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Impact of Trump’s Tariffs on American Businesses and Economy

global trade tariff

Impact of Trump’s Tariffs on American Businesses and Economy

President Donald Trump’s recent tariff hikes on China have sparked significant disruptions for American businesses, including Steve Egan, a promotional product distributor in Tampa, Florida. According to a report by Reuters, Egan was in the midst of ordering 5,000 rubber ducks from a Chinese vendor when tariffs caused the price per duck to jump from 29 to 45 cents. This surge in costs has put several of his orders on hold, creating a ripple effect on his business operations.

Read also: U.S. Tariffs Prompt Economic Slowdown

The impact of these tariffs extends beyond individual businesses, influencing broader economic indicators as reported by the IndexBox platform. The platform highlights that the promotional products market in the United States has witnessed a contraction, with first-quarter sales in 2025 for businesses like Egan’s plummeting by 70% compared to the previous year. Although there was a slight recovery in April, the uncertainty surrounding tariffs continues to cast a shadow over future economic stability.

Across the nation, the tariffs have become a focal point of concern for many Americans, particularly those who supported Trump in the last election. A significant number of voters interviewed cited tariffs as the most impactful policy in Trump’s first 100 days, affecting their workplaces and investments, including their 401(k) retirement plans. Despite the challenges, some voters remain hopeful that the tariffs will eventually lead to domestic manufacturing growth and better trade terms.

However, the economic ramifications are already evident. Outside economists warn that these tariffs could contribute to inflation and elevate the risk of a recession, potentially costing the average U.S. family thousands of dollars due to increased prices. As the situation unfolds, many are left weighing their support, with some expressing willingness to give the tariffs time to produce the promised economic benefits.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform  

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U.S. Importers Face Millions in Fees for Improper Declarations

Importers bringing goods into the U.S. were recently found to have improperly declared imports, leading to substantial duties and fees owed to the government. According to a report by U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), March saw the completion of 71 audits that identified $310 million in duties and fees from undervalued or improperly declared goods entering the country.

Read also: China Considers Exempting Certain U.S. Imports from 125% Tariffs

This figure represents a staggering 10,590% increase compared to February’s assessed fees of $2.9 million. The number of audits conducted also rose sharply by 153.6% from the previous month. The heightened scrutiny is attributed to the U.S. administration’s new trade policy, which aims to curb the influx of undervalued goods, particularly from China.

Despite identifying $310 million in owed duties, CBP reported that only about $49 million has been collected, which includes revenue from previous fiscal years. The report also highlighted revenues collected from tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), which have been in place due to the fentanyl and migrant crisis. As of March, the U.S. collected $7.89 billion in IEEPA tariffs on imports from China, $2.87 billion from Mexico, $1.04 billion from Canada, and $1.23 billion from approximately 90 other countries.

These developments underline the U.S. government’s intensified efforts to ensure compliance with trade regulations and to address the challenges posed by undervalued imports.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform  

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China Considers Exempting Certain U.S. Imports from 125% Tariffs

China is reportedly considering exempting certain U.S. imports from its hefty 125% tariffs, signaling a potential easing in the ongoing trade tensions between the two economic giants. According to a report by Reuters, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has initiated a process to collect lists of goods that could be eligible for tariff exemptions, inviting businesses to submit their requests.

Read also: China Raises Tariffs on U.S. Goods to 125%

The initiative comes amid growing concerns about the economic impact of the trade conflict on China’s economy, which is currently grappling with weak demand and consumer spending that has not fully rebounded post-pandemic. A list of 131 product categories, including vaccines, chemicals, and jet engines, has been circulating widely, although its authenticity remains unverified by Reuters.

Financial news magazine Caijing has suggested that Beijing may include eight semiconductor-related items on the exemption list, though memory chips are not among them. This move could potentially alleviate some pressure on the U.S. economy by allowing limited trade to resume, while also providing support to Chinese businesses affected by the tariffs.

Data from the IndexBox platform highlights the broader economic context, showing fluctuations in global trade patterns and the impact of tariffs on various sectors. As both nations navigate these complex dynamics, the exemptions could represent a strategic adjustment to mitigate economic challenges faced by both countries.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform 

global trade tariff

California Sues to Block Trump’s Tariffs, Citing Economic Harm and Abuse of Power

California has filed a federal lawsuit aiming to block former President Donald Trump’s sweeping new tariffs, arguing the measures exceed presidential authority and pose serious economic risks to the state and the nation.

Read also: U.S. Tariff Freeze Offers Brief Relief—Except for China, Where Rates Spike to 125%

The legal challenge, filed in San Francisco by Governor Gavin Newsom and Attorney General Rob Bonta, claims that Trump’s tariff orders—10% across-the-board and up to 145% on goods from specific nations like China—violate the U.S. Constitution by sidestepping Congress’s exclusive power over trade.

“These tariffs were imposed without warning, process, or legal justification,” the lawsuit argues, stating that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), which Trump invoked, does not grant the president the authority to unilaterally impose widespread taxes on imports.

The lawsuit points to immediate and damaging fallout: volatile financial markets, diminished investor confidence, and the threat of a nationwide recession. California, the largest importer among U.S. states and the fifth-largest economy globally, is positioned to take a disproportionate hit.

The state warned that its 12 ports—which handle 40% of U.S. imports—could suffer steep revenue losses, while retaliatory tariffs from countries like China could devastate its $23.6 billion agricultural export sector, costing thousands of jobs.

“California is on the frontlines of this trade war,” the lawsuit states, calling the tariffs a direct threat to economic stability and state sovereignty.

China has responded with tariffs of its own, including a 125% levy on U.S. goods, and the European Union has signaled retaliatory measures, though enforcement is currently paused.

In response, White House spokesperson Kush Desai criticized California’s leaders, suggesting they focus on internal state issues instead. “The Trump administration is fully committed to reviving U.S. industries through every means available, including tariffs,” Desai said.

Trump has defended the measures by framing the U.S. trade deficit as a national emergency that threatens domestic manufacturing and economic independence. His executive orders rely on provisions of the IEEPA that allow special action during unusual or extraordinary threats to the country.

California’s lawsuit joins a growing legal front against the tariffs. Other suits have been filed by a small business owner in Florida, a Native American tribe in Montana, and business advocacy group Liberty Justice Center in New York, each challenging the legality and scope of the tariffs from different angles.

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Trump’s Tariffs: What Supply Chain and Procurement Professionals Need to Know

Recent changes in U.S. trade policy, including the imposition of new tariffs and the suspension of the de minimis exemption, have significant implications for supply chain and procurement professionals. Understanding these impacts is crucial for navigating the evolving landscape.

Read also: Statement from the Supply Chain Federation on the President’s Reciprocal Tariff Announcement

1. End of De Minimis Exemption: What It Means for Costs and Compliance

The suspension of the de minimis exemption, which previously allowed duty-free imports of packages valued under $800, means that all incoming packages now require individual customs clearance. This change leads to increased costs due to tariffs and additional administrative burdens. Supply chain professionals must now allocate resources to manage these new compliance requirements, potentially affecting overall profitability.

2. How Tariff Changes Are Causing Supply Chain Bottlenecks and Delays

With the removal of the de minimis exemption, the volume of packages requiring customs inspection has surged, potentially overwhelming U.S. customs systems. This bottleneck can lead to significant delays in the supply chain, affecting final-mile delivery timelines. Procurement professionals need to anticipate these delays and adjust their inventory management strategies accordingly to maintain service levels.

3. How Tariffs Are Forcing Companies to Rethink Sourcing and Fulfillment

The new tariffs and regulations necessitate a thorough reevaluation of sourcing and fulfillment strategies. Companies that previously relied on the de minimis exemption to minimize costs are now compelled to explore alternative approaches. Some firms are considering shifting fulfillment operations to U.S.-based warehouses to mitigate customs delays and manage costs more effectively. However, this strategy may lead to increased operational expenses.

Sustainable Supply Chain Resilience: How LiquiDonate Supports Inventory Management

In light of these challenges, partnering with organizations like LiquiDonate can significantly bolster supply chain resilience. LiquiDonate offers a sustainable solution for managing excess inventory by connecting retailers with nonprofits and upcyclers in need. This partnership provides a valuable pathway for surplus products, allowing procurement managers to adopt more aggressive purchasing strategies with the assurance that excess stock can be effectively utilized.

By donating surplus items, companies can reduce storage costs and avoid waste associated with overstock. This approach not only supports community initiatives but also streamlines inventory management, providing a safety net that accommodates fluctuations in demand and supply chain disruptions. In the context of a “just-in-time” economy, where precise inventory levels are crucial, having an off-ramp for excess products offers procurement professionals greater flexibility and a wider margin for error.

Moreover, platforms like LiquiDonate facilitate efficient matching and movement of excess items, saving time and operational costs. This efficiency enables businesses to respond more dynamically to the evolving trade environment, ensuring that surplus inventory contributes positively to both the company’s bottom line and the community.

Future-Proof Your Supply Chain 

The recent changes in tariff laws and de minimis policy present significant challenges for supply chain and procurement professionals. By understanding these impacts and proactively adjusting strategies, businesses can navigate this complex environment and maintain operational efficiency. 

Author Bio

Disney Petit is a social impact entrepreneur and CEO of LiquiDonate, a software that integrates with any WMS or RMS to match unsellable returns and overstock inventory with nonprofits and schools. She was employee 15 at Postmates, where she built the Civic Labs team and won Time Magazine Invention of the Year for the food security product, Bento.

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Mexico Celebrates Exclusion from New U.S. Tariffs

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum announced on Thursday that ongoing dialogue and cooperation with the United States have resulted in Mexico being excluded from the new tariffs unveiled by U.S. President Donald Trump. This development was reported by Yahoo Finance. During a press conference, President Sheinbaum expressed that this exclusion is beneficial for Mexico, as it maintains favorable trade conditions.

Read also: Cross-Border US-Mexico Trucking Traffic is at Record Highs

Mexico’s Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard hailed the exclusion as a “great achievement,” emphasizing that Mexico has secured preferential tariff treatment for goods related to the USMCA treaty. Ebrard, speaking at the president’s daily morning press conference, highlighted that Mexico’s objective over the next 40 days is to negotiate the best possible trade conditions.

According to data from the IndexBox platform, Mexico’s trade relations with the United States are crucial, as the U.S. remains one of Mexico’s largest trading partners. The exclusion from the tariffs is expected to bolster Mexico’s economic stability and enhance its export capabilities, particularly in sectors covered by the USMCA agreement.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform 

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US Inflation and Tariff Policies Challenge Federal Reserve

US inflation continues to pose challenges for Federal Reserve officials as they navigate the economic landscape shaped by the Trump administration’s tariff policies. According to Bloomberg, the personal consumption expenditures price index, excluding food and energy, likely rose by 0.3% in February, marking a consistent increase for the second month. This core gauge is estimated to have accelerated to a 2.7% annual pace, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures.

Read also: US Stock Markets React to January Inflation Data

The government’s forthcoming report is anticipated to reveal a strengthening in consumer spending following a sluggish start to 2025, while income growth is expected to moderate after a significant rise in the previous month. Consumer outlays, unadjusted for price changes, are projected to have increased by 0.5%, recovering from the most substantial weather-induced decline in nearly four years. Personal income is forecasted to rise by 0.4%.

Bloomberg Economics analysts highlight that the monthly core PCE inflation likely rose to 0.35% in February, doubling the pace consistent with the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Price increases across various sectors, including goods, healthcare, and financial services, have more than offset declines in other areas. This firm inflation and solid spending justify the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates at the recent FOMC meeting and revise inflation forecasts upwards.

As President Donald Trump prepares for the April 2 announcement on reciprocal tariffs, dubbed “Liberation Day in America,” uncertainty about the impact of these duties continues to influence the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rates. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for policymakers to assess the administration’s policies’ economic implications before making further rate adjustments.

In the coming week, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic are scheduled to speak, providing further insights into the central bank’s outlook. Additionally, February durable goods orders and merchandise trade reports will offer valuable data to shape first-quarter GDP estimates, despite potential distortions from a surge in gold imports.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform