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Temu Faces 58% Decline in Daily U.S. Users Amid Trade Tensions

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Temu Faces 58% Decline in Daily U.S. Users Amid Trade Tensions

In a recent development, daily U.S. users of PDD Holdings’ global discount e-commerce platform, Temu, experienced a 58% decline in May. This downturn, reported by market intelligence firm Sensor Tower, highlights the challenges Temu is facing amid ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions. For more details, you can read the full report here.

Read also: Temu Shifts to US-Based Sellers Amidst Tariff Changes

The decline in user engagement comes after the U.S. government ended the ‘de minimis’ rule on May 2, which had previously allowed Chinese companies to ship low-value packages to the United States without tariffs. This policy change has forced Temu to rethink its strategy, including reducing its advertising spend in the U.S. and altering its order fulfillment approach.

According to data from the IndexBox platform, Temu’s struggles are more pronounced compared to its rival, Shein. While both companies have been impacted by the tariffs, Shein has managed to increase the average spending per customer, whereas Temu has not seen similar success. The tariffs have led both platforms to raise prices, but Shein’s ability to maintain customer spending levels suggests a more resilient business model.

Despite these challenges, Temu is shifting towards a local fulfillment model, allowing merchants to ship products to U.S.-based warehouses while handling tariffs and customs charges. This strategy aims to stabilize prices and maintain competitiveness in the market.

Interestingly, Temu’s growth outside the U.S. has shown promise, with non-U.S. users accounting for 90% of its 405 million global monthly active users in the second quarter. The platform has seen the fastest growth in less affluent markets, suggesting potential for expansion beyond the U.S.

PDD Holdings’ first-quarter earnings fell short of growth estimates, with executives attributing the shortfall to the pressures of tariffs. However, they remain committed to working with merchants across regions to adapt to the new trade environment.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform  

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Temu Shifts to US-Based Sellers Amidst Tariff Changes

Hours after a key US tariff exemption expired, Chinese e-commerce platform Temu announced a significant shift in its shipping strategy, opting to route all American sales through US-based sellers. According to a statement from Temu, all sales in the U.S. are now managed by local sellers, with orders fulfilled domestically. This move marks a departure from the previous reliance on the de minimis exemption, which allowed goods valued at $800 or less to enter the US duty-free.

Read also: Trump Administration’s Tariff Changes Could Hit Shein Harder Than Temu

Temu, alongside other Chinese e-commerce giants like Shein and AliExpress, had capitalized on this loophole to deliver ultra-low-cost goods to American consumers. However, the expiration of this exemption, coupled with tariffs imposed by former President Donald Trump on Chinese imports, has driven Temu to adapt its business model. By leveraging US-based warehouses, Temu aims to maintain its competitive pricing while circumventing the new tariff landscape.

Data from the IndexBox platform indicates that the de minimis exemption had been a significant factor in the proliferation of Chinese goods in the US market. Despite the shift in shipping practices, Temu’s products remain predominantly manufactured in China, raising questions about the long-term sustainability of this strategy. The company faces challenges such as potential shortages and the need to adjust pricing strategies to accommodate new operational costs.

On social media, users have reported stock shortages and additional fees for items not sourced locally, indicating a transitional period for the platform. As Temu navigates these changes, the broader implications for the e-commerce landscape and US-China trade relations remain to be seen.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform  

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Trump Administration’s Tariff Changes Could Hit Shein Harder Than Temu

The Trump administration’s recent move to halt low-cost imports from entering the U.S. tariff-free is anticipated to impact fast fashion giant Shein more severely than its competitor, Temu. According to an analysis by Casey Hall at Reuters, Temu’s broader product range and strategic shift in their shipping operations offer a buffer against the new tariffs.

Read also: Hapag-Lloyd Confident Amid U.S.-China Tariff Challenges

Both Shein and Temu have experienced significant growth in the United States, leveraging the de minimis rule that exempts shipments under $800 from import duties. Recent estimates indicate these Chinese retailers are responsible for over 30% of all daily packages shipped to the U.S. under this provision. However, with tariff regulations tightening under scrutiny during the Biden administration, both companies began adjusting their strategies to become less reliant on the rule.

Temu, owned by PDD Holdings, has been swift in adapting by expanding its semi-managed model, a tactic akin to Amazon’s, which entails shipping goods in bulk to overseas warehouses rather than directly to customers. By last March, approximately 20% of Temu’s U.S. sales originated from local sellers’ inventories, based on estimates from e-commerce market research firm Marketplace Pulse. Furthermore, by year-end, half the goods sold by China-based Temu sellers to the U.S. were first sent to U.S. warehouses.

In contrast, Shein continues to depend heavily on air freight for the swift delivery of its fashion items, a necessity due to its business model focused on rapid trend responsiveness. Despite this, Shein has made efforts to diversify its supply chain, incorporating suppliers from Brazil and Turkey, potentially a proactive measure in response to anticipated regulatory pressures. The company also established operational centers in Illinois, California, and a supply chain hub in Seattle.

Trump’s executive order has thrown the express shipping sector into turmoil. Notably, the U.S. Postal Service reversed a recent decision to halt parcel acceptance from China and Hong Kong merely 12 hours after implementing the ban. Analysis from Nomura suggests a potential 60% decline in de minimis shipments to the U.S., impacting American consumers who might face higher costs on orders from Shein, Temu, and even Amazon.

According to IndexBox data, 1.36 billion shipments utilized the de minimis provision in 2024, marking a 36% increase from 2023. Despite predictions of significant short-term disruptions, analyst Rui Ma believes the nimble nature of China’s e-commerce firms means they are well-positioned to adjust swiftly and effectively to these changes. “I think there will be real impact, especially in the short term, but it is not catastrophic,” Ma stated. “China has the most competitive e-commerce operators and the most advanced supply chain. Short of a total ban or something crazy like that, I think they will be able to figure it out.”

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform