standard operating procedures to bring a heightened level of due diligence into sourcing activities? What changes did the logistics and supply chain group implement with respect to how the organization thinks about moving goods from point A to point B? Did the legal and regulatory affairs group change the way it works with stakeholders internally to start bringing more transparency and accountability to the global supply chain?

It is in every organization’s best interest to embrace this paradigm shift in trade compliance and start building the cultural change towards transparency within the organization. By adopting a collaborative approach to trade compliance now, companies will be prepared when the law compels them to disclose their compliance policies and actions.  

Creating value moving forward

With a sustainable commitment at the governance level to transparency and internal cooperation, plus the appropriate level of executive sponsorship, organizations can foster productive collaboration between stakeholders and hold people accountable to executing the agreed upon course of action. This framework is the key to pivoting trade compliance from what has been historically viewed as a cost center to a strategic value creator within the organization. As trade compliance is redefined across the globe, savvy organizations can reap the rewards of enhanced internal and external visibility, while mitigating regulatory, reputational, and resiliency risk moving forward.

container chain market

Red Sea Attacks Impact Market Sentiment of Shippers and Exporters in Asia

Against the backdrop of escalating tensions in Yemen, the Red Sea has become a focal point of concern for international trade. 

The Houthi attacks continue unabated. In the past week, we witnessed the most intricate series of attacks to date. Fortunately, the military presence in the region, led by the Americans and the United Kingdom, has proven effective in preventing the missiles and drones from reaching their intended targets. Noted Christian Roeloffs, CEO of Container xChange. 

“This is a nightmare situation for shippers and exporters as freight rates, container prices and insurance costs have escalated. The impact has been significantly deterrent for container vessels since last month, 70-80% of container traffic has been rerouted, especially the larger carriers.” Roeloffs added.

Pre and Post-Chinese New Year Implications

“As Chinese New Year approaches amid ongoing disruptions in the Red Sea, we anticipate a tightening of container availability and vessel space in the pre-Chinese New Year phase. The rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope adds complexity to the situation. We expect freight rates to remain elevated, and supply chain managers will need to navigate ongoing schedule disruptions.

Looking beyond Chinese New Year, we project blank sailings and capacity reduction by carriers. The industry is witnessing a focused effort on resetting networks, leading to tightening of container availability and vessel space. While high freight rates and increased costs pose midterm challenges, our analysis indicates that these disruptions are not likely to be long-term. Rate reductions are anticipated on the horizon due to the structural overcapacity resulting from a severe market imbalance.” – Christian Roeloffs, CEO of Container xChange

Global Impact: European Delays and Varied Effects Across the East

The Port of Eilat, Israel’s toehold on the Red Sea, has seen an 85% drop in shipping activity, its chief executive told Reuters last month. 

The impact of disruptions in the Red Sea is reverberating in Europe, causing delays in shipments. Nevertheless, the persistent supply-demand imbalance has provided a cushion to the shockwaves so far and the rates have not skyrocketed yet to the post COVID, pent up demand levels. 

Chart 1: Container Leasing Spot Rates Trends, Source: Container xChange

“The impact has been distributed across the Far East. The container prices are escalating at a staggering rate, rising by 750 USD in less than two weeks.” Informed a customer from China. 

The freight rates, for instance, from China to Europe are up by 282% from $1243 as on 1st December 2024 to $4757 in the week of 12 January 2023 (Source: Freightos).  

Regional Insights: India’s Uncertainty and China’s Market Dynamics

“There is a lot of uncertainty and lack of demand ex-India right now. The effect of red sea is still to be determined in more tangible terms in the Indian market.” An exporter of containerised freight from India told Container xChange. 

Another customer of Container xChange, a containerised freight exporter from India said, “Ocean freight costs across the ISC region is increasing drastically. Also, there is enough supply of containers in the region and there is no shortage of SOCs (Shippers owned containers) observed so far due to the Red Sea situation in this region. In the coming days, equipment shortages from main liners will start to reflect in market. All the big liners like the CMA CGM, MSC, Maersk and Hapag Lloyd have suspended operations through the Red Sea and hence, this will impact the SOC market positively. The pickup charges for shipper owned containers will start to increase in the coming weeks.

While the effects in India have not yet prominently surfaced, the impact of the Red Sea situation is rather glaring in China. 

“The current situation in the container industry reflects a highly competitive and rapidly evolving market. Container factories are operating at full capacity until March, with a surge in demand indicating the intensity of the current situation. The preference for brand new units highlights the market’s anticipation of a prolonged scenario. The heightened demand has led to increased costs across leasing and trading, as suppliers seek quick returns by selling out their units. This has a cascading effect, with leasing suppliers adjusting prices due to rising trading costs, resulting in an overall inflation of prices.”

“The scarcity of units, particularly in the China to Russia and Europe routes, has intensified, leading to exorbitant prices. For instance, some suppliers are quoting $1600 USD for Ningbo to Moscow and over $1300 USD for China to Poland. While the US market has felt the impact, it’s not as pronounced.”

“Intriguingly, entities focused on trading and supplying, such as local depots and trading companies, are strategically limiting sales quantities to 10 units per buyer. This approach stems from the belief that there is room for further price increases. Additionally, these depots face challenges in renewing their stock, as they are unable to obtain CW units from shipping lines. Consequently, stock levels are constrained.”

“The current landscape has also given rise to opportunistic sellers aiming to capitalize on the situation. Notably, sellers are prioritizing profits over traditional cost calculations, leading to uniform pricing in different locations. For instance, 40HC cargo-worthy unit prices remain same in Shanghai and Ningbo, deviating from the norm where Ningbo typically commands a higher price due to lower unit releases by shipping lines. Sellers are presently driven more by profit considerations than a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis, to benefit from the disruption.” Added the customer from China. 

Market Sentiment Shift: Container Price Sentiment Index (xCPSI) Analysis 

The Container Price Sentiment Index (xCPSI) serves as a valuable metric for assessing the prevailing market sentiments among supply chain professionals on the anticipated trajectory of container prices in the upcoming weeks. In the first quarter of 2023, the index values were in the range of -6 to -11, indicating a prevailing sentiment that the majority expected a decline in container prices during that period.

However, the landscape has witnessed a remarkable shift if compared on a year on year, month on month basis. As of January, the xCPSI values have surged to historic highs, ranging between 67-71. This substantial increase signifies a complete reversal in sentiment, with the majority of supply chain professionals now anticipating a notable upswing in container prices.

The scale values were fluctuating within the moderate range of 25-40 in the month of December, on a 100-point scale. 

Chart 2: Container Price Sentiment Index (xCPSI) by Container xChange

This significant escalation in market expectations regarding an imminent increase in container prices is a clear indicator of the industry’s perception of how the Red Sea crisis is poised to impact container pricing dynamics in the foreseeable future. The heightened values on the xCPSI underscore a shared anticipation among supply chain professionals that the unfolding events in the Red Sea will likely exert upward pressure on container prices in the coming weeks.

 Industry’s Way Forward: Overcapacity, Ever Given Comparison, and Potential Challenges

“The freight rates are tripled since roughly a month ago, and the container prices are also expected to rise further in the short to midterm. The anticipated impact is significant.” Added Roeloffs. 

“However, it’s crucial to remember that our supply chains currently hold a surplus capacity of over 6 million TEUs, accumulated over the last two years due to a demand deficit. This excess capacity acts as a vital cushion to absorb potential shockwaves in the supply chain.”

“The degree of impact hinges on the duration of the Red Sea crisis. Should it persist for an extended period, and the excess capacity continues to be absorbed, we could potentially face serious challenges. Drawing a comparison to the Ever Given situation, where disruption occurred during a period of extreme difficulty in securing capacity and historic peak demand, rates skyrocketed to 10 times pre-pandemic levels. While we aren’t currently at those historic highs, the recent rate surge is noticeable when viewed in the short term.” 

The ongoing attacks by Houthi rebels, utilizing advanced weaponry is disrupting vital shipping routes, compelling shipping companies to reassess their operational strategies. The increased risk of hijackings and attacks not only endangers the safety of vessels and their crews but also triggers a domino effect on trade, leading to rerouting, heightened insurance costs, and delays.

syrinx

Trade Tech Introduces Syrinx: A Cutting-Edge Interface Redefining Global Logistics Efficiency

Trade Tech Inc., a renowned global logistics platform, has raised the bar for innovation with the launch of Syrinx, the next-generation user interface set to transform the landscape of international trade operations. Leveraging advanced Web 2.0 technology, Syrinx places a strong emphasis on intuitive functionality and swift performance, positioning itself as a crucial asset in the logistics industry’s evolution.

The key focus of Syrinx is to create a unified interface that caters to diverse stakeholders, ensuring user-friendliness and responsiveness. In a bid to foster effective collaboration, the platform goes beyond the conventional role of a website for booking and embodies true interoperability. Syrinx stands as a beacon of digital transformation, facilitating global data sharing, seamless communication, and enhanced interaction between supply chain service providers and their clientele.

By eliminating data silos and fragmented systems, Syrinx simplifies logistics processes, providing a cohesive approach to global operations and streamlined data access. Its notable features include:

1. Unified Operations:

Syrinx integrates various functionalities into a single unified platform, promoting seamless coordination and communication across different aspects of logistics operations.

2. Efficiency and Productivity:

The platform streamlines workflows by eliminating the need to switch between different systems, boosting productivity with all functionalities accessible within a single interface.

3. Scalability and Adaptability:

Syrinx is infinitely scalable, allowing businesses to add new functionalities or modules as their requirements evolve, supporting growth without extensive overhauls.

4. Engaging Interface:

Designed with aesthetics in mind, the Syrinx Web 2.0 Full Stack RESTful Interface offers a visually appealing experience with swift response times. The interface allows users to view and manage multiple shipments simultaneously, presenting data in a spreadsheet-like format for easy filtering, sorting, editing, and selection.

Bryn Heimbeck, President of Trade Tech, emphasized the platform’s appeal, stating, “Our goal was to develop an interface that not only looks good but also simplifies users’ lives. We wanted it to be robust yet straightforward and intuitive, eliminating the need for in-depth manuals.”

Syrinx, acting as more than just a platform, functions as a control tower setting new standards for the movement of international cargo. With an intuitive interface, it empowers businesses to effortlessly plan, execute, and optimize their logistics processes.

Key Features and Integrations:

– Trade Rates Suite:

Consolidates ocean and air rates, accessorials, and local charges with over 99% accuracy, providing additional features such as a pre-built Cost Optimizer, Customer Profiles, and Quick Quotes.

– Trade Manager:

A multi-faceted solution synchronizing and managing all-mode operational events collaboratively.

– Trade Chain:

Offers end-to-end supply chain visibility and execution, managing purchase orders for all transport modes globally.

– Trade Security:

Efficiently manages advance manifest security filings, addressing Customs concerns for smooth operations.

– Trade Cash:

A full financial package compliant with GAAP and IFRS, handling multicurrency requirements per shipment file.

Trade Tech, with over 25 years of expertise, continues its legacy of empowering supply chain managers with optimal systems. Bryn Heimbeck highlighted the significance of Syrinx, stating, “It isn’t just another platform; it’s a game-changer poised to revolutionize logistics operations, unleashing untapped potential and newfound efficiency.”

2024 supply chain

2024 Outlook: Navigating Challenges and Seizing Opportunities 

There is optimism that the world economy will rebound in 2024 after a turbulent last few years, but this positivity isn’t necessarily trickling over to the logistics sector, where there remains a sense of uncertainty and apprehension among many global business leaders.

Amidst ongoing geopolitical conflict, labor disputes, and shifting supply trends, global trade leaders are bracing for a new year likely to bring new challenges. However, for leaders who have taken proactive action and worked to fortify their supply chains, there is hope they can play their part in a global trade rebound in the coming year.

To capitalize, supply chain leaders should be watchful of three trends that will impact their business, the global trade environment, and the world economy for the foreseeable future.

Ongoing threats to the global trade landscape.

The COVID-19 pandemic illuminated the importance of planning and diversification in supply chains, lessons that have been reinforced over the last several years. While backlogs and delays related to the pandemic have ended, ongoing global conflict is creating a new cascade of delays. Namely, the conflict in the Red Sea which is creating complexities around crucial shipping lanes which will impact capacity globally. Additionally, the Russia-Ukraine war continues to be top of mind for many shippers in and around Europe.  

Beyond global conflict, unpredictability in weather patterns and the erratic nature of the global environment remains a common concern. The current crisis in the Panama Canal – where historic drought is triggering delays in a part of the world where 5% of global sea trade and over 40% of U.S. container traffic passes through – is a stark reminder of the volatility of the global supply chain. With the crisis expected to last well into 2024, supply chain leaders need to ensure they have visibility into their supply chain and a plan that can keep them adaptable and resilient in the face of changing circumstances. 

A continued expansion of nearshoring activity.

Nearshoring has become a hot topic in the global economic landscape, and this trend doesn’t appear to be slowing anytime soon. Instead, nearshoring activity is ramping up, with Mexico alone seeing $29 billion of foreign direct investment in the first half of 2023, an increase of 5.6% from the year prior. But Mexico is one of many countries likely to see continued foreign investment. India and Southeast Asia are becoming hotbeds for business and economic growth.

Aside from a shift in foreign investment hubs, new industries aim to take advantage in 2024. The automotive industry and parts suppliers have been the main power players in the nearshoring boom up to this point, particularly among American and Asian companies. Still, other industries are strengthening their diversification through nearshoring activity. The healthcare and technology industries, namely electronic equipment and accessories, are expected to increase nearshoring activity this year. 

For leaders looking to take advantage, it’s essential to consider many infrastructure and procurement requirements that must be weighed before investing in Mexico or another region. Fortunately, there are resources from those who have been shipping to/from these regions for decades and know the nuances and challenges that shippers need to be aware of. We’ve already assisted many shippers in these endeavors and developing a cross-border strategy that mitigates the risks of relocating their supply chain.

Increased business focus on sustainability.

Sustainability initiatives are now business priorities for many global companies. Increased consumer preference for sustainability practices coupled with new regional regulations and stricter ESG requirements from the European Union mean that all global leaders need to have, or at the very least be thinking through, a sustainability strategy. 

Leaders must be aware of the new and pending regulations, most notably the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) law, which requires that all EU importers report carbon emissions related to the production of certain products. Additionally, as of January 1, 2024, carriers shipping to, from, or within the European Economic Area (EEA) are subject to the EU’s new Emission Trading System (ETS) regulations which expanded to include maritime shipping. 

As more international shippers look for ways to address their own sustainability targets, logistics partners are expanding their capabilities to help. Tools like the Emissions IQ can allow businesses to understand their carbon footprint better and identify reduction areas. Digital tools can also help shippers build a long-term plan by developing key performance indicators and benchmarks that will keep the supply chain moving wherever they are in their sustainability journey. 

The global logistics landscape is constantly changing, and while we don’t know everything that lies ahead in 2024, leaders should understand how these trends impact their business. Doing so will keep the supply chain agile regardless of whichever way the winds of the global economy blow. 

 

baltimore import mach electronic shipping route import 7LFreight Expands Instant Cargo Pricing and Booking for North American Forwarders Across Both Air and Trucking  import container descartes automation baltimore bridge container freight global trade

Rising Spot Rates and Container Demand Surge in the Wake of Red Sea Turmoil, ahead of the Chinese New Year

The Red Sea, a vital conduit for East-West trade, is undergoing unprecedented turmoil due to persistent attacks by Houthi rebels, causing significant uptick in fuel and insurance costs, longer voyages and capacity soak up for the transportation and logistics sector. 

Container xChange, an online container logistics platform for container trading and container leasing, issues a critical advisory as the Red Sea crisis deepens, impacting the landscape of global maritime trade.

Recent attacks by Houthi rebels have persisted on the Red Sea, with the most substantial assault launched on January 9, 2024, indicating a continued threat to maritime traffic in the Red Sea. 

Customers of the Container xChange platform affirm that the shipping lines have raised their slot prices significantly. A Container xChange customer based and operating in Singapore shared on the Red Sea matter that, “Average rate on China-Europe quoted this week is about US$5400/40’HC, up from US$1,500 (3X) just the week before.” 

Container trading spot rates shoot up by 48% in Latin America East in the last 30 days (as on 11 January 2024)

container
Chart 1: Region-wise container spot rates 30 days delta as on January 12, 2024

Latin America (East and West), Japan & Korea and Europe Mediterranean witness highest increase in Container trading spot rates over the last 30 days.

“We foresee that the rate hikes will flatten out in the mid to long term. We have enough capacity which can be soaked up in longer transit times and yet not cause permanent capacity crunch.” said Roeloffs. 

Demand for Containers shoot up

There is a growing demand for containers in Asia as shippers and forwarders foresee cargo demand in the coming weeks, to fulfil orders ahead of the Chinese New Year. A container manufacturer from China shared with Container xChange, “Shipping companies are demanding more containers now as they avoid red sea. Therefore, Shipping companies and leasing companies have placed more than 750,000 TEU ISO container orders out of China in the last two months.”

Meanwhile, container trading spot rates are increasing at a staggering rate as observed on the Container xChange platform. Spot rates in Shanghai, Hamburg, Boston, in the illustrations below, indicate examples of the steep demand increase that is currently being witnessed for boxes in these hotspots. 

container
Chart 2: Average container market price for trading in Shanghai
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Chart 3: Average container market price for trading in Boston

 

Chart 4: Average container market price for trading in Hamburg

As an immediate reaction to the disruption, these average container spot rates and prices are expected to rise, but then plateau after reaching a high. 

The container price sentiment Index (xCPSI), a sentiment tool by Container xChange to measure market sentiment for container price development, reached an all-time high as container price anticipation peaks. This indicates that the supply chain professionals are expecting these prices to further shoot up in the coming weeks significantly. 

Chart 5: Container Price Sentiment Index xCPSI 2023-24, xCPSI measures container price sentiment index concurrently amongst the supply chain professionals

The index value peaked at 71 in January from an average of 27 in December, mirroring the significant impact Red Sea attacks have had on prices so far. 

The Ultimate Cost Burden 

The two visible and obvious cost components that are leading to higher transport costs resulting from rerouting to Cape of Good hope are – insurance and fuel costs. 

Insurance for cargo transiting Red Sea has become challenging. On top of it, insurance costs have surged in anticipation of the difficulties and challenges that do not seem to taper off.

Another element is the fuel cost which has increased roughly by 20-23% by way of traveling through the Cape of Good Hope, as compared to the traditional Suez Canal route. 

“Ultimately, the final consumer pays the freight cost. In the short term, usually there is some intermediary that pays the bills, because they have promised at some certain price, but ultimately in normal circumstances, the price per unit is adjusted marginally to the end consumer when such a disruption occurs.” added Roeloffs.

Fine-tuning Inventory management strategies 

“There is always safety stock, that retailers keep, so buffer stock is there. Yes, it soaks up some capacity, but this event doesn’t have the capacity to impact inventory to an extent that we do not see products on the shelves. I don’t see that coming.” added Roeloffs. 

 The shipping and the global trade largely have become relatively more resilient to supply chain shocks as these become evidently more frequent and persistent. 

“As we witness continued disruptions disturbing the global supply chains in the mid to long term, we will see enhanced supply chain resilience.” added Roeloffs. 

The bulk, oil and gas sector have no impact so far whatsoever as the vessels carrying these continue to operate on the Red Sea. There has been no attack on these vessel types. High value container vessels are being diverted, impacting the big east-west trade from Europe to Asia and vice versa. 

So far, Out of 700, some 500 vessels have been diverted soaking up significant capacity from the existing overcapacity that the industry was grappling with. 

As businesses face this new challenge, there are three immediate recommendations that can improve the situation handling currently for companies-

  • Hold Adequate Safety Stocks: Maintaining sufficient safety stocks is crucial for absorbing disruptions without significantly impacting inventory levels.
  • Enhance Flexibility: Operating with multiple networks and suppliers adds resilience, reducing dependency on a single source.
  • Leverage Technology: Embracing technology is paramount for identifying problems in (or almost) real-time and making informed decisions, ensuring a proactive response to disruptions.

 Note of context:

In a troubling turn of events, the Red Sea, a vital artery for global maritime trade, is facing unprecedented disruptions, primarily due to recent attacks by Houthi rebels on ships passing through the region. The Red Sea, with its strategic importance accentuated by the Suez Canal, serves as a crucial superhighway connecting Europe, Asia, and Africa. Recent attacks have escalated operational costs, creating significant challenges for shipping industries and placing downward pressure on profits. The Bab el Mandeb strait, also known as the Gate of Grief, has become a focal point, and its geographical challenges make it a critical chokepoint for maritime traffic. The disruption is not only impacting the flow of goods but also leading to a substantial re-routing of vessels, resulting in increased shipping costs, longer voyages, and environmental concerns.

Impact Highlights:

  • Rerouting Challenges: Vessels are diverting around the Cape of Good Hope, leading to increased fuel costs, environmental concerns, and impacts on shipping efficiency.
  • Shipping Industry Strain: Shipping costs have surged, with a 60 percent drop in vessels passing through the Suez Canal.
  • Oil Tanker Stability: Despite disruptions, oil and fuel tanker traffic in the Red Sea remained stable in December, providing a glimmer of hope for stable energy supply chains.
  • Rising Shipping Costs: The Red Sea crisis is projected to push shipping costs up to 60 percent, coupled with a 20 percent increase in insurance premiums, affecting overall operating costs. 
  • Insurance Challenges: War risk premiums for shipping have surged, impacting transportation costs and potentially leading vessels to seek alternative routes.
  • Re-routing Impact: Re-routing through the Cape of Good Hope results in 10-20 days of delays, adding complexity to logistics and affecting delivery timelines.
  • Supply Chain Disruptions: The Red Sea crisis spotlights broader issues of supply chain disruptions, requiring strategic planning and forecasting by companies to navigate challenges.

As the Red Sea crisis unfolds, the global shipping industry faces unprecedented challenges, necessitating collaborative efforts and strategic solutions to ensure the resilience of supply chains and mitigate the far-reaching impacts on international trade.

 

africa

5 Major Ports in Africa That Are Strengthening African Trade

Africa boasts a 26,000-kilometre-long coastline dotted with over 100 ports and harbours. However, despite this extensive maritime access, none of Africa’s ports rank among the top 10 busiest in terms of annual container traffic. Unfortunately, the development of sea ports in Africa has lagged behind other parts of the world in terms of efficiency and capacity for handling international cargo. 

A couple of global port operators are tackling this discrepancy, including Hutchison Ports, DPWorld, APM Terminals, and ICTSI, which operates five major African ports. Continuously looking for opportunities worldwide, the company recently announced the expansion of its portfolio to include DCT Pier 2 in Durban, South Africa—Transnet’s largest container terminal. 

The state of ports in Africa in 2023

According to the World Bank’s Container Port Performance Index 2021, the top 20 most efficient container ports in the world are all located in Asia and Europe. The highest-ranking African port is the Port of Tanger Med, which is ranked 34th on the list. 

Historically, there are a few challenges to developing sea ports in Africa. Many African ports have been underfunded for many years, which has led to outdated infrastructure and equipment. This can make it difficult for them to handle large volumes of cargo efficiently.

There’s also the geographic and socio-political reality of shipping in Africa that causes interconnectivity challenges. Many African ports are not well-connected to the road and rail networks of their respective countries, which can make it difficult to transport cargo to and from the ports. 

Nevertheless,  there are a number of African ports that are making significant progress in improving their efficiency and capacity. For example, the Port of Durban in South Africa and the Port of Tanger Med in Morocco are now among the most efficient ports in the continent. These two and more are making notable contributions to the economies of the region and changing the landscape of global shipping. 

What are the major ports in Africa?

Foreign investments have led to significant upgrades at major seaports across Africa. These are the major ports in Africa today—and how they’re contributing to the economies of the countries around the continent. 

Port of Mombasa, Kenya

The Port of Mombasa, operated by the Kenya Ports Authority, is the largest port in East Africa and a central hub for trade between Africa and Asia. It has expanded in recent years, and primarily exports tea, coffee, horticultural products, and other goods from inland African countries like Uganda, Burundi, Rwanda, eastern Congo, Ethiopia, and the southern part of Sudan. Approximately 35.9 million tonnes of cargo and 1.49 million TEUs were handled at the port in 2020.

Kenya’s major port in Mombasa also imports petroleum products, consumer goods, and machinery from Western Europe, Asia, America, and the Far East ports. In Kenya, trade contributed 15.6 % of Kenya’s GDP in 2020, making the port a major contributor to economic success in the country. 

Port of Durban, South Africa

While there are many ports in South Africa, the Port of Durban is a major commercial hub on the East African coast. The Port of Durban accounts for around 60% of trade revenue for South Africa and links products traveling between the Far East, Middle East, South and North America, Europe, and Australia. 

Development continues at this key port. Transnet SOC Ltd selected ICTSI as the preferred bidder for the 25-year joint venture to develop and operate Durban Container Terminal (DCT) Pier 2. 

“Our goal is to maximize the Port of Durban’s potential through responsible operations. We look forward to collaborating with Transnet and all the stakeholders involved, who share our vision for a world-class terminal that serves as a catalyst for economic growth in the region,” said Christian R. Gonzalez, ICTSI’s executive vice president.

Port of Toamasina, Madagascar

The Port of Toamasina may not be the biggest port in the world, but it’s among the most efficient—which is why it warrants a mention in this list of major ports in Africa. 

Strategically located on the eastern coast of Madagascar, Madagascar International Container Terminal Services Ltd. (MICTSL)is a key port facility in the Indian Ocean connecting African and Asian trade. The Port of Toamasina handles 90% of Madagascar’s container traffic. 

Since then, the terminal has been modernised to make port operations run more efficiently, reports The Africa Logistics.

Port of Matadi, Congo

Not all of Africa’s ports are located on the coast. Matadi is the most important port on the Congo River, handling 90% of maritime traffic (not including oil tankers). Approximately 150 kilometers upstream from the Atlantic, Matadi is a major import and export point for the whole of D.R. Congo. 

The Port of Matadi is the only terminal in DRC with mobile harbor cranes allowing gearless vessels to operate, and empty depot services accepting empty containers before vessel arrival. This allows Matadi to have the fastest turnaround time in the region for both trucks and vessels. 

Matadi enables the transport of the DRC’s rich agricultural exports, such as coffee, palm, oil, cotton, and sugar. Its mining sector, however, has been driving the economy with copper, cobalt, gold, coltan, tin, zinc, and diamonds as among its major exports. 

Port of Tanger Med, Morocco

The Port of Tanger Med is a new port complex located near the Strait of Gibraltar. It is one of the largest ports in the Mediterranean Sea and is well-positioned to serve as a hub for trade between Europe, Africa, and Asia. Tanger Med is a central hub for the export of automobiles, textiles, and agricultural products, and for the import of petroleum products, machinery, and consumer goods. It comprises four container terminals, two of which are operated by APM Terminals. 

“Tanger-Med handled 7,174,870 TEUs in 2021, and a total cargo volume of 101,055,713 passed through its general cargo terminal. The RORO terminal crossed the 400,000 mark in the same year, a remarkable achievement,” wrote Marine Insight. “This tremendous upward growth was achieved by port digitisation, reduction in waiting times, resumption of industrial exports and upgradation of port equipment.” 

Empowering the future of ports in Africa

Africa’s maritime ports hold so much potential for improvement. Investments from the private sector have led to the development of more efficient and more competitive port facilities like Onne Multipurpose Terminal in Nigeria and Kribi Multipurpose Terminal in Cameroon, both operated by ICTSI. As the largest independent terminal operator, ICTSI is working diligently to develop, modernise, and upgrade ports around the world, including in AfricaI. 

Learn more about ICTSI Africa’s ongoing projects and future initiatives, and stay informed about the evolution of vital port infrastructure across the continent.

export alan

US Export Control, Sanctions & Solutions

Reform of U.S. export controls that began in 2013 has increased the profile and responsibilities for the Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security (which administers the Export Administration Regulations). Among its new duties, BIS now has oversight for certain items previously controlled by the Department of State’s Directorate of Defense Trade Controls (which administers the International Traffic in Arms Regulations), referred to as “600 series items.” Although BIS ostensibly has chief responsibility for these items, overlap between the regimes remains that can ensnare unwitting exporters. In some scenarios, U.S. exporters may require separate licenses from BIS and DDTC, one to export and another train customers on the item. 

Usually, exporters of 600 series items may rely on the license exception found in the EAR at 15 C.F.R. 740.13 to train customers on exported items. This exception permits provision of “operation technology,” defined as the minimum technology necessary for the installation, operation, maintenance (checking), or repair of those commodities or software that are lawfully exported. When instruction implicates “defense services,” however, ITAR trumps the EAR exception and exporters must obtain a separate license from DDTC, even with a BIS license already in hand. 

ITAR requires DDTC authorization to provide defense services to non-U.S. persons. Although chiefly limited in scope to defense articles, the definition of “services” includes any military training of foreign units regardless of whether the training involves a defense article, whether the units are regular or irregular, and whether the training is formal or informal, remote or in person. 22 C.F.R. 120.32(a)(3). USML Category IX(e)(3) further confirms DDTC’s jurisdiction over licensing in these situations by including “Military training not directly related to defense articles or technical data enumerated in this subchapter.”

As with the EAR license exception for training, the USML contains a license exception permitting training on exported items—but that exception only authorizes training for defense articles. 22 C.F.R. 124.2. The dueling license exceptions in the EAR and USML therefore produce an unexpected gap: an exporter of a 600 series item to a foreign military must obtain separate licenses from BIS and DDTC for export and training, respectively. 

Exporters of 600 series items can take steps to ensure they do not become a cautionary tale. Exporters can conduct ECCN audits to confirm exported items are properly classified, review customer lists to ensure DDTC jurisdiction does not exist, and file voluntary self disclosures where necessary. Export control policies and procedures can be reviewed and tailored to the specific needs and demands of the company and specifically identify items or services that deserve greater attention and care. Most important, however, is documenting your compliance efforts to create a record of the company’s good-faith in complying with U.S. export control law. 

Author Bio

Thomas Slattery is a partner in Jones Walker’s Litigation Practice Group. He focuses on internal corporate investigations and compliance matters.

shipping trade

Global Trade Braces for Unprecedented Geopolitical Challenges in 2024 

Container xChange, a leading online container trading and leasing platform, releases its New Year’s Edition Container Market Forecaster, shedding light on the escalating geopolitical risks set to reshape the landscape of global trade in 2024.

In response to these geopolitical risks, majority of shipping professionals surveyed in the month of December 2023, by Container xChange, are gearing up to enhance resilience through strategic initiatives like – ‘risk assessment and scenario planning’, ‘diversification of routes’ and ‘suppliers and regulatory compliance’. The biggest ‘headache’ resulting from geopolitical upheaval is the ‘associated costs’ that they will have to bear on top of the rising operating costs that they have to already face. 

Key Highlights:

  1. Strategic Focus Areas: In response to geopolitical risks, shipping professionals are prioritizing ‘risk assessment and scenario planning,’ ‘diversification of routes and suppliers,’ and ‘regulatory compliance’ in 2024.
  2. Rising Concerns: Survey findings reveal that the biggest concern stemming from geopolitical upheaval is the ‘associated costs,’ compounding the challenges posed by soaring operating costs. Many customers are worried about the rising costs resulting from the Red Sea situation like compliance charges, insurance premiums and war risk charges, etc. The operating costs have already been rising soon after the rates crashed in 2022, and demand failed to recover. On top of the rising costs, these additional surcharges will only add to the worries of shippers and forwarders.
  3. BRICS Expansion: The inclusion of new economies in the BRICS bloc, including Saudi, Iran, UAE, Egypt, and Ethiopia, sets the stage for potential polarization of global trade, impacting geopolitical compliance.
  4. Technology Utilization: Despite challenges, 82% of industry professionals acknowledge the importance of technology for resilience in 2024, with predictive analysis and forecasting tools taking center stage.
  5. Sanctions Compliance: Amidst geopolitical developments, sanctions compliance becomes critical for supply chain professionals, adding another layer of complexity to global trade.
  6. Fluctuating Freight Rates: freight rates will increase in the short to midterm, but not in the long run as demand and supply is still highly imbalanced with no clear signs of a strong revival. 

Talking about the Red Sea situation, Christian Roeloffs said, “The Red Sea is a vital artery for global trade which is currently blocked. Thankfully, there are ways to circumvent that artery and keep the global trade moving and therefore, the trade is not stopped. Therefore, the red sea situation is acute but not chronic in the long term for the shipping industry.

There are still many geopolitical risks that have the potential to significantly impact shipping trade in 2024. We have the Israel – Hamas war, the related situation in the Red Sea, the Russia Ukraine war with no end in sight, tensions between China and Taiwan and an increasing enlargement of the BRICS block. 

BRICS expansion

“What can have a far- reaching and long-term impact on the global supply chain is the BRICS inclusions of more economies.” Roeloffs added. 

There is a host of countries being added in the BRICS block, namely, Saudi, Iran, UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, while Argentina declined inclusion. BRICS has been viewed as a counterbalance to the Western-led world order. 

“If the block starts to increasingly align political decisions and geopolitical stances, then there could be added complexities to the global trade order with rising polarization of global trade. Ultimately this might lead to a situation where one block is not allowed to trade with the other block and eventually, geopolitical compliance becomes more complex and difficult.” he added. 

The expansion of BRICS will bring further interesting developments worth noting. Iran and Saudi are now in the same organization despite a strained relationship. Egypt has close commercial ties with Russia and India but also with the US. India and China together account for ~2.5bn people and could heavily influence global policymaking if they are more aligned.  And finally, Russia and Iran being able to jointly influence “trade” policymaking within the BRICS group could lead to a “sharpening” of trade rethink of US-allies vs BRICS.

Amidst these developments, sanctions compliance will become critical for supply chain professionals for doing business. 

Any geopolitical unrest has a direct and causal impact on global trade which results in market volatility. Classic case in point is the Gaza Strip and the resulting actions by Houthis in Jemen. This leads to trade rerouting, ultimately resulting in rising operating costs, delays, and service disruptions.” said Roeloffs.

container chain market

Red Sea Developments and their Impact on Northern European Container Prices

Analysis from Christian Roeloffs, cofounder & CEO of Container xChange

Complete Video of the analysis: https://www.youtube.com/watch/UegHC0btQw8 

Key Highlights from the analysis: 

“Some of the main ports in Germany like Rotterdam, Hamburg, Bremen are posting significant week on week price increases and of course the interpretation is that the situation in the Red Sea has contributed to this increase.”

“The market anticipates that especially in Europe which is on the receiving end of import containers from the Middle East, India, southeast Asia and China, that container scarcity will lead to an increase in container prices and the market.” Explained Christian as part of the analysis. 

7-days price change of container prices 

“Ports at the receiving end of those import containers like the port of Rotterdam and Hamburg, are recording a significant increase in container prices over the last two weeks, since the situation in Red Sea started to escalate.”  

“A consistent pricing trend is observed in the surge of Freight rates. Xeneta’s reports indicate a spot rate increase of 20 to 30% on major East-West corridors.”

“The key question for the industry is the duration of the current situation. Is it a temporary disturbance, a perceived bump in the road, or are carriers capitalizing on the situation as container vessels are diverted around the southern tip of Africa, adding strain due to the Suez Canal’s inaccessibility.” 

Approximately 1.4 to 1.77 million TEU of capacity, accounting for 5 to 6% of the market’s total capacity, is affected. This offers relief for carriers amid the current state of overcapacity. 

“The lingering question is the duration of this circumstance and when naval forces, particularly from Egypt, Great Britain, France, and the US, will take control of security in the Red Sea.” 

“Industry sources suggest that this task might not be straightforward. Forming convoys could impede traffic, and addressing drone boat attacks poses challenges, especially considering the difficulty of detecting these boats in high-traffic areas like the Red Sea.”

 

Houthi Attacks Update: East-West Trade Braces for Uptick in Freight Costs in 2024

The unfolding events in vital maritime passages such as the Red Sea, Suez Canal, and Panama Canal have prompted swift responses from major shipping companies, thereby impacting the container shipping sector. An additional 40% longer route, causing heavy upward pressure in the operating costs is expected to persist as the shipping time extends anywhere between one to four weeks due to the longer route.

Recent missile attacks by Houthi militants in the Red Sea have prompted leading shipping entities like CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd, Maersk, and Mediterranean Shipping Co. to temporarily halt transits through the Suez Canal. Additionally, the Panama Canal has been effectively closed to MPV (multipurpose) shipping until at least May, leading carriers to explore alternative routes via the Cape of Good Hope and the Strait of Magellan.

“The situation in the Red Sea has been escalating quite significantly over the last two weeks where Houthi rebels have started to attack the commercial vessels by the big ocean liners. Subsequently the container liners are essentially instructing their vessels to avoid transiting through the Suez Canal and around the Cape of Good Hope adding quite a significant delay and time to their East to West trade journeys.” said Christian Roeloffs, cofounder and CEO, Container xChange, a prominent online container logistics platform for container trading and leasing. 

Container xChange reported about the potential disruptions and implication on the Suez Canal in October this year right after the start of the Israel – Hamas – Palestine conflict. 

“Now the shares of shipping lines have jumped in anticipation of a post-COVID disruption revival. It will all depend on how navies take this up. Egypt has a significant commercial interest in the functioning of the Suez Canal as it is one of the main revenue drivers and if the diversion happens then it will have a significant impact there.” Roeloffs added. 

“As of now, the traffic at the Suez Canal and the Red Sea looks healthy but that can turn around very quickly. If we go by history, then the situation of the Ever Given did create a lot of traffic jam a few years ago, the repercussions of which were felt for months.” added Roeloffs.  

Potential Impact on Container Shipping

“About 30% of Israeli imports come through the Red Sea on container vessels that are booked two to three months in advance for consumer or other products, meaning that if the voyage will now be extended, products with a shelf life of two to three months will not be worthwhile importing from the Far East,” said Yoni Essakov, who sits on the executive committee of the Israeli Chamber of Shipping. “Importers will need to increase stock due to the uncertainty and pay much more and others will lose out on their markets as time to market is not competitive.” Essakov added. 

  • Service Disruptions:
      • Vessel schedules may face disruptions due to route changes and heightened security measures.
      • Delays in shipments through both the Suez and Panama Canals could affect delivery timelines.
  • Increased Costs:
      • War risk premiums are likely to rise, affecting carriers and potentially leading to increased freight costs.
      • Alternative routes, such as the longer Cape of Good Hope, may incur higher operational expenses.
  • Trans-Pacific Trade Dynamics:
    • The closure of the Panama Canal may shift market dynamics, impacting routes and cargo volumes.
    • The West Coast is expected to regain market share as carriers adjust their strategies.

“The Red Sea, especially with the Suez Canal, is like a superhighway for shipping containers, connecting different parts of the world, particularly Europe, Asia and Africa. However, recent disruptions are poised to escalate operational costs, adding significant strain, while concurrently exerting downward pressure on profits. It marks a disheartening beginning to the strategic planning for the year 2024,” expressed Christian Roeloffs.

 The Red Sea trade route is strategically significant due to its role in connecting the Mediterranean Sea to the Indian Ocean, providing a shortcut for ships traveling between Europe and the countries in Asia and Africa. The 193-km long canal accounts for 12 percent of global trade, including 30 percent of all container movement. A huge amount of Europe’s energy supply, palm oil and grain come through the Suez Canal Waterway which also gets impacted by these attacks and subsequently by the disruptions thereafter. 

Recommendations for Container xChange Users:

  • Monitor Shipments Closely:
      • Stay updated on the status of your shipments and vessel schedules.
      • Be prepared for potential delays and adjustments to delivery timelines.
  • Evaluate Cost Implications:
      • Assess the potential impact of rising war risk premiums on freight costs (freight rates have already shot up by 20% as reported by Xeneta).
      • Consider alternative routes and their associated operational expenses.
  • Communication with Partners:
    • Maintain open communication with shipping partners to stay informed about changes.
    • Collaborate closely with carriers to address any specific concerns or requirements.