A majority of U.S. companies in China anticipate their sales will decrease this year due to tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump and the subsequent retaliatory measures from China, according to an annual survey from the American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai. Nearly two-thirds of the 254 respondent companies reported that the new import taxes have reduced their expected 2025 revenues for operations within China.

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Manufacturers are experiencing the most significant impact, with close to three-quarters stating the tariffs will lower their China revenues. The tariffs include an additional 30% tax on imports from China levied by the U.S., while China has responded with a 10% tax on U.S. imports. Data from the IndexBox platform corroborates the trend, showing a notable contraction in bilateral trade volumes following the implementation of these measures.

U.S.-China tensions were cited as the foremost challenge for companies over the next three to five years. The uncertainty surrounding ongoing trade talks and the future of tariff policy complicates long-term planning for businesses. Although American courts have ruled that most of the tariffs constitute an illegal use of emergency powers, the import taxes remain in effect as the administration appeals to the Supreme Court.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform