Germany's Production of Potato Starch Is Continuously Decreasing Due to Exports Contraction - Global Trade Magazine
  October 22nd, 2019 | Written by

Germany’s Production of Potato Starch Is Continuously Decreasing Due to Exports Contraction

Sharelines

  • Imports peaked in 2018 and are expected to retain its growth in the immediate term.
  • In value terms, potato starch imports stood at $49M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.
  • Japan recorded the highest growth rate of exports among the main countries of destination over the last nine-year period

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘Germany – Potato Starch – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

Production in Germany

Potato starch production in Germany stood at 345K tonnes in 2018, coming down by -6.7% against the previous year. Overall, potato starch production continues to indicate a significant contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when production volume increased by 7.2% year-to-year. Potato starch production peaked at 464K tonnes in 2009; however, from 2010 to 2018, production failed to regain its momentum.

In value terms, potato starch production totaled $229M in 2018 estimated in export prices. In general, potato starch production continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2011 with an increase of 39% against the previous year. In that year, potato starch production reached its peak level of $302M. From 2012 to 2018, potato starch production growth remained at a lower figure.

Exports from Germany

In 2018, the amount of potato starch exported from Germany amounted to 263K tonnes, declining by -6.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, potato starch exports continue to indicate a deep contraction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2012 with an increase of 39% y-o-y. Exports peaked at 406K tonnes in 2009; however, from 2010 to 2018, exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, potato starch exports totaled $206M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018. Over the period under review, potato starch exports continue to indicate a slight curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2011 with an increase of 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, potato starch exports reached their maximum at $288M in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2018, exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

The Netherlands (48K tonnes), South Korea (41K tonnes) and the U.S. (19K tonnes) were the main destinations of potato starch exports from Germany, with a combined 41% share of total exports. Malaysia, China, Italy, Japan, the UK, Thailand, China, Hong Kong SAR, the Philippines and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.

From 2009 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of exports, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Malaysia, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the Netherlands ($36M), South Korea ($34M) and the U.S. ($19M) were the largest markets for potato starch exported from Germany worldwide, together comprising 44% of total exports. These countries were followed by the UK, Japan, Italy, Malaysia, China, Thailand, the Philippines, Spain and China, Hong Kong SAR, which together accounted for a further 30%.

Japan recorded the highest growth rate of exports, among the main countries of destination over the last nine-year period, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average potato starch export price stood at $782 per tonne in 2018, increasing by 8.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price indicated noticeable growth from 2009 to 2018: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2018 figures, potato starch export price increased by +20.3% against 2015 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2011 an increase of 78% year-to-year. In that year, the average export prices for potato starch attained their peak level of $968 per tonne. From 2012 to 2018, the growth in terms of the average export prices for potato starch failed to regain its momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest price was the U.S. ($996 per tonne), while the average price for exports to China ($520 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2009 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Spain, while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports into Germany

In 2018, the amount of potato starch imported into Germany amounted to 70K tonnes, growing by 40% against the previous year. In general, potato starch imports continue to indicate a remarkable expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 40% y-o-y. In that year, potato starch imports attained their peak and are likely to continue its growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, potato starch imports stood at $49M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018. Over the period under review, potato starch imports continue to indicate a remarkable increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2011 when imports increased by 95% year-to-year. Imports peaked in 2018 and are expected to retain its growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

France (25K tonnes), Denmark (15K tonnes) and the Netherlands (12K tonnes) were the main suppliers of potato starch imports to Germany, together accounting for 74% of total imports. Poland, Austria, Finland and Belgium lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 24%.

From 2009 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of imports, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Poland (+57.6% per year), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, France ($15M), Denmark ($11M) and the Netherlands ($9.4M) were the largest potato starch suppliers to Germany, together comprising 72% of total imports. Poland, Austria, Finland and Belgium lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 26%.

Among the main suppliers, Poland (+53.4% per year) recorded the highest growth rate of imports, over the last nine-year period, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2018, the average potato starch import price amounted to $704 per tonne, surging by 2.9% against the previous year. In general, the potato starch import price, however, continues to indicate a slight shrinkage. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2011 when the average import price increased by 84% against the previous year. In that year, the average import prices for potato starch attained their peak level of $940 per tonne. From 2012 to 2018, the growth in terms of the average import prices for potato starch failed to regain its momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of origin; the country with the highest price was Poland ($863 per tonne), while the price for Belgium ($563 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2009 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France, while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced a decline.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform


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