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WHEN A ROSE ISN’T JUST A ROSE: HOW TRADE POLICY WAS USED TO FIGHT DRUGS FROM COLOMBIA

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WHEN A ROSE ISN’T JUST A ROSE: HOW TRADE POLICY WAS USED TO FIGHT DRUGS FROM COLOMBIA

A Grand Gesture

As evidence that Valentine’s Day is here, roses are everywhere – grocery and drug stores, gas stations, and sidewalk vendors offering a bunch for the last-minute Romeo. Until the late 1980s, most roses sold in the United States came from California. A dozen roses would have set you back around $150, which is why the tradition was a grand gesture and a symbol of the seriousness of your relationship. Not really so much today – a dozen roses can be purchased for less than $20.

Why are roses so affordable? The explanation is years of U.S. Government trade, development, and drug eradication policies designed to move South American growers away from cultivating the coca plant used to make cocaine, by substituting commercially profitable production of cut flowers.

Flower Power

Americans will give each other 200 million roses over the Valentine season. The majority were grown in Colombia. Over the course of a year, Colombia exports around 4 billion roses to the United States and supplies 60 percent of U.S. imports of fresh cut flowers overall. Production and shipping are so efficient and cost-effective that roses from Colombia can reach the U.S. East Coast ahead of a similar shipment from California.

The competition from South American suppliers, particularly Colombia, has caused California production to plummet by 95 percent since 1991. The year 1991 is significant. It was the year Congress passed the Andean Trade Preference Act (ATPA, later expanded and renamed the Andean Trade Promotion and Drug Eradication Act).

ATPA represented a tool in the U.S. policy toolkit to disrupt the drug trade and cartels in Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru, and slow the flow of drugs into the United States. Reducing or eliminating tariffs on imports from the region was intended to incentivize farmers to replace illicit coca production with legitimate (and safer) alternatives.

Thorny Issues

The reduction in tariffs gave Colombian growers a boost, but the seeds to grow the Latin American rose industry were really planted back in the 1960s under President Kennedy through economic development programs implemented by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) to combat the spread of Communism in Latin America. Over decades, U.S. funding supported the infrastructure critical to developing an industry that could offer employment, education and empowerment to hundreds of thousands – predominantly female – workers.

The program’s successes came at the expense of U.S. growers. The U.S. florist industry petitioned for a series of anti-dumping investigations that resulted in negligible penalties on importers, and little tangible relief for U.S. industry. As imports grew, the number of U.S. rose farms dwindled from several hundred to fewer than 20 large-scale rose producers today.

Not Everything is Coming Up Roses

The savanna near Bogotá, Colombia’s capital city, is ideal for flower cultivation. It sits 8,700 feet above sea level about 320 miles north of the equator and possess clay-rich soil. Since the 2016 peace accords between the Colombian government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) rebels, many of the coca farms in this area have been replaced with flower production.

But Colombia’s blessings are also a curse. FARC offshoots and other guerrilla groups have been able to move coca production from central highlands to the country’s coastal deltas and frontier areas where it is thriving.

Aerial fumigation to wipe out coca plots was discontinued due to concerns about the effects on human health and damage to local soil and water systems. As well, crop substitution programs have lapsed, leaving a lack of economic alternatives for poor communities where cocaine traffickers have moved in ( though the government has announced plans to replace around 50,000 hectares of illegal crops with the growing of cacao and fruit trees).

As a result, coca production is on the rise. With somewhere between 150,000 and 180,000 hectares of coca under cultivation, according to United Nations and U.S. estimates, Colombia produced its largest crop of coca in 2016 in nearly two decades.

A Rose by Any Other Name

Trade preference programs played some role in helping to provide a safer livelihood for hundreds of thousands of South Americans while making roses accessible to most everyone and for all occasions. Walmart buys so many roses that its purchases are actively monitored by the industry as an economic indicator.

Back in California, the remaining growers still produce around 30 million roses each year. Rather than cultivate mass-produced roses (the red, long stemmed, no scent, durable variety), these growers are working with universities and research centers to create new and specialty cut rose varieties to serve niche segments of the markets such as weddings and other high-end celebrations.

More reading: Archived reports by the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative on the operation and impact of the Andean Trade Preferences Act can be accessed here.

Sarah Smiley

Sarah Smiley is a strategic communications and policy expert with over 20 years in international trade and government affairs, working in the U.S. Government, private sector and international organizations.

This article originally appeared on TradeVistas.org. Republished with permission.

Animal Fats and Oils Market in Latin America and the Caribbean – Key Insights

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘Latin America and the Caribbean – Animal Fats And Oils – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

The revenue of the animal fats market in Latin America and the Caribbean amounted to $770M in 2018, lowering by -7.8% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, animal fats consumption continues to indicate a deep reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016, with an increase of 4.2% against the previous year. The level of animal fats consumption peaked at $1.2B in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2018, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Production in Latin America and the Caribbean

In 2018, approx. 206K tonnes of animal fats and oils were produced in Latin America and the Caribbean; falling by -2.6% against the previous year.

Exports in Latin America and the Caribbean

The exports amounted to 8.9K tonnes in 2018, rising by 49% against the previous year. The total exports indicated a remarkable increase from 2014 to 2018: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +13.9% over the last four years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2018 figures, the animal fats exports increased by +85.0% against 2016 indices.

In value terms, animal fats exports totaled $45M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.

Exports by Country

The exports of the three major exporters of animal fats and oils, namely Chile, Peru and El Salvador, represented more than half of total export. Colombia (1K tonnes) ranks next in terms of the total exports with a 12% share, followed by Argentina (11%), Brazil (6.8%) and Honduras (6.2%).

From 2014 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of exports, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Peru (+343.2% per year), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Chile ($28M) remains the largest animal fats supplier in Latin America and the Caribbean, comprising 63% of total animal fats exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Colombia ($9.1M), with a 20% share of total exports. It was followed by Peru, with a 8.9% share.

Export Prices by Country

The animal fats export price in Latin America and the Caribbean stood at $5,093 per tonne in 2018, approximately mirroring the previous year. Over the period under review, the animal fats export price, however, continues to indicate a deep downturn.

Export prices varied noticeably by the country of origin; the country with the highest export price was Chile ($13,793 per tonne), while Honduras ($433 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2014 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of export prices was attained by Chile, while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Imports in Latin America and the Caribbean

In 2018, approx. 4K tonnes of animal fats and oils were imported in Latin America and the Caribbean; surging by 14% against the previous year. The total imports indicated a strong increase from 2014 to 2018: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +11.0% over the last four year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2018 figures, the animal fats imports increased by +51.8% against 2014 indices.

In value terms, animal fats imports amounted to $6.2M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.

Imports by Country

Guatemala (1.5K tonnes) and Chile (1.4K tonnes) dominates animal fats imports structure, together generating 72% of total imports. El Salvador (342 tonnes) ranks next in terms of the total imports with a 8.5% share, followed by Mexico (6.3%). Belize (153 tonnes), Colombia (87 tonnes) and Guyana (65 tonnes) occupied a little share of total imports.

From 2014 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of imports, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Belize (+91.2% per year), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Chile ($2M), Guatemala ($1.3M) and Mexico ($580K) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2018, together accounting for 63% of total imports. El Salvador, Colombia, Belize and Guyana lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 13%.

Import Prices by Country

The animal fats import price in Latin America and the Caribbean stood at $1,539 per tonne in 2018, lowering by -2.1% against the previous year. In general, the animal fats import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

Import prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest import price was Colombia ($3,221 per tonne), while El Salvador ($872 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2014 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of import prices was attained by Mexico, while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

Asian Investment in Latin America: What you Should Know

As China and Latin America continue making news headlines with high-profile summits and ever-growing investment relations, critical factors driving investment movements take shape, paving the way for successful initiatives between the two countries and ultimately creating an increase in overall diversification of investment in sectors from transportation infrastructure to natural resources, and technology. Relations between Latin America and China continue to strengthen, and we see the relative involvement of the United States slowly tapering off as its commitment to free trade and traditional investment promotion vehicles such as the Export-Import Bank of the United States are in question. So, what exactly does this mean for Latin America and how is the U.S. affected? Gaston Fernandez, partner at Hogan Lovells, weighs in on the subject.

“The numbers in terms of Chinese investment in the U.S. show that such investment has fallen off significantly. The enactment of the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act of 2018 (“FIRRMA”) has placed more scrutiny on foreign investment, and I think there is a perception that national security review has been expanded to something on a broader scope, perhaps more than it was in the past. One example from the headlines would be the U.S. imposing steel and aluminum tariffs on the E.U., Canada and Mexico for national security reasons. I think it’s hard to pin down the motivations for the decline in Chinese investment in the U.S. but there has certainly been a decline, and as a result we’re seeing the same amount of overall Chinese outbound investment going to other regions in the world such as Europe, Latin America, and other developing countries.”

This poses the question of how Mexico will be involved. NAFTA may soon be a thing of the past upon ratification of its replacement, the USMCA, but uncertainty remains in the minds of global trade leaders and investors alike. In this new environment, diversification of investment sources might very well be the key to success if the government wants to see its vision of development projects come to fruition, such as railways extending from the Pacific to the Caribbean and expansion of electricity transmission infrastructure. It’s not a question of opportunity as much as it is a question of lessons learned from recent history in the region, claims Fernandez.

“For many years in Mexico there was a natural tendency to focus on development through NAFTA because it was in many ways taken for granted as the simplest and most effective option for promotion of foreign direct investment. Considering the recent rise of foreign investment from other sources throughout Latin America, there may be some value in diversifying and trying to attract more investment from other countries.”

Diversification presents opportunities when the right investors are involved. Smart selection of projects and partners will determine success in Mexico as plans move from policy goals to implementation.

“In the last 20-30 years, China has built an incredible amount of infrastructure in terms of rail, electricity transmission, and highways, so they have the recent experience and in general China tends to subsidize project costs through loans that are below market rates to promote exports. That combination of attributes has made China an attractive partner for countries throughout Latin America, and I think that could appeal to Mexico as well,” added Fernandez.

The most critical element of global diversification will ultimately lead to a greater economic impact. As more countries are involved with each other to collaborate on economic development, the sources of investment become more diverse. Not all countries are open for investment in the current political environment, and that provides more opportunities for developing countries to tap into the open market to capture the overflow of investment which may have originally ended up elsewhere. Many countries in Latin America are currently looking promising.

“I think now we’re seeing a wider range of Chinese commercial banks and project owners willing to invest their equity, as well as Chinese insurance companies looking to invest insurance assets and Chinese tech startups that are now expanding their offerings of products into Latin America. There’s going to be increased diversification of where the money is coming from, which is good. Going forward, investment will be reaching more sectors of the economy than just the traditional perception of Chinese investments being principally related to natural resources and transportation infrastructure. We’re starting to see investments across a more diverse range of industries, and I think that’s going to be a good thing for Latin America,” Fernandez concluded.

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Gaston P. Fernandez is a partner at Hogan Lovells.  He often represents Latin American national governments and companies and has worked on matters involving Asian investment throughout Latin America in the petrochemical, power generation, transportation, and mining industries. He has been involved with the negotiation and successful closing of credit facilities for Latin American national governments and companies from U.S., European, and Asian banks, including China Development Bank, The Export-Import Bank of China, Bank of China, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), The Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC), and The Export-Import Bank of Korea.

Apparel Textile Sourcing Miami Unveils Top Speaker Line-Up

Amidst Changing Global Trade Landscape, Apparel Textile Sourcing Miami Show Unveils Top Speaker Line-Up to Boost International Trade Success for Fashion Industry Players in Florida, Southern U.S. and Latin America.

The show gets underway May 28-30 at the Mana Wynwood Conference Center, coinciding with Miami Fashion Week to bring to the Magic City more than 10,000 fashion industry representatives for a first-hand discovery of new developments and insights in the apparel and textile market — from concept to consumer.

“With the U.S. in the midst of a shifting trade environment, ATSM has put together the most comprehensive sourcing seminars, expert panels and Q&A segments to arm representatives across all segments of the industry — brands, retailers, e-commerce sellers, designers, importers and buying offices — with the knowledge, tools and practical solutions they need to address current industry issues and navigate through the rapidly-transforming sourcing ecosystem,” said Jason Prescott, CEO of JP Communications, producer of the show and publisher of North America’s leading of B2B trade platforms TopTenWholesale.com and Manufacturer.com.

Highlights of the ATSM educational sessions — which take place on the show floor alongside 300 exhibits of the latest in apparel and textile products and services from more than 15 countries — include:

U.S. Trade Policy Update

U.S. trade policy is changing quickly and Julie Hughes, President of the DC-based United States Fashion Industry Association (USFIA) — which works to facilitate global trade for U.S.-based brands, retailers, importers and wholesalers doing business internationally — will provide an update on the latest developments in global trade, tariff and non-tariff barriers, and new sourcing opportunities.

Imports, Exports and Customs: All You Need to Know for 2019 and Beyond

Navigating through the complex supply chain and other complicated issues associated with trade present a challenge for businesses, small and large. Learn from international trade and legal expert Laura Siegel Rabinowitz, Special Counsel of national law firm Kelley Drye & Warren LLP, about all you need to know to ensure compliance with current trade laws and policies surrounding imports, exports and customs, and reduce duty exposure.

New Investment Opportunities

Tap into an unprecedented number of investment opportunities available to Florida apparel brands, retailers and businesses — from local to international sources. Speakers include Manuel A. Mencia, Sr. Vice President – International Trade and Development of Enterprise Florida, as well as representatives from The Investment Association of China (IAC), who will provide details as part of the first Asia-US-Latin America Investment Summit on the group’s vision to invest in local opportunities in Miami and Fort Lauderdale in the areas of logistics, ports, commercial/residential real estate, infrastructure and technology. IAC, the authority of the Chinese investment industry, regulated by the National Development and Reform Commission of the Peoples’ Republic of China, has injected billions of dollars into different economies worldwide across numerous industries since the inception of China’s One Belt, One Road global trade initiative.

What’s Next in Fashion Color Trends

Laurie Pressman, Vice President of the Pantone Color Institute, will unveil global color authority Pantone Color Institute’s fashion color trend forecast for Autumn/Winter 2020-2021. Be among the first to see how next year’s colors and beyond will be reflective of color as an oasis and how they will be incorporated into fashion.

Stream for Designers on Growing a Successful Business

Launching and growing a successful business today is a challenge for both expert and novice designers alike, especially with limited budgets. What’s the best way to launch or scale a brand — online, direct to consumer, crowd sourcing sites or wholesale? Mercedes R. Gonzalez, Founder and Director of Manhattan-based Global Purchasing Companies, specialists in fashion strategy and brand development, will reveal valuable tips on everything designers needs to know about breaking through the clutter and launching a successful collection. Design industry expert Anna Livermore, Founder of Chicago-based V. Mora, who has helped launch hundreds of designers’ careers over the last decade, will share top mistakes designers make and how to avoid them.

Latest Developments in Manufacturing Technology

With technology evolving at a rapid pace, discover the many advances in technology use and how it can speed up product development and the manufacturing process, including pattern design, creating technical packs, 3D scanning, grading, marking and cutting. Learn from experts such as Ram Sareen Head Coach and Founder of California-based fashion tech firm Tukatech on how technology can help your company save time and money in meeting manufacturing demands, and Shahrooz Kohan, CEO of California-based fashion ERP software provider AIMS360 on the benefits of integrating apparel value chain technologies into your business.

Sustainable Fashion: How to Adapt Your Business to Conform 

In the wake of the United Nations’ launch of the “UN Alliance on Sustainable Fashion,” a panel of top industry experts will discuss the implications for apparel businesses, and provide guidance on how companies can launch, convert and grow their sustainable operations.

Responsible Sourcing and Your Bottom Line

Avedis Seferian, President and CEO of Worldwide Responsible Accredited Production (WRAP), will examine why responsible sourcing is more important than ever in today’s world of instant communication, what companies need to do in order to ensure business continuity and stay competitive, and how responsible sourcing impacts the bottom line.

Presented free of charge, the interactive educational sessions are expected to draw more than 4,000 local, national and international visitors who will attend ATSM to learn, source new innovations, and make connections with sourcing partners globally.

In addition to the show’s exhibits and conference sessions, ATSM will deliver a world-class fashion show, representing local and international designers, up-and-coming student talent and global fashions presented by show exhibitors.

For more show details and a complete conference schedule, please visit www.appareltextilesourcing.com.

BRICs Meet in Brazil, Create Bloc Development Bank

Los Angeles, CA – Leaders of the BRICS group of emerging powers – Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa – have decided to create their own development bank as a counterweight to what they perceive are “western-dominated” financial organizations like the US-based World Bank and International Monetary Fund.

The move came during the BRICS Summit earlier this week in Fortaleza, Brazil. The summit comes as the five countries, whose economies together represent 18 percent of the world total, are experiencing sharp slowdowns in their once fast-paced rates of growth.

The new development bank will reportedly be based in Shanghai and is expected to be functional within two years. It will be capitalized at $50 billion, a figure that could grow to $100 billion to fund infrastructure projects. The fund would also have $100 billion at its disposal to weather economic hard times.

The new development bank’s first director will reportedly be from India.

“We remain disappointed and seriously concerned with the current non-implementation of the 2010 International Monetary Fund (IMF) reforms, which negatively impacts on the IMF’s legitimacy, credibility and effectiveness,” the group said in a joint press release.

The BRICs leaders are now in the Brazilian capital of Brasilia, meeting with their counterparts from Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Venezuela and several other Latin American nations to discuss future economic and trade cooperation.

BRIC giant China is particularly interested in Latin America. After this week’s discussions, Chinese President Xi Jinping will stay in Brazil to launch a China-Latin America forum with the leaders of several regional countries including Cuba, Argentina, Ecuador, and Venezuela.

China is growing in influence in the region. Last year, the country, two-way trade with the region amounted to more than $261 billion.

07/17/2014

US-Sourced LPG Shipments to Latin America Surge

 

Washington, DC – US shipments of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to Latin America have increased five-fold since 2007, edging out more expensive exports from countries such as Saudi Arabia and Algeria.

According to data released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), Latin America imported about 206,000 barrels per day (bpd) of US-sourced LPG in 2013, up from 38,000 bpd in 2007.

The agency said that the lack of industrial capacity and stagnant natural gas production in Latin America – particularly Venezuela – means there is too little LPG to satisfy voracious demand, while the shale boom in the US has created a growing surplus of LPG, namely propane, butane and isobutane.

US producers are reportedly offering lower prices than other major exporters with buyers in Brazil and Chile signing supply contracts with a number of US providers.

LPG is produced from the natural gas liquids that are processed at fractioning plants to separate methane from other more-valued gases, such as butane and propane.

Total US LPG exports rose 482 percent since 2007 to 332,000 bpd last year. Analysts forecast some 450,000 bpd in exports this year and 800,000 bpd by 2018.

Venezuela, which once exported LPG to neighbors but has suffered production declines, has been importing since 2012 while Ecuador imported 88 percent of its LPG last year, spending $700 million in subsidies, the EIA said.

06/10/2014