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Hydrogen: Why Your Investment Isn’t Up in the Air 

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Hydrogen: Why Your Investment Isn’t Up in the Air 

It’s clear that hydrogen remains a central pillar on the road to net zero with the fuel source predicted to make up 22% of final energy demand globally by 2050.

Read also: The Growing Green Hydrogen Market: A Sustainable Energy Revolution

Hydrogen is particularly effective in parts of the economy difficult to decarbonize such as long-haul transport with its natural abundance and easy nozzle-to-pump filling dispensation.

With the global fuel cell electric vehicle market expected to be worth 428.7 billion by 2032, forecourt owners are wise to invest in dedicated hydrogen pumps to help future-proof their businesses.

However, the investment also demonstrates a significant financial contribution. fueling company, Dover Fueling Solutions explain why this is a sound decision which will pay off in the long run.

How is hydrogen distributed and at what cost?  

The distribution of hydrogen is via three main channels: pipelines, high-pressure tube trailers and liquefied hydrogen tankers.

At present, pipes typically remain the least expensive way to deliver large volumes of hydrogen, with 4,300km of pipeline currently in place across the continent and 23,365km predicted by 2030.

Another option is tube trailers which transport compressed hydrogen gas by truck, rail or sea. This is typically an expensive method and is used for shorter distances of 200 miles or less.

Liquefied hydrogen tankers are another method used to cool hydrogen to temperatures where it becomes a liquid. This is also typically expensive but can be transported more efficiently and over longer distances too.

In addition to these different logistic methods, the dispensing mechanism is more complicated too due to the various temperatures hydrogen needs to be stored and dispensed at.

As a gas, hydrogen requires storage in high-pressure tanks of around 350-700 bar or 5000 – 10,000 psi. Liquid storage, meanwhile, requires cryogenic temperatures of -252.8 degrees. Both of these can be costly procedures with an estimated $10 per kWh of stored hydrogen capacity.

You may be wondering whether all of this is worth it, especially with the challenges surrounding distribution, storage and converting hydrogen.

So, is all of this expense worth it?

Clearly then, championing hydrogen fuel pumps demonstrates a significant investment for forecourts but that isn’t to say it doesn’t make shrewd business sense, particularly given hydrogen’s stratospheric potential.

The International Energy Agency notes that the move towards hydrogen is enjoying “unprecedented momentum” around the world as it finally presents itself as a longstanding clean energy solution.

In Europe, the ‘Basque Hydrogen Corridor’ has seen 200 million investments alone in various projects with the market expected to swell to $428 billion globally by 2032.

Of course, to facilitate all of this demand and growth, the sector will need a fully scaled infrastructure which caters to the needs of drivers, be they commercial or consumer. To accommodate, hydrogen refuelling stations are expected to grow by 17% with North America leading the growth.

The hope is that as hydrogen becomes more widely adopted, the cost of hydrogen adoption will fall dramatically. This will be in part due to technological improvements across the sector including renewable energy generation and declining costs of hydrogen electrolysis. Forecasters predict that the costs of hydrogen production could decline as much as 50% by 2023 and 70% by 2050.

In fact, stock market analysts Motley Fool believe that hydrogen is one of the best alternative fuel investments to make right now. Given its potential to decarbonize heavy industry, the fuel is likely to see an abundance of private investment which should improve infrastructure across the continent. The website estimates that it could well become a multi-trillion industry of the future.

Conclusion 

While the initial financial outlay may be daunting for some station owners, the hydrogen market demonstrates enough growth to merit the investment.

global trade vehicle

GHG Emissions Control Drives the Hydrogen-based Vehicle Market

Introduction

Natural resources and fuel reservoirs are depleting rapidly. With this effect in the background, the demand for sustainable alternatives is expected to grow. In the context of adhering to such alternatives, many organizations are finding key solutions that can not only fulfill the energy requirement but also satisfy strict environmental standards.

Read also: The Growing Green Hydrogen Market: A Sustainable Energy Revolution

Such innovations have led to a better scope for various sectors and allied realms, which augment the global landscape. Companies operating in such ecosystems innovate in order to meet different guidelines and maintain profitability.

As an alternative to traditional fuel systems, the automobile industry is shifting toward sustainable fuel sources. This trend is augmenting the competitive space as key players in the sector differentiate products based on such demand trends.

The hydrogen-based vehicles market is a prime example, which is influenced due to different trends. Let us delve deep into the assessment of the ecosystem, and various drivers proliferating the growth and opportunities for key players in the sector.

The global hydrogen-based vehicle market size was recorded at USD 1.5 billion in 2023. With the whopping development ratio nearing a CAGR of 30.8% during the forecast period, the era promises the industry to reach a valuation mark of USD 30.8 billion by 2034.

With the accelerated depletion of natural resources, alternative fuel sources are required to be found. To cater to the demand for fuel a resource must be used, that not only fulfills the energy demand but also nurtures the environment. As a result, several alternative fuel resources have emerged, which gain traction based on the application of such fuels.

Alternative Fuel Resources: The Necessity Changed into a Driver

Leading automobile manufacturers are keen on the optimization of vehicles. The process can be achieved with numerous methods. Many manufacturers focus on the optimization of engines such that the vehicle provides better consumer comfort.

Despite the improvement in vehicular design, the necessity to find alternative fuel resources is rising. Due to the rapid depletion of crude oil and petroleum, the probability of future generations facing a shortage of oil reserves is higher.

The shift from conventional fuel resources to modern resources that can arrest rapid depletion and help manufacturers adhere to sustainability is observed. As a result, this shift in consumer trends is encouraging manufacturers to choose alternative fuel sources.

Along with maintaining environmental integrity, energy requirements must be comfortably met. All such parameters can be achieved with the adoption of such a fuel source that can meet such criteria. Hydrogen is an important fuel source that can fulfill all simultaneous demands, and therefore, the element is expected to gain more traction in the future.

The reactivity of the element is high, and thus, can be used to trigger multiple reactions, creating more energy in fewer resources. As hydrogen fuel does not create any environmental hazard, the element is expected to gain attention in the automobile industry.

Greenhouse Gases Reduction to Drive the Demand for Hydrogen-based Vehicles

After the combustion in the combustion chamber of an automobile, hydrogen does not produce any harmful emissions that can harm the environment. This key property of the element drives the popularity of Hydrogen in several realms.

The aim to reduce carbon footprints is encouraging several industries to curb carbon emissions. To cater to this demand, many firms have chosen alternatives that are sustainable and cost-effective.

In the case of the automobile sector, such parameters can be achieved with the help of controlling effluents and materials which are the key by-products of the process of combustion.

Aiming to reduce carbon footprints in the industry, a suitable alternative can be used, which can be a perfect replacement for hydrocarbons. The fuel must be capable of generating enough calorific value as that of hydrocarbons but at the same time, the fuel must not emit gases like carbon dioxide, sulfur gas, etc.

Hydrogen is a perfectly suiting alternative that can fulfil such criteria, and thus, the element is expected to gain traction in the industry. The elimination of such harmful effluents can help the automobile industry meet sustainability norms and guidelines designed by different governments.

Technological Growth: Research and Development Fuels the Realm of Hydrogen-base Vehicles

The rising technological infrastructure is aiding leading manufacturers to invest more in research and development projects. Leading players in the automobile market emphasize controlling the volatility of hydrogen.

Due to the extreme volatility of hydrogen, the threat to passengers and drivers is greater. More efforts must be taken to control this volatility in order to gain maximum benefits from the element.

With the growing government investments in the industry, research institutes are gaining momentum. The augmentation of hydrogen-based engines is likely to gain popularity after removing all anomalies.

The reduction of errors and shortcomings of existing engines can be possible with the help of continuous research and product development. The increasing support for such activities in the automobile industry is likely to drive the sector.

The Automobile Industry: A Driving Force influencing Hydrogen-based Vehicle Sales

Along with all the above mentioned factors, the growing population is driving the demand for efficient transport. Due to this spiking demand, the demand for the automobile industry is expected to rise in the next decade.

With constant evolutions and modifications in the existing vehicle models, many automobile manufacturers are emphasizing the augmentation of vehicles. The proliferation of the industry is expected to create prospects for key players.

The rising disposable income levels are increasing the affordability of premium products in the automotive industry. This is expected to surge the demand for high-end hydrogen-based vehicles, elevating the demand for the industry.

Conclusion

Owing to the growing environmental awareness, the demand for innovative yet sustainable solutions is expected to rise. Consumers have become more aware of environmental hazards that can be posed by using traditional solutions to a particular issue.

Pertaining to the automobile industry, the demand for sustainable fuel sources is expected to surge. To cater to stringent environmental guidelines, key players are shifting toward innovative solutions, hydrogen fuel being one of them.

With the growing technology, research processes are likely to proliferate. This surge in research and development is likely to lead to innovation, augmenting the subject industry. The growing investments in the sector are a coupling force that drives the augmentation of hydrogen-based vehicles.

Government initiatives to uphold the automobile sector along with reducing the carbon footprint are creating better prospects for the competitive space. With the emergence of hydrogen-based vehicles, the lucrativeness of the industry is high, creating prospects for new entrants.

The proliferation of the automobile industry is projected to support the growth of the market under consideration. Such supporting factors have been driving the progress of the ecosystem.

hydrogen

Green Hydrogen Companies Gear Up for a Credits Bonanza

The Inflation Reduction Act has companies scrambling to take advantage of tax credits. Solar and wind projects are earmarked as are new initiatives for batteries and green hydrogen that fuel the electric grid. Incentives matter, but money is finite which is giving rise to some interesting discourse as to what truly qualifies as green energy. 

The most talked about issue surrounds green hydrogen. Also known as “clean hydrogen,” machines called electrolyzers that run on electricity and are produced from a renewable source are vital inputs. Electrolyzers split water into hydrogen and oxygen. Yet, they consume an inordinate amount of energy to make a very small amount of hydrogen. Unless that energy is produced from renewable sources there is no point in emitting more CO2 for such a negligible trade-off.

The argument for offering incentives for green hydrogen companies is based on whether they’re using green power to produce clean hydrogen. The rules are being written, but firms like NextEra, the owner of one of the world’s largest renewable energy developers – Florida Power & Light – argue that more concessions are needed. The green hydrogen energy business is still very new and some are contending leniency is needed until the technology improves and/or the costs come down. 

Green hydrogen costs roughly $5 per kilogram to produce. Hydrogen produced from natural gas costs $1.50 per kilogram. That’s a significant difference and without a proposed tax credit of up to $3 per kilogram (and likely more), the economics will be unsustainable for some producers. Yet, those producers who can scale up immediately with less generous incentives are lobbying hard to move forward as is. Tighter standards, they argue, will allow them to capitalize on planned projects and not wait for potential competitors to enter the field. 

The unofficial estimate of the energy and climate package of the act is approximately $369 billion. The tax credits that companies receive are only valuable if the company registers taxable earnings. Many clean-energy companies are upstarts and/or too small to take competitive advantage of the credits. The tax credits could be used similarly to renewable energy certificates (RECs). Clean-energy facilities sell RECs to companies seeking to nail their climate targets. In 2021 in the US alone, S&P Global estimated that market being worth $11 billion.   

The upcoming 10 months will be fraught with debate and a big credit scramble. But we still don’t know if the aggregate outcome will end up being truly green power. 

 

green hydrogen

The European Hydrogen Market Benefits from Economic Recovery and Rising Demand for Alternative Fuels

Increasingly stringent environmental legislation and the emergence of new gigawatt-scale electrolyzers indicate that hydrogen fuel boasts the future potential to develop as a strong competitor to traditional energy resources.

Key Trends and Insights

EU hydrogen production declined sharply in April 2020 by -15% against March figures, due to lockdown and stagnation in the chemical industry. Production only recovered in Q4 and continues to increase as of the beginning of 2021.

189 countries are now committed to reducing greenhouse emissions under the terms of the Paris Agreement, indicating that the demand for sustainable fuels will increase. The hydrogen market demonstrates tangible prospects: hydrogen, irrespective of its current high production costs, constitutes an excellent sustainable fuel due to the fact that when being combusted, it transforms to just water, without any harmful exhaust gases or carbon.

In July 2020, the European Union adopted the EU Hydrogen Strategy, to promote the widespread use of hydrogen as an alternative fuel, and conducted research into hydrogen production in Europe to determine investment opportunities from 2020 to 2050. The European Clean Hydrogen Alliance was established at the same time to connect industry, government authorities and the public. A dedicated regulatory and legal framework, specifically the Trans-European Networks for Energy (TEN-E) and The Connecting Europe Facility (CEF) initiatives should further promote the use of hydrogen from the perspective of alternative energy.

In addition to the European Union, Japan, South Korea and New Zealand, amongst others, have already adopted their own hydrogen strategies. The UK carbon-free energy plan also envisages an increased role for hydrogen fuel, while in the U.S., a targeted program has yet to be developed.

Encouraged by the latest technological developments, commercial interest in hydrogen fuel increased over the past year. 96% of global hydrogen output is still generated from natural gas; this process emits considerable volumes of greenhouse gases. The production of ‘green’ hydrogen through water electrolysis represents a sustainable alternative to this synthesis method. The emergence of gigawatt-capacity electrolysis facilities will reduce production costs and make hydrogen more accessible.

The Netherlands Features the Largest Volumes of Consumption and Exports

Hydrogen consumption rose to 8.1B cubic meters in 2019, picking up by 3.8% on the previous year’s figure. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% from 2007 to 2019. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2008 with an increase of 26% against the previous year (IndexBox estimates).

The size of the hydrogen market in the European Union declined to $1.4B in 2019, approximately equating the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In 2020, the value of the European hydrogen market was estimated at approx. the same figure (IndexBox estimates). .

The countries with the highest volumes of hydrogen consumption in 2019 were the Netherlands (2.6B cubic meters), Germany (2B cubic meters) and Spain (1.1B cubic meters), with a combined 70% share of total consumption. France, Finland, Italy and Hungary lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 24%.

From 2007 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of hydrogen consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Finland, while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The Netherlands represented the key exporter of hydrogen in the European Union, with the volume of exports reaching 301M cubic meters, which was near 73% (IndexBox estimates) of total exports in 2019. It was distantly followed by Belgium (78M cubic meters), mixing up a 19% share of total exports. Germany (14M cubic meters) held a little share of total exports.

The Netherlands was also the fastest-growing in terms of hydrogen exports, with a CAGR of +9.9% from 2007 to 2019. At the same time, Belgium (+1.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Germany experienced a relatively flat trend pattern.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform