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Paint and Varnish Price in United States Hits New Record of $25.4 per kg

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Paint and Varnish Price in United States Hits New Record of $25.4 per kg

U.S. Paint and Varnish Export Price in March 2023

In March 2023, the paint and varnish price amounted to $25,386 per ton (FOB, US), picking up by 2.6% against the previous month. Over the period from March 2022 to March 2023, it increased at an average monthly rate of +1.0%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in December 2022 when the average export price increased by 8% month-to-month. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs in March 2023.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In March 2023, the country with the highest price was China ($40,517 per ton), while the average price for exports to Panama ($10,569 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From March 2022 to March 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Jamaica (+11.7%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

U.S. Paint and Varnish Exports

In March 2023, paint and varnish exports from the United States soared to 11K tons, jumping by 17% compared with the previous month’s figure. Overall, exports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern.

In value terms, paint and varnish exports skyrocketed to $276M (IndexBox estimates) in March 2023. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

U.S. Paint and Varnish Exports by Country

Canada (5.2K tons), Mexico (3.1K tons) and China (250 tons) were the main destinations of paint and varnish exports from the United States, with a combined 79% share of total exports. Panama and Jamaica lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 2.2%.

From March 2022 to March 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Panama (with a CAGR of +10.6%), while the other leaders experienced a decline.

In value terms, the largest markets for paint and varnish exported from the United States were Canada ($126M), Mexico ($75M) and China ($10M), together comprising 76% of total exports. These countries were followed by Panama and Jamaica, which together accounted for a further 1%.

Among the main countries of destination, Panama, with a CAGR of +5.8%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform 

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Single-Family Construction Boom to Support the American Paint and Coating Market

The U.S. paint and coating market was seriously hurt by the pandemic, with the drop in demand observed for all types of paints. From the second half of 2020, growing suburban construction promotes a revival of the industry. China currently features as a key export marketHowever, India’s government-driven residential construction plan could make the country an attractive destination for American exporters.

Suburban Construction Supports the U.S. Paint and Coatings Market While the Industrial Sector Languishes

According to a new report published by IndexBox, the U.S. paint and coatings market is estimated at approx. $22.2B. As a result of the pandemic and subsequent plunge in downstream industries’ output, the market declined by 18% compared to the previous year. A drop in demand was recorded for the major consuming industries: automotive, renovation and construction, oil and gas, and shipbuilding.

Architectural coatings account for about 60% of the total production. The demand for this product reduced by 15% due to a decrease in construction in the first half of 2020. The industrial OEM coatings segment holds a 28% share of the paints and coatings market. During the pandemic, the consumption of industrial coatings decreased by 9.5%.

The current surge of U.S. housing construction is expected to become the main driver of the architectural coatings market. After the pandemic started, the demand for new housing increased significantly under low mortgage rates. More people seek places to isolate themselves, while rising unemployment forces people to relocate to suburbs with affordable housing prices.

Should the pandemic wane in 2021, another incentive for pain and coating consumption is expected to come from the planned renewal of the U.S. airliner fleet and the space industry’s growth. Although the U.S. aerospace industry has been significantly affected by the COVID-19 lockdowns, the defense sector is expected to remain stable and to feature a slow growth in 2021-2027.

With New Residential Construction Plan, India the May Emerge as Attractive Export Destination

In 2019, U.S. overseas shipments of paints and coatings amounted to $2.9B (IndexBox estimates). Canada ($1.2B), Mexico ($707M), and China ($125M) appeared to be the largest export markets for American suppliers, together comprising 69% of total exports.

Over the medium term, the Asia-Pacific is expected to feature the largest increase in construction activity, especially in China and India. Their governments are planning to invest additional funds in housing construction. In particular, India launched the “Housing for All by 2022” program, with investments of about $1.3 trillion. Although India doesn’t currently feature as a top export destination for paints and coatings from the U.S., the planned surge in construction appears to be a powerful growth driver.

The average paint and coating export price stood at $3,188 per tonne in 2019. Prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest price was China ($4,864 per tonne), while the average price for exports to Mexico ($2,035 per tonne) was amongst the lowest. From 2013 to 2019, the most notable growth rate in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to China, while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform