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  January 21st, 2025 | Written by

US Firms Set to Outshine European Companies in Earnings Season

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US Firms to Outperform European Counterparts in Upcoming Earnings Season

JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists predict that profit growth at US firms will significantly outpace that of their European counterparts this earnings season. For detailed insights, you can access the original source here. The lower expectations set for S&P 500 companies play a crucial role, as analysts had significantly reduced their projections despite the US economy’s resilient growth.

Read also: The Economic Impact of a TikTok Ban in the U.S.

European Expectations Pose Challenges

In contrast, European firms are facing “more punchy” expectations, according to strategist Mislav Matejka. This scenario may present difficulties for European companies, especially when considering the varied momentum in activity across regions. This situation poses additional risks for European stocks, particularly following one of the most challenging years in the region’s stock market performance relative to the US.

Performance Metrics Indicate Divergence

The Stoxx 600 Index underperformed the S&P 500 by over 17 percentage points last year, its second-worst relative performance since 1998. Factors such as robust US economic growth and a strong appetite for US tech heavyweights contributed to this divergence. As US firms continue to report, earnings growth has reached a better-than-expected level of 7.7%, further emphasizing the potential disparity between US and European profit growth this season.

Mixed Results Globally

Despite some high-profile earnings beats and misses in both the US and Europe, the outlook for European companies remains “challenging” due to ongoing uncertainties related to China’s uneven recovery. According to JPMorgan’s Matejka, this could keep European earnings trailing behind the US throughout 2025. Citigroup Inc.’s Scott Chronert also anticipates a “larger than average” profit beat from S&P 500 firms for the fourth quarter, highlighting the contrasting fortunes on either side of the Atlantic.

Data from the IndexBox platform also supports these findings, indicating robust growth metrics for US companies compared to their European counterparts in this earnings period.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform