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The Impact of Middle East Unrest on Global Logistics

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The Impact of Middle East Unrest on Global Logistics

The recent escalation of tensions in the Middle East has sent shockwaves through the global logistics sector, raising concerns about the safety and stability of both sea and air freight transport in the region. Beyond container cargoes, various types of cargo are now under threat, amplifying the challenges faced by the industry.

A significant incident occurred when the MSC Aries, a vessel with a capacity of 14,300 TEUs flagged in Madeira, fell victim to an attack by Iranian troops who landed via helicopter onboard the vessel. This assault occurred as the MSC Aries was departing from the port of Dubai, indicating vulnerabilities in the logistics infrastructure not only of the UAE but also of the broader Gulf region. The vessel’s affiliation with Israeli businessman Eyal Ofer’s Zodiac Group has been highlighted in media reports, suggesting a targeted attack due to these links.

The situation has not only affected maritime routes but has also impacted air travel, with several airlines cancelling services to Israel, Lebanon, and Tehran due to the conflict between Israel and Iran. While UAE authorities and Gulf-based airlines assert the security of air operations, the overall sentiment remains affected.

Looking ahead in the short and medium term, the conflict’s repercussions on the logistics sector are significant but complex. Potential impacts include fluctuations in pricing, with disruptions to ports in the UAE potentially driving short-term rates higher. Additionally, cargo volumes passing through the Suez Canal may further decline, especially if disruptions spread to energy cargoes. The threat to ports in the Gulf, particularly from Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz, adds to the uncertainty.

Oil cargoes may also face challenges, with a potential return to the ‘Tanker Wars’ of the 1980s if the situation escalates further. Moreover, disruptions in the Gulf could impact airfreight operations, affecting supply chains globally. India, in particular, is vulnerable to disturbances in the region, given its proximity and reliance on trade routes through the Middle East.

The crisis remains highly unpredictable, with possible outcomes ranging from de-escalation to further escalation. The involvement of shipping and airfreight in the conflict necessitates the creation of short-term alternatives to mitigate risks, such as the utilization of the ‘Cape route.’ However, these measures may come at a high price in the immediate future, highlighting the challenges faced by the global logistics sector in navigating through this turbulent period.

fourkites Road improvements in Massachusetts will impact shipments of export cargo and import cargo in international trade.

The Food Supply Industry is being held back by Supply Chain Difficulties

The results of a survey of more than 115 industry leaders were released today by FourKites, a leading supply chain visibility company, and Food Shippers of America (FSA), an industry non-profit association that brings together a community of supply chain, transportation, and logistics professionals. The findings of the survey shed light on the most pressing logistics challenges in the Food & Beverage (F&B) industry, as well as the impact of ongoing economic, geopolitical, and supply chain disruptions.

According to the findings, the three most significant challenges confronting the food shipping industry are:

  • Management of labor and talent (49%)
  • Problems with transportation capacity (39%)
  • Disruptions in supply and demand planning (35%)

According to the survey results, supply and demand planning, product availability, and warehousing issues were more likely to plague enterprise companies with sales of $1 billion or more.

While these were also top concerns for smaller food and beverage shippers with less than $500 million in sales, those firms were more likely than their larger counterparts to cite store operations and transportation rates as the main challenges.

Shippers reported that COVID-19’s impact on labor (56%), over-the-road capacity constraints (44%), port delays and congestion (30%), and changes in consumer behavior or buying patterns (22%), among other things, have all disrupted operations and created or exacerbated today’s challenges. In fact, more than 30% of respondents have seen a drop in customer loyalty since the pandemic began, and 55% have seen a sales decline or miss due to product shortages. Enterprise companies were hit the hardest financially, with more than 65% reporting losses.

Looking ahead, a sizable majority of businesses (75%) are “concerned” or “very concerned” that rising inflation and geopolitical uncertainty will harm sales in the fourth quarter of 2022.

According to the most recent FourKites data, the 28-day average F&B shipping volume is down 1% year over year, while shipments in all other industries are down nearly 10%. Meanwhile, the 28-day average percentage of delayed F&B deliveries has remained stable this year, hovering around 27.5%.

“Food and beverage shippers have had a lot to contend with recently, as the industry has been more affected by product and material shortages than most, and for goods that are in demand all year,” Glenn Koepke, FourKites General Manager of Network Collaboration, said.”Companies that have relied heavily on technology and collaboration to identify and address issues before they snowball into major events have fared the best in navigating supply chain disruptions.”When asked how they plan to future-proof their supply chain, respondents frequently mentioned technology and automation. “We are continuing to invest in technology to help us manage fuel, assets, and drivers’ utility,” said one survey respondent.

“If we’ve learned anything over the past couple of years, it’s that disruption is going to be continuous, and we need to have visibility throughout our supply chain,” said Melissa Wreath, Senior Director of Account Management at ArrowStream, a foodservice supply chain technology that helps clients improve supply chain management efficiency, strategic sourcing programs,

Food quality and safety. “FourKites enables us to have a real-time understanding of where things are across the entire network.” Without it, you’re always playing catch-up.”

F&B executives continue to rely on FourKites for end-to-end supply chain visibility, with the company seeing a 25% increase in total food and beverage shipper customers over the last year. Over the same time period, the total number of F&B shipments tracked by FourKites increased by nearly 50%. The company now serves over 1,100 of the world’s most recognized brands, including 18 of the top-20 F&B companies, including Coca-Cola Consolidated, Conagra, Boston Beer Company, Organic Valley, Constellation Brands, Nestlé, General Mills, Tyson Foods, Kraft Heinz, US Foods, Smithfield, Land O’Lakes and Cargill.

FourKites has been recognized for its ability to solve the pain points of enterprise customers, with a well-known track record in the F&B space. Earlier this year, FourKites was named a Leader in Gartner’s Magic Quadrant for Real-time Transportation Visibility Platforms for its ability to execute, and with the highest completeness of vision. FourKites also scored the highest for Fortune 500 businesses with complex needs, according to Gartner’s Critical Capabilities for Real-Time Transportation Visibility Platforms report. The company was also named to the 2022 “Top Food Chain Technology” list, a program that recognizes standout technologies in food transportation, logistics, distribution and supply chain management, according to Food Chain Digest and was identified as a Top Green Provider by Food Logistics.

 

 

employee job accountability supply chain How to Identify and Address Productivity Gaps Among Supply Chain Employees

Embrace the Chaos: Navigating the Supply Chain’s Maze of Challenges

As someone who has worked in supply chain and logistics management for more than a decade, there’s been a duality in watching all the attention cast on our corner of the economy over the past year.

On one hand, it’s nice to see society at large recognize the giant global operation behind making and delivering goods. There’s also been a welcomed acknowledgement of the millions of people and businesses who keep the supply chain moving every day.

However, this realization has only occurred due to the ongoing supply chain disruptions. A slew of unforeseen challenges has required time to address and fix, but the solutions being built will help establish a new, more effective, more resilient supply chain equipped to handle these types of hurdles in the future.

We must work toward building a more resilient supply chain, but in the meantime, we can only embrace the chaos.

For better or worse, the spotlight shines on us, and everyone from consumers to retailers to manufacturers and beyond will continue to look to those of us in leadership positions within the supply chain and logistics industry to navigate our way out of this maze.

What I’ve been telling my team is that for the next several months, it’s time to buckle in and stand tough, because the dynamics we’re dealing with now are here to stay at least through the rest of 2022, and perhaps into the following year.

The transportation market — including ocean, trucking, rail and parcel delivery — is maxed out. There’s more demand for goods to be moved than there is capacity to move it. Warehousing and distribution space are operating at two ends of the spectrum. They’re either full and can’t accept any more freight for staging, or there is space available and an open call for new inventory. But inventory is often stuck somewhere in transit. On top of that, consumer demand hasn’t slowed down and will continue to rise despite inflation.

For logistics providers, we’ve dealt with consistently high rates and constrained service by our transportation providers, and little to no available capacity to keep up with demand. Freight carriers, whether in trucking or ocean, are making up for 10-plus years of operating in a competitive rates environment, and it’s creating surges in costs for transportation services. Our providers’ costs are also climbing, in the form of insurance coverage, wages and equipment — and that’s not likely to change either in the short term.

With all the nuances and obstacles staring down the logistics industry, our ability to adapt to change has certainly been tested. Variables lurk everywhere: the state of the economy, transportation capacity, labor and employment shifts, COVID variants, extreme weather, a ship stuck for weeks in a canal on the other side of the world. There’s so much outside of our control.

So how do you gain control in an uncontrollable world? How can 3PLs and shippers steer through these variables?

If we’re in a constant state of change, and if we can’t control or anticipate that change, we must embrace the disruptions, the delays, the challenges. By doing so, creative problem solving and collaboration comes to the forefront. In turn, we’ll develop stronger partnerships and better solutions for everyone.

None of us are immune to today’s growing list of challenges, so the goal should be to forge relationships that help us weather this storm and ultimately become long-term partnerships into (knock on wood) less chaotic years ahead. To build those types of relationships — whether it’s with customers, carriers, employees or peers within the industry — we have to commit to the vision of collaboration, transparency and open communication.

Everybody’s frustrated by what’s going on in our corner of the economy, but if we go back to basics and embrace those three tenets, the tumult becomes more manageable.

We don’t know what hurdles might be around the corner tomorrow, let alone in the coming months. So the more we can demonstrate a willingness to collaborate, to be transparent and to communicate effectively and often — the more successful we can be in leading our teams, our companies and the industry as a whole.

It might not be an enjoyable ride the entire way through, but if we take it day-by-day and continue working together, we’ll be in a much better place than where we started.

About The Author

Christina Ryan is the Executive Vice President of Managed Services at Redwood Logistics and winner of the Supply & Demand Chain Executive’s 2021 Women in Supply Chain award.