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Navigating Misinformation for 2024’s Decentralized Investment Strategy

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Navigating Misinformation for 2024’s Decentralized Investment Strategy

The Digital Security world, aka the tokenization world, has seen a lot of hype, a lot of excitement, a lot of promise. Likewise, it has also not lived up to a lot of that promise to-date and is viewed with a certain level of skepticism by a growing percentage of the retail investor sector and the majority of the institutional investor sector, particularly.

This negativity can be attributed to a long list of factors, including bad actors playing in an ecosystem that lacks regulatory oversight, underwhelming product offerings, a lack of transparency, and no intuitive access to the ecosystem for anyone not yet ‘wired-in properly’.
While all these factors play significant roles, I believe the biggest source of negativity has more to do with unrealistic timing and expectations.

It’s the typical Tech Syndrome. Every major tech advancement, whether it’s the chip, the circuit board, the internet, search engines, smart devices, gene therapies…go down the list… all underachieved relative to short-term expectations and wildly overachieved relative to long-term results.

While we so too believed in the long-term promise of fractional asset ownership and frictionless ownership transfer, we were intrigued by the space more so because we also saw a complete void of institutional offerings listed on the various exchanges. We thought that we could bridge institutional real estate offerings into the space through our extensive track record on the institutional side of things and our pipeline of institutional real estate deals.

As we immersed ourselves and the Steelwave brand into the ecosystem, the exchanges all raced to align with us because they recognized the same benefit of hosting institutional offerings on their exchanges.

We quickly came to the conclusion that none of the exchanges on a standalone basis or through a network of shared bookings could remotely scale to the level that institutional investing required.
For example, the SW pipeline is $500 million to $1.5 billion a year…and as high as $2.5 billion. The average deal size is $100 to $150 million.

The exchange customers are primarily hyper-nichey individual players who are all ‘crypto natives’ – basically, retail investors who are very well versed in the 3.0 space, but not institutional at all.
Make no mistake – The odds of raising $100 million around an institutional real estate deal in this ecosystem are zero and will remain zero until institutional investors buy into the promise and drive the ecosystem forward.

But the retail sector can’t drive the maturation of this industry. The driver has to be the institutional sector. Yet, for that to happen, a host of significant hurdles must be overcome.

The needle is clearly moving in the right direction – But first, the regulatory framework has to be defined by the regulatory agencies; this will require a broad agreement among the various regulatory agencies as to what that framework needs to look like.

This isn’t just the bailiwick of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This is a global phenomenon and requires the various regulatory agencies, on a global basis, certainly across the major financial centers in the West, Middle East, and Asia, to be on the same page.

To date, the SEC has been a sideline player at best and has not sought to take a leading role.

Partial buy-ins only promote uncertainty and opaqueness.

The regulatory framework also has to be fully transparent so that all of the participants understand the rules…what they MUST do, what they CAN do, and what they CANNOT do.

Fourth, once the regulatory playbook has been crystalized, then all the compliance elements need to be baked into the cake: licensing, registration, statutory reporting, and so forth.

Last, but not least, there is the CUSTODY question. Who are going to be the repositories of these digital securities? What are the security protocols in place to make sure that the digital securities are safe and in the custody of who they are supposed to be, and haven’t disappeared into thin air.

It’s all the stuff that institutions, as well as the general public, take for granted in the context of the traditional financial ecosystem.

If institutions don’t have the same level of trust and understanding that the ecosystem is properly wired and safe, they won’t invest in it and they certainly won’t adopt it.

If they don’t adopt it and drive growth in the ecosystem, or if enough institutional players take a pass in order to drive to some sort of critical mass, then the whole promise of frictionless asset ownership, asset transfer, primary and secondary asset liquidity and limitless fractional functionality, all falls apart.

All of that is a backdrop for the fund that we are currently raising.

We at SteelWave believe that bringing institutional investors into the ecosystem with institutional product offerings requires a step by step approach. The best way to do that is to provide a traditional vehicle to invest in a risk-off real estate strategy that provides outsized returns because of the current RE market dislocation.

The final step is to provide all your limited partnership investors a zero-cost option (not an obligation) to convert their traditional LP interests in the fund, to digital securities in the fund — when and if the ecosystem has navigated the above hurdles and has matured into a vibrant marketplace that can provide seamless secondary liquidity.

Simply put, provide them this zero-cost optionality to participate in the promise of tomorrow’s financial ecosystem.

That’s exactly what we are doing. We are raising a traditional $500 million institutional fund that will acquire existing office and life science assets that are fully leased on a long-term basis (7-15 years) to tech tenants in all of the major tech hubs in the Western U.S. – in San Diego, Orange County, Los Angeles, the Bay Area, Seattle, Denver, and Austin. What was trading in this strategy at a low 5 cap is now trading in a mid-range 7 to 9 cap. It’s a simple asset aggregation strategy involving institutional buildings with long-dated leases in place.

The digital twist is that each of the LP investors will have the option to convert their LP interests into digital securities (tokens) when and if doing so can provide seamless secondary liquidity.

Unfortunately, the current U.S. regulatory void means that we cannot now provide that optionality in the U.S. Instead, we were forced to domicile the fund elsewhere  – regions which have proven to be much more digital-security friendly.

The upside is that we anticipate fund level returns in the high teens to low twenties.

We are privileged to be at the vanguard of this novel breakthrough at the intersection of commercial real estate (CRE) and decentralized finance, taking bold steps with a tokenized model replicable industry on industry. We believe it’s in our hands to create lasting change.

CRE

What It Will Take To Revitalize U.S. Commercial Real Estate (CRE) In 2023

As summer slides into fall this year and children can still be chastened by the prospect of going back to school, the parallel tradition of going back to the office is more different now, for more people, than ever before.

In the arena of commercial real estate (CRE), those who understood and embraced the desired workplace trends that existed prior to the start of COVID-19, and have since greatly accelerated due to the pandemic, will be the ones who position themselves – and their stakeholders – ahead of the curve.

To many, the landscape looks bleak – According to a recent report from Capital Economics, commercial real estate values have cratered by up to 40 percent in some cities. The tech office hubs that have benefited from the greatest value run-ups over the last decade have seen value decreases certainly in excess of 40%.

While many point to the pandemic-induced lockdowns that led to massive increases in ‘working from home’ as the root cause and main impetus behind urban office downsizing, plenty of other factors are at play.

Among the negatives are the increasing costs and logistical challenges of raising a family, the alleged ‘ease of doing business’ in the era of the Internet of Things (IoT), the breakdown of law and order in urban landscapes, and very importantly, the sterility of traditional office and retail store environments; think partitions, terminals, little natural light, and no view. The post-pandemic rise in interest rates and escalating inflation only add to the difficulties of keeping downtown work an attractive option.

And let’s face it – At first glance, San Francisco could be seen as a poster child for CRE disillusionment in America.

Let’s look at, for example, the significant downtick in the city’s travel and tourism space – An announcement was recently published by a major hotel operator suggesting that it was ceasing payments on a $725 million loan on two of its downtown hotels. There are further reports that a commodity downtown office building that was valued in the mid $700 /square foot (sf) 24 months ago has traded hands at values of $150-250/sf.

But San Francisco is hardly the only U.S. city facing massive declines in the value of downtown office space. One only has to look at the public sector office REIT values, which are down 47% since year-end 2021. The REIT sector is now trading at an implied cap rate of 9.2%. Private market values are a bit more opaque than the public sector, but the two trend surprisingly close during periods of rapid transition.

When borrowing costs triple over a 12 month period, one should expect to see a dislocated CRE market across all asset types – this is precisely the case today.

Just last month, The Atlantic reported that U.S. office vacancy had topped 20 percent for the first time in decades during the first quarter of 2023. Vacancy rates were as high as 25 percent in San Francisco, Dallas, and Houston. The actual availability rates are much higher when sublease space is factored into the stats.

Worse, actual office use was still below 50 percent of pre-COVID levels in the nation’s ten largest business districts, with white-collar workers spending an estimated 28 percent of their workdays at home.

And with a third of all office leases expiring by 2026, things could quickly get much worse for city budgets, banks, and pensioners.

Yet while many espouse ‘doom and gloom’ in the industry, the intrepid have always found opportunity – Amid turmoil, our innovative, Western US-based commercial real estate platform sees a clearly defined silver lining.

Drawing on four decades of capitalizing on bearish, even hyper-bearish commercial real estate (CRE) markets, we envision one of the most favorable CRE buying opportunities over the next 18 months and beyond, not seen since the RTC days of the early 90’s.

SteelWave has always focused on Western US markets with a heavy orientation in tech industries. In fact, our market footprint includes headquarters for 15 of the 20 largest tech companies in the world, and 6 of the top 6. Our markets house the innovation workforce that is the backbone of traditional tech, media tech, biotech, defense tech and creative tech.

Today’s tech companies are driven by fully integrated teams, with engineers and marketing experts collaborating side by side. The challenge, however, lies in luring home-bound workers back to the “hive” – It is no coincidence that analysts are seeing long-term work-from-home solutions as link to a significant dip in productivity, when measured against the pre-COVID productivity trend line.

In many businesses, there is a clarion call for change in the workplace. Our experience tells us that bringing workers back to a shared workplace requires changing the environment to meet the new reality and collaborative work-best practices of 2023.

The best way to accomplish this is to create a collaborative, creative, and joyful work environment, with all the modern amenities at hand – more like a high-end hotel. The best workplaces are in buildings that have ‘good bones’ – soaring ceilings and open spaces that can be transformed into livable environments.

Our stakeholders view commercial real estate as a strategic asset that they can brand around, as opposed to a cost center. The secret sauce blends hospitality and residential design elements to deliver a work environment that promotes innovation and creativity, as opposed to drudgery and boredom.

To accommodate for these changes, SteelWave has integrated elements of hospitality and residential design into our properties, including next-generation amenities such as fitness and wellness centers, curated food and beverage options that speak to the culture of the surrounding neighborhoods, tenant community indoor/outdoor spaces and state of the art conference facilities. All these enhancements serve to lure quality workers out of their home offices, and into the creative hubs that provide social and professional collaboration and energy.

It may take a few election cycles for cities to fully respond to some of the self-inflicted social challenges, negative perceptions, and the resulting loss of revenues from downtown real estate that no longer serves the needs or wants of modern-day high-tech and other innovative industries; however, we see green sprouts that the trend line is moving in the right direction.

True urban downtown renewal, though, will require the will to recreate safe spaces within which innovative real estate developers can encourage employers and housing providers to capitalize on the lowered property values to redesign facilities today, to meet tomorrow’s needs.

CRE isn’t the only asset class that is undergoing a rapid transition – The world of digital securities is transitioning at an equally frenetic pace from the standpoint of regulatory oversight, custodial infrastructure and most importantly, market adoption. All of this is ushering in a brave new world of fractional asset ownership – the democratization of all sorts of asset classes, not just CRE.

Think in terms of a convergence of blockchain-enabled ownership solutions and institutional asset ownership. SteelWave saw an opportunity to take a leadership position in this convergence.

SteelWave has created an investment vehicle that allows institutional investors the option to convert their traditional LP interest into digital securities at a future date when the digital ecosystem has matured to a level where it can provide the potential of seamless secondary liquidity.

As one of the leaders in this space, we have had to work through a great deal of regulatory, compliance and tax related complexities relating to both the GP and our institutional investors. This vehicle has been embraced primarily by foreign investors, those who want to invest in US institutional RE and those who have a bit more progressive view on tomorrow’s world of capital markets.

The U.S. regulatory environment is at least five years behind the curve in creating a conducive playing field for digital security offerings – who can and can’t own them, who can and can’t sell them, and who can and can’t provide custodial services. This lethargy is partly because multiple industries heavily invested in our current system are not welcoming competitors whose instruments require far less paperwork, and can move money across multiple investments in a far shorter timeframe.

But make no mistake – with a necessary and common sense realignment, the potential for American urban reinvestment in CRE, both physical and digital, is boundless.

SteelWave believes that the time is right to marry the current opportunity to acquire transformative CRE in a dislocated market to the digital universe that is rapidly maturing into an institutional force.