New Articles

USTR Requests That ITC Conduct Section 332 Investigation to “Monitor and Investigate” Imports of Strawberries and Bell Peppers

Strawberries

USTR Requests That ITC Conduct Section 332 Investigation to “Monitor and Investigate” Imports of Strawberries and Bell Peppers

In a November 3, 2020 letter, U.S. Trade Representative (“USTR”) Robert E. Lighthizer requested that the International Trade Commission (“ITC”) “monitor and investigate imports of strawberries and bell peppers” pursuant to section 332(g) of the Tariff Act of 1930. Section 332 is a provision that allows USTR to ask for a fact-finding investigation by the ITC, but does not result directly in any trade relief. USTR’s request follows the September 1, 2020 announcement of an interagency plan to address the threat of increased imports of perishable fruits and vegetables to American producers.

USTR’s request to monitor and investigate imports of strawberries and bell peppers is likely a precursor to further trade actions. Such actions could include a government self-initiated section 201 case initially brought at the ITC, asking for additional quotas or tariffs, or other actions, which must then be ultimately decided by the President. This type of case is now ongoing regarding imports of blueberries.

Whether a new Biden Administration would be interested in taking up a self-initiated case like this one is unknown. However, even if a Biden Administration does not self-initiate a case, the U.S. producers also could bring various types of actions, relying in large part on the information developed by the ITC as part of this section 332 study. According to USTR itself, the ITC’s collection and analysis of information would expedite the initiation of investigations.

The products in question fall under the following categories of the Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States:

-Fresh or chilled strawberries: 0810.10;

-Fresh or chilled bell peppers:

-60.4015,

-60.4025,

-60.4065,

-and 0709.60.4085

_________________________________________________________

Jeffrey Neeley is a Washington-based partner with the law firm Husch Blackwell LLP. He leads the firm’s International Trade Remedies team.

Julia Banegas is an attorney in Husch Blackwell LLP’s Washington, D.C. office.

Camron Greer is an Assistant Trade Analyst in Husch Blackwell LLP’s Washington D.C. office.

range hood market

Rising Application in Residential Sector to Foster Range Hood Market Size by 2026

Increasing concerns regarding food safety and hygiene around the world are driving the range hood market growth. The development of new restaurants and hotels in Europe and the Asia Pacific is fueling product demand. Several restaurant owners are using kitchen hoods in order to follow food safety and restaurant hygiene guidelines put forth by local governments.

Range hoods are generally installed in commercial and residential kitchens for the removal of fumes, heat, smoke, airborne grease, and combustion products. Although the recent COVID-19 pandemic induced lockdown has caused restaurants, hotels, and cafes to shut down operations temporarily, estimates suggest that the range hood industry could grow substantially owing to the revival of the economy after the pandemic.

Given rising significance and demand, firms operating in the range hood market are developing new products that are rigged with advanced features. For instance, in 2018, major electronic goods company, Panasonic Corporation launched its new and enhanced chimney type range hood having modern features including an electronic soft-touch glass panel and a smoke duct adaptor. With such advancements, Global Market Insights, Inc., estimates that the range hood market may record over USD 9.5 billion by 2026.

Based on the product, the range hood market is divided into ceiling mount, wall mount and under a cabinet. Of these, the ceiling mount range hood segment is experiencing significant growth owing to increasing consumer inclination towards modular kitchens. Ceiling kitchen hoods are mainly made for modular kitchens with the nob or stove positioned in the middle of the kitchen, allowing multiple users to cook simultaneously. These hoods are available in various colors, shapes, materials, and sizes, which is boosting their popularity in modern kitchens.

In terms of application, the range hood business is bifurcated into residential and commercial. Out of these, the residential segment is anticipated to register the highest market share over the forecast period on account of the shifting preferences of consumers towards modern, advanced kitchen cleaning appliances over traditional cleaning systems like fans.

From a regional standpoint, the North American range hood market is witnessing increasing demand owing to the implementation of stringent government regulations on food safety and hygiene in hotels and restaurants.

While the global range hood market consists of firms such as Asko Appliances, KOBE Range Hoods, Zephyr Ventilation, Faber S.p.A, Broan Inc., Vent-A-Hood, Viking Range, LLC, Panasonic Corporation, Windster Hoods, CaptiveAire Systems, Fotile Overseas Kitchen Appliance, BSH Group, Samsung Electronics, Elica S.p.A, Miele, Inc., and Whirlpool Corporation. These companies are adopting different business strategies such as new product development and geographical expansions in order to enhance their market position.

Source: Global Market Insights, Inc.

turkey

Poland Emerges as the Fastest-Growing Exporter at the Global Turkey Meat Market

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Turkey Meat – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

In 2019, the global turkey meat market increased by 3.5% to $12.8B, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. In general, consumption, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Global consumption peaked at $13B in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2019, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Consumption by Country

The country with the largest volume of turkey meat consumption was the U.S. (2.4M tonnes), accounting for 41% of total volume. Moreover, turkey meat consumption in the U.S. exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, Brazil (560K tonnes), fourfold. Germany (475K tonnes) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 8.1% share.

From 2013 to 2019, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in the U.S. was relatively modest. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: Brazil (+4.7% per year) and Germany (+1.5% per year).

In value terms, the U.S. ($4.8B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Germany ($1.3B). It was followed by Brazil.

The countries with the highest levels of turkey meat per capita consumption in 2019 were Israel (11 kg per person), the U.S. (7.36 kg per person) and Germany (5.79 kg per person).

Production

Global turkey meat production reached 6M tonnes in 2019, flattening at the previous year. In general, production showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 5.7% against the previous year. As a result, production attained a peak volume of 6M tonnes; afterward, it flattened through to 2019.

Production by Country

The U.S. (2.7M tonnes) constituted the country with the largest volume of turkey meat production, comprising approx. 45% of total volume. Moreover, turkey meat production in the U.S. exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Brazil (596K tonnes), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was occupied by Germany (477K tonnes), with a 8% share.

In the U.S., turkey meat production remained relatively stable over the period from 2013-2019. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Brazil (+2.3% per year) and Germany (+0.7% per year).

Producing Animals and Yield

In 2019, the number of animals slaughtered for turkey meat production worldwide reached 660M heads, standing approx. at the previous year’s figure. Overall, the number of producing animals continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

The global average turkey meat yield amounted to 9,033 kg per 1000 heads in 2019, stabilizing at 2018 figures. Over the period under review, the yield continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

Exports

In 2019, approx. 1M tonnes of turkey meat were exported worldwide; growing by 2% against 2018 figures. In general, exports, however, saw a mild slump. In value terms, turkey meat exports rose sharply to $2.6B (IndexBox estimates) in 2019. Overall, exports, however, continue to indicate a slight reduction. Global exports peaked at $3B in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2019, exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

The U.S. (242K tonnes) and Poland (212K tonnes) represented the largest exporters of turkey meat in 2019, resulting at approx. 24% and 21% of total exports, respectively. Germany (121K tonnes) ranks next in terms of the total exports with a 12% share, followed by France (7%), Italy (5.8%) and Spain (5.1%). The following exporters – Brazil (36K tonnes), Hungary (35K tonnes), the UK (28K tonnes), the Netherlands (26K tonnes), Chile (25K tonnes) and Canada (20K tonnes) – together made up 17% of total exports.

From 2013 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Poland, while exports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest turkey meat supplying countries worldwide were Poland ($691M), the U.S. ($483M) and Germany ($343M), together comprising 58% of global exports. Italy, France, Hungary, Spain, Chile, Brazil, the Netherlands, the UK and Canada lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 33%.

Export Prices by Country

The average turkey meat export price stood at $2,528 per tonne in 2019, with an increase of 4.9% against the previous year. In general, the export price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when the average export price increased by 5.7% year-to-year. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $2,664 per tonne. From 2015 to 2019, the growth in terms of the average export prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2019, the country with the highest price was Hungary ($3,483 per tonne), while Canada ($1,275 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Chile, while the other global leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

cashew

Featuring the Strong Processing Industry, Vietnam and India Dominate Global Raw Cashew Nut Market

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Cashew Nuts – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

The global cashew nut market expanded significantly to $14.9B in 2019, growing by 5.6% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers of raw (e.g. in-shell) cashew nut (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price).

The market value increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the period from 2013 to 2019; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the global market hit record highs in 2019 and is likely to continue growing in the medium term.

Consumption by Country

The countries with the highest volumes of cashew nut consumption in 2019 were Viet Nam (2.2M tonnes), India (1.5M tonnes) and the Philippines (243K tonnes), together accounting for 74% of global consumption. Mali, Guinea-Bissau, Benin, Brazil, Cote d’Ivoire, Mozambique and Indonesia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 18%.

Viet Nam and India constitute the two global centers of cashew nut processing. They do not only grow the nuts at their own but also source raw cashew nuts from producing countries in Africa and other countries. Thus, Viet Nam ($772M) and India ($1.1B) constituted the largest raw cashew nut importers in 2019, together comprising 96% of total import. Afterward, they process the nuts and then supply the global market with shelled cashew nuts, both roasted and unroasted.

From 2013 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of cashew nut consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Mali, while cashew nut consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Viet Nam ($8.2B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by India ($3.3B). It was followed by Brazil.

In 2019, the highest levels of cashew nut per capita consumption was registered in Guinea-Bissau (81 kg per person), followed by Viet Nam (23 kg per person), Benin (13 kg per person) and Mali (9.83 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of cashew nut was estimated at 0.69 kg per person.

Market Forecast to 2030

Taking into account the closure of the HoReCa sector worldwide due to the pandemic, a decrease in consumer incomes and possible disruptions in the work of international supply chains, global cashew nut consumption is expected to stagnate in 2020. Afterward, the start of gradual market growth is expected as the global economy recovers from the effects of the pandemic. The market is forecast to expand with an anticipated CAGR of +1.3% for the period from 2019 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 6.2M tonnes by the end of 2030.

Production

In 2019, global cashew nut production amounted to 5.4M tonnes, picking up by 4.4% compared with the previous year. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% over the period from 2013 to 2019; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Global production peaked in 2019 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future. The generally positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by moderate growth of the harvested area and a pronounced expansion in yield figures.

Production by Country

The countries with the highest volumes of cashew nut production in 2019 were Viet Nam (1.5M tonnes), India (803K tonnes) and Cote d’Ivoire (747K tonnes), together comprising 56% of global production. Tanzania, the Philippines, Ghana, Benin, Mali, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, Brazil and Indonesia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.

From 2013 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of cashew nut production, amongst the main producing countries, was attained by Mali, while cashew nut production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Harvested Area

In 2019, the total area harvested in terms of cashew nuts production worldwide amounted to 6.4M ha, with an increase of 3.2% on the previous year’s figure. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% from 2013 to 2019; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years.

Yield

In 2019, the global average cashew nut yield stood at 847 kg per ha, remaining stable against 2018. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% from 2013 to 2019; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years.

Exports

After six years of growth, overseas shipments of cashew nuts decreased by -0.9% to 1.5M tonnes in 2019. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% from 2013 to 2019; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. Global exports peaked at 1.6M tonnes in 2018, and then declined slightly in the following year. In value terms, cashew nut exports fell to $1.9B (IndexBox estimates) in 2019.

Exports by Country

Cote d’Ivoire represented the major exporter of raw cashew nuts in the world, with the volume of exports recording 609K tonnes, which was near 39% of total exports in 2019. Ghana (236K tonnes) held a 15% share (based on tonnes) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Tanzania (13%), Guinea (9.7%), Benin (6%) and Nigeria (4.8%). Indonesia (49K tonnes) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Exports from Cote d’Ivoire increased at an average annual rate of +6.1% from 2013 to 2019. At the same time, Guinea (+29.6%), Ghana (+5.7%), Tanzania (+5.4%) and Nigeria (+4.1%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Guinea emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +29.6% from 2013-2019. Indonesia experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Benin (-3.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period.

In value terms, Cote d’Ivoire ($731M) remains the largest cashew nut supplier worldwide, comprising 38% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Guinea ($251M), with a 13% share of global exports. It was followed by Tanzania, with a 13% share.

Export Prices by Country

The average cashew nut export price stood at $1,246 per tonne in 2019, which is down by -13.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated a buoyant expansion from 2013 to 2019: its price increased at an average annual rate of +5.1% over the last six years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the average export price increased by 18% against the previous year. As a result, export price attained the peak level of $1,530 per tonne. From 2018 to 2019, the growth in terms of the average export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of origin; the country with the highest price was Indonesia ($1,997 per tonne), while Benin ($756 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Guinea, while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

wheat gluten

The European Wheat Gluten Market Finds New Normality after The Bakery and Pasta Industry Eased from Pandemic Shocks

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘EU – Wheat Gluten – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

In 2019, the EU wheat gluten market increased by 4.9% to $932M for the first time since 2015, thus ending a three-year declining trend. Over the period under review, consumption saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The level of consumption peaked at $1,000M in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2019, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The countries with the highest volumes of wheat gluten consumption in 2019 were France (128K tonnes), Germany (112K tonnes) and the Netherlands (80K tonnes), together comprising 48% of total consumption. The UK, Spain, Italy, Poland, Romania, Belgium, Denmark, Greece and Sweden lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 41%.

From 2014 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Sweden, while wheat gluten consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, France ($191M), the Netherlands ($116M) and Germany ($101M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2019, together comprising 44% of the total market. These countries were followed by the UK, Italy, Spain, Poland, Romania, Belgium, Denmark, Sweden and Greece, which together accounted for a further 42%.

The COVID-19 pandemic triggered a noticeable transformation of the markets in the EU, in particular, with regard to the wheat gluten market. So far, the uncertainty regarding the depth of both the European and the national economic decline is too great to make long-term forecasts. As wheat gluten constitute a common input in the production of bread and bakery, pasta, and some other food products, which are, in turn, consumer-targeted. Therefore, the pandemic brought changes to key market fundamentals: macroeconomic background, sales channels, supply chains, consumer behavior, and prices.

Against the backdrop of the introduction of quarantine restrictions which lead to the closure of production, a halt in transport activity, and a drop in incomes, over March-April of 2020 many countries experienced a booming consumer demand for long-term storage food products, including pasta. Against this backdrop, a noticeable increase in grain milling output was observed in March-April, also boosted by the disruption of pasta supply chains from Italy. This may affect local demand for wheat gluten, however, since pasta is largely made from durum wheat rich in natural gluten, no dramatic structural changes are expected in the market, although local fluctuations are possible. Further supply chain operations depend on the development of the virus situation, which is still highly uncertain, with the possible threat of the so-called ‘second wave’ of the pandemic.

Given the limitations of the HoReCa sector and the reduced number of visits to traditional malls and shops, the bread output fell dramatically across Europe, which certainly affects the demand for flours. This, however, was partially mitigated by the rising demand for flour for the production of pasta outside Italy, and the rising demand for ingredients for home baking.

As the wheat gluten market is predominantly a b2b-market, no dramatic changes are expected with regard to sales channels. However, online communication becomes increasingly important even in the b2b sales channels, with the use of distant negotiations and electronic document workflow.

The major risk in sales channels comes from the disruption of established international supply chains between wheat growers, importers, wheat processors, distributors, and bakeries/pasta producers due to asynchronous quarantine measures and restricted transport activity.

In March-April 2020, there was a noticeable increase in consumer prices for bread, flour, and pasta in many large consumer countries. This growth, however, was not accompanied by a corresponding increase in producer prices, which indicates the rush demand as the main reason for the price increase. Thus, producer prices rise slightly in Spain and France, in Italy they grew sharply from April to June, while in Germany, the prices also saw an increase from April to June, but it was less tangible than in Italy. From July to August, the producer prices in almost all of the countries stabilized, except for Italy which saw another hike in terms of grain milling producer prices.

Consequently, the crisis of the COVID pandemic does not yet lead to a significant increase in prices, and the market is trying to find a new balance. Further price dynamics will depend on the situation with wheat supplies and the degree of threat of a new wave of quarantine restrictions. However, since some transport and cross-border restrictions still remain, local small price fluctuations are possible due to the current supply and demand conditions.

In 2019, the amount of wheat gluten imported in the European Union declined dramatically to 330K tonnes, waning by -16.8% in 2018. Overall, imports recorded a slight decline. In value terms, wheat gluten imports fell rapidly to $504M (IndexBox estimates) in 2019.

The wheat gluten import price in the European Union stood at $1,526 per tonne in 2019, waning by -7% against the previous year. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the import price increased by 10% year-to-year. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $1,640 per tonne, and then reduced in the following year.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major importing countries. In 2019, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in France ($1,692 per tonne) and Denmark ($1,644 per tonne), while Spain ($1,343 per tonne) and Poland ($1,417 per tonne) were amongst the lowest.

The wheat gluten imports in the EU experienced a sharp contraction since the outbreak of the pandemic in March 2020, which went along with a sharp drop in average import prices. This generally corresponds to the growth in domestic production in the same period – due to the undermining of supply chains, more grain mill products began to be produced domestically. In the third quarter of 2020, however, both the prices and the volumes of import prices recovered to their previous level, which was due to the gradual stabilization of the market amid the opening of the economy.

Local fluctuations in supply and prices are possible due to risks in the supply chain and macroeconomic uncertainty. Weather conditions also act as an uncertainty factor for wheat supply in 2020

Given the pandemic-related limitation of the HoReCa and retail sector, the wheat gluten market is not expected to post any tangible gains in 2020. Afterward, the market is forecast to resume gradual growth, driven by gradual population growth and the recovery of the baking industry. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.7% for the period from 2019 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 725K tonnes by the end of 2030.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

persimmon

The Global Persimmon Market Slipped Back Slightly to $7.1B

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Persimmons – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

The global persimmon market dropped slightly to $7.1B in 2019, reducing by -1.5% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% from 2014 to 2019; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years.

Consumption By Country

China (3.2M tonnes) remains the largest persimmon consuming country worldwide, comprising approx. 63% of total volume. Moreover, persimmon consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, Spain (381K tonnes), eightfold. South Korea (337K tonnes) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 6.8% share.

In China, persimmon consumption increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the period from 2014-2019. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Spain (+34.1% per year) and South Korea (-4.3% per year).

In value terms, China ($4B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Japan ($1B). It was followed by South Korea.

The countries with the highest levels of persimmon per capita consumption in 2019 were Spain (8.12 kg per person), South Korea (6.56 kg per person) and Taiwan (Chinese) (3.86 kg per person).

From 2014 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Spain, while persimmon per capita consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

In 2019, the amount of persimmons produced worldwide expanded to 4.9M tonnes, picking up by 3.5% against 2018 figures. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% from 2014 to 2019; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a mild expansion of the harvested area and a slight increase in yield figures.

Production By Country

China (3.2M tonnes) constituted the country with the largest volume of persimmon production, accounting for 64% of total volume. Moreover, persimmon production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Spain (590K tonnes), fivefold. The third position in this ranking was occupied by South Korea (343K tonnes), with a 6.9% share.

From 2014 to 2019, the average annual growth rate of volume in China amounted to +1.3%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Spain (+19.2% per year) and South Korea (-4.4% per year).

Harvested Area and Yield

In 2019, approx. 977K ha of persimmons were harvested worldwide; surging by 2.7% against 2018. In general, the harvested area continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

In 2019, the global average persimmon yield stood at 5.1 tonnes per ha, leveling off at 2018. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2014 to 2019; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period.

Exports

Global persimmon exports rose sharply to 511K tonnes in 2019, with an increase of 10% against the year before. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.8% from 2014 to 2019; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. In value terms, persimmon exports totaled $469M (IndexBox estimates) in 2019.

Exports by Country

In 2019, Spain (210K tonnes) and Azerbaijan (146K tonnes) were the major exporters of persimmons across the globe, together constituting 70% of total exports. It was distantly followed by Uzbekistan (47K tonnes), generating a 9.3% share of total exports. Lithuania (17K tonnes), Poland (13K tonnes), Belarus (11K tonnes) and Georgia (8K tonnes) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2014 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Uzbekistan, while exports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Spain ($218M) remains the largest persimmon supplier worldwide, comprising 46% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Azerbaijan ($105M), with a 22% share of global exports. It was followed by Uzbekistan, with a 7% share.

From 2014 to 2019, the average annual growth rate of value in Spain stood at +1.6%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Azerbaijan (+10.8% per year) and Uzbekistan (+14.4% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average persimmon export price stood at $918 per tonne in 2019, reducing by -8% against the previous year. In general, the export price saw a abrupt shrinkage. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 an increase of 4.4% y-o-y. Global export price peaked at $1,253 per tonne in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2019, export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of origin; the country with the highest price was Spain ($1,035 per tonne), while Belarus ($210 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2014 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Georgia, while the other global leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

chicken meat

The Global Chicken Meat Market Hit Record Highs

IndexBox invites everyone interested in the relevant data and the actual trends regarding the global chicken meat market to join our webinar: ‘Global Chicken Meat Market – Statistics, Trends, and Outlook’. Here are some facts and figures from the webinar.

For the fourth year in a row, the global chicken meat market recorded growth in sales value, which increased by 3.8% to $192.3B in 2019. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% over the period from 2007 to 2019; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2008 with an increase of 14% year-to-year. Global consumption peaked in 2019 and is likely to see further growth in years to come.

Consumption by Country

The countries with the highest volumes of chicken meat consumption in 2019 were the U.S. (17M tonnes), China (15M tonnes) and Brazil (12M tonnes), together accounting for 37% of global consumption. These countries were followed by Russia, Mexico, India, Japan, Indonesia, Iran, South Africa, Argentina and Malaysia, which together accounted for a further 23%.

From 2007 to 2019, the biggest increases were in India, while chicken meat consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($39.2B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Brazil ($19.1B). It was followed by the U.S..

The countries with the highest levels of chicken meat per capita consumption in 2019 were Malaysia (59 kg per person), Brazil (55 kg per person) and the U.S. (50 kg per person).

Production

In 2019, the global production of chicken meat amounted to 119M tonnes, increasing by 4% compared with 2018. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% from 2007 to 2019; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The generally positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a measured increase in the number of producing animals and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.

Production by Country

The countries with the highest volumes of chicken meat production in 2019 were the U.S. (20M tonnes), Brazil (16M tonnes) and China (14M tonnes), together comprising 42% of global production. These countries were followed by Russia, India, Mexico, Indonesia, Japan, Turkey, Iran, Argentina and Myanmar, which together accounted for a further 22%.

From 2007 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Russia, while chicken meat production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Producing Animals and Yield

In 2019, approx. 71B heads of animals were slaughtered for chicken meat production worldwide; growing by 3.1% in 2018. This number increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% from 2007 to 2019; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period.

The global average chicken meat yield stood at 1,7 kg per head in 2019, remaining relatively stable against 2018. Over the period under review, the yield saw a relatively flat trend pattern.

Exports

For the fourth consecutive year, the global market recorded growth in overseas shipments of chicken meat, which increased by 3.7% to 16M tonnes in 2019. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% from 2007 to 2019; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. In value terms, chicken meat exports rose modestly to $23.7B (IndexBox estimates) in 2019.

Exports by Country

Brazil (4M tonnes) and the U.S. (3.3M tonnes) represented roughly 47% of total exports of chicken meat in 2019. The Netherlands (1.5M tonnes) occupied a 9.8% share (based on tonnes) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Poland (7.7%). The following exporters – Thailand (510K tonnes), Belgium (489K tonnes), Turkey (478K tonnes), the UK (356K tonnes), Germany (350K tonnes), Ukraine (338K tonnes), Hong Kong SAR (311K tonnes) and France (251K tonnes) – together made up 20% of total exports.

From 2007 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Ukraine, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest chicken meat supplying countries worldwide were Brazil ($6.4B), the U.S. ($3.3B) and the Netherlands ($2.7B), together accounting for 53% of global exports. Poland, Belgium, Thailand, Germany, Turkey, Ukraine, France, Hong Kong SAR and the UK lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 28%.

Export Prices by Country

The average chicken meat export price stood at $1,518 per tonne in 2019, waning by -2% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2008 an increase of 12% year-to-year. Global export price peaked at $1,792 per tonne in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2019, export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of origin; the country with the highest price was France ($1,853 per tonne), while the UK ($924 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Turkey, while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

beer

The Asian-Pacific Beer Market Slows Down Against Lower Demand for Imported Beer in China

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘Asia-Pacific – Beer Made From Malt (Excluding Non-Alcoholic Beer) – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

The Asia-Pacific beer market contracted modestly to $52.2B in 2019, shrinking by -1.8% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of 12% year-to-year. As a result, consumption reached a peak level of $56.4B. From 2018 to 2019, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Consumption by Country

China (58M tonnes) remains the largest beer consuming country in Asia-Pacific, comprising approx. 78% of the total volume. Moreover, beer consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, Japan (2.6M tonnes), more than tenfold. South Korea (2.4M tonnes) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 3.2% share.

In China, beer consumption increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% over the period from 2013-2019. In other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Japan (-1.6% per year) and South Korea (+2.4% per year).

In value terms, China ($36.1B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Australia ($2.7B). It was followed by Japan.

The countries with the highest levels of beer per capita consumption in 2019 were Australia (82 kg per person), South Korea (47 kg per person) and China (40 kg per person).

Production in Asia-Pacific

For the fifth consecutive year, Asia-Pacific recorded growth in the production of beer made from malt (excluding non-alcoholic beer), which increased by 2.9% to 73M tonnes in 2019. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the period from 2013 to 2019; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, production attained the peak volume and is likely to continue growing in the immediate term.

Production by Country

China (58M tonnes) constituted the country with the largest volume of beer production, accounting for 79% of total volume. Moreover, beer production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Japan (2.6M tonnes), more than tenfold. The third position in this ranking was occupied by Thailand (2.3M tonnes), with a 3.1% share.

In China, beer production increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2013-2019. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Japan (-1.4% per year) and Thailand (+0.1% per year).

Imports in Asia-Pacific

Beer imports rose significantly to 2.7M tonnes in 2019, increasing by 5.3% compared with 2018 figures. Total imports indicated a strong expansion from 2013 to 2019: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +9.0% over the last six years. In value terms, beer imports rose modestly to $2.5B (IndexBox estimates) in 2019.

This tangible figure was shaped by the rapid growth of beer imports in China over the last five years. Rapid urbanization, rising consumer incomes, as well as the increasing popularity of Western-style cuisine and fast-food in large cities all constitute the key prerequisites for the growing demand for imported beer.

Imports by Country

China represented the main importer of beer made from malt (excluding non-alcoholic beer) in Asia-Pacific, with the volume of imports resulting at 836K tonnes, which was near 31% of total imports in 2019. It was distantly followed by Australia (383K tonnes), South Korea (372K tonnes), Taiwan (Chinese) (194K tonnes), Myanmar (151K tonnes), Hong Kong SAR (147K tonnes) and Singapore (139K tonnes), together creating a 51% share of total imports.

China was also the fastest-growing in terms of the beer made from malt (excluding non-alcoholic beer) imports, with a CAGR of +28.5% from 2013 to 2019. At the same time, South Korea (+22.4%), Taiwan (Chinese) (+4.5%) and Australia (+3.6%) displayed positive paces of growth. Hong Kong SAR and Myanmar experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Singapore (-3.9%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period.

However, in 2019, the growth of Chinese beer imports lost its momentum, which is largely attributed to a slowdown in the economy, rising political tensions and the expansion of the domestic beer industry. In 2020, it is not expected that import should recover because the COVID pandemic hit severely the HoReCa sector, hampered the growth of incomes, and to some extent disrupted international supply chains.

After the pandemic wanes, it may be difficult for foreign brands to recover their market presence against local manufacturers which rapidly take every vacant market segment. This is particularly relevant for large cities where Western ex-pats commonly live – the rising trade wars undermine the growth of foreign business in China thereby the number of foreign citizens working in China is not likely to grow tangibly. Because those people shape the demand for imported beer, the growth of imports is to be hampered by these circumstances.

In value terms, China ($909M) constitutes the largest market for imported beer made from malt (excluding non-alcoholic beer) in Asia-Pacific, comprising 36% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Australia ($359M), with a 14% share of total imports. It was followed by South Korea, with a 11% share.

From 2013 to 2019, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in China totaled +25.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Australia (+2.4% per year) and South Korea (+21.0% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The beer import price in Asia-Pacific stood at $929 per tonne in 2019, declining by -3.5% against the previous year. Overall, the import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 an increase of 3.9% year-to-year. Over the period under review, import prices reached the peak figure at $992 per tonne in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2019, import prices failed to regain the momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest price was China ($1,087 per tonne), while Myanmar ($588 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Hong Kong SAR, while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

green bean

Global Green Bean Market Grows Robustly to $31B

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Green Beans – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

The global green bean market was estimated at $31.1B in 2019, surging by 4.7% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price).

The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% from 2013 to 2019; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period.

Taking into account the closure of the HoReCa sector worldwide due to the pandemic, a decrease in consumer incomes and possible disruptions in the work of international supply chains, global green bean consumption is expected to stagnate in 2020. Afterward, the start of gradual market growth is expected as the global economy recovers from the effects of the pandemic. The market is forecast to expand with an anticipated CAGR of +1.3% for the period from 2019 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 31M tonnes by the end of 2030.

Consumption by Country

China (21M tonnes) remains the largest green bean consuming country worldwide, comprising approx. 75% of total volume. Moreover, green bean consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, Indonesia (946K tonnes), more than tenfold. The U.S. (862K tonnes) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 3.1% share.

From 2013 to 2019, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China amounted to +3.6%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: Indonesia (+1.2% per year) and the U.S. (-0.3% per year).

In value terms, China ($19.1B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Indonesia ($2.1B). It was followed by the U.S.

The countries with the highest levels of green bean per capita consumption in 2019 were China (14 kg per person), Turkey (8.18 kg per person) and Indonesia (3.49 kg per person).

Production

In 2019, approx. 27M tonnes of green beans were produced worldwide; rising by 2.8% compared with the previous year’s figure. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the period from 2013 to 2019. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum volume in 2019 and is likely to continue growing in years to come. The generally positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a moderate increase of the harvested area and a pronounced expansion in yield figures.

Production By Country

China (21M tonnes) constituted the country with the largest volume of green bean production, comprising approx. 75% of total volume. Moreover, green bean production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Indonesia (946K tonnes), more than tenfold. The third position in this ranking was occupied by the U.S. (813K tonnes), with a 3% share.

In China, green bean production increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the period from 2013-2019. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Indonesia (+1.2% per year) and the U.S. (-0.6% per year).

Harvested Area and Yield

The global green bean harvested area was estimated at 1.8M ha in 2019, approximately mirroring the previous year’s figure. In 2019, the global average yield of green beans reached 15 tonnes per ha, growing by 2.1% compared with the year before. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% from 2013 to 2019; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years.

Imports

In 2019, the amount of green beans imported worldwide fell modestly to 597K tonnes, waning by -3.6% against 2018. Over the period under review, imports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Global imports peaked at 620K tonnes in 2018, and then fell slightly in the following year. In value terms, green bean imports shrank to $998M (IndexBox estimates) in 2019.

Imports by Country

The countries with the highest levels of green bean imports in 2019 were Spain (110K tonnes), Belgium (88K tonnes), the U.S. (78K tonnes), the Netherlands (66K tonnes), France (49K tonnes), the UK (37K tonnes), Germany (25K tonnes), Canada (21K tonnes) and Italy (21K tonnes), together reaching 83% of total import. Madagascar (12K tonnes) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Madagascar, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Spain ($164M), the U.S. ($127M) and the Netherlands ($125M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2019, with a combined 42% share of global imports. These countries were followed by the UK, France, Canada, Belgium, Germany, Italy and Madagascar, which together accounted for a further 46%.

Import Prices by Country

In 2019, the average green bean import price amounted to $1,671 per tonne, rising by 1.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 an increase of 3.6% y-o-y. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $1,705 per tonne; afterward, it flattened through to 2019.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2019, the country with the highest price was Canada ($3,283 per tonne), while Madagascar ($241 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada, while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

dairy

The Importance of the Dairy Industry in 2020 With Leading Experts in the Era of COVID-19

Tell our readers about the reach of the dairy industry, what they might not be aware of in terms of populations served and livelihoods supported?

Donald Moore (Executive Director of the Global Dairy Platform, which works to promote the nutrient richness of dairy products, bring balance and research to the role of milk fat in the diet and provide clarity on how dairy is managing its relationship with the environment):

In 2015, Global Dairy Platform (GDP) worked with the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations to determine just how far the dairy sector reaches, the people’s lives we impact. We all knew it was a big industry, but we didn’t know just how big.

They [the FAO] determined that there were 133 million dairy farms in the world. That’s a big number and it also conveys a lot in terms of the families that rely on the industry and the importance behind the nutrition dairy provides.

However, beyond the numbers, let’s talk scale – Based here in the U.S., we tend to think of dairy farms as reasonably large-scale, but in reality, the average dairy farm around the world hosts about three cows. Dairy farms are located in virtually every country in the world, including some small island nations and countries in the Middle East where you would assume the conditions weren’t viable for dairy, yet there they are.

There are some 600 million people living on those dairy farms around the world and if you take into account people who work upstream and downstream from the dairy farm, there’s another 400 million people whose livelihoods depend upon dairy.

We often talk about dairy as being a ‘billion-person community’, so suffice it to say, we support the livelihoods of one billion people, plus.

There are some 240 million full time jobs created by the dairy sector; of those jobs, approximately 80 million are held by women, so it’s a sector that actually has quite a large gender population balance. Of the 133 million dairy farms, 37 million are led by women. One of the things that we like to talk about is the role that dairy can play in bringing gender equality to the global agriculture and livestock sectors.

Jay Waldvogel (Senior Vice President, Strategy- Dairy Farmers of America): Around the world, annually, there are some six billion people who consume dairy. Now obviously, some consume more than others, but six billion people from a consumer perspective are aware of, are touched by, or have some relationship with dairy when it comes to their nutritional intake.

Donald Moore: Roughly ten percent of the world’s protein comes from the dairy sector. In many parts of the world, people lack protein in their diets. One of the things about the dairy sector that I admire is that it provides high-quality protein as well as many other micronutrients that are essential for healthy growth.

Margaret Munene (Co-founder of Palmhouse Dairies and a founding trustee of the Palmhouse Foundation): The Global Dairy Platform ultimately brings the global dairy sector together on a pre-competitive basis, to build evidence on dairy’s impact in a sustainable food system and significant role in the future of food. GDP membership includes more than 95 leading corporations, companies, associations, scientific bodies and other partners. GDP’s members have operations in more than 150 countries around the world and it’s important to note also, that GDP members collectively produce a third of all the world’s milk.

In times of crisis, such as this ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, we often talk about maintaining security by maintaining supply. Tell me about the security of supply pertaining to the dairy industry and its commitment to sustainable food systems…

Donald Moore: Sustainable food systems is a term very much de rigueur at the moment. We’ve been promoting the idea that you need to think about a food system in its totality. Some people started maybe six, seven years ago talking about sustainable diets. Yet diet is just one piece of the food system puzzle.

If you think about agricultural land around the world,  approximately 70 percent of agricultural land is regarded as marginal land. In other words, it’s not land where you can plough and plant beans, corn, wheat, or anything else. It’s land that only becomes part of a productive food system when it’s grazed. So, the way we make that a useful contributor to the food system is by grazing it, either with dairy cows or buffalo, goat, sheep, a herd of some form. Those animals then turn that land into nutritious food that humans can consume.

In many parts of the developing world, livestock ownership can be the difference between dietary security / nutritional security and nutritional insecurity. We as a sector remain concerned about some of the discussions that go on at the moment about plants versus animals. We need to leverage all the tools that are available to secure nutrition for future generations. That includes making sure that all of this marginal land is being used as optimally as possible. Food security requires both plants AND animals.

That doesn’t mean that we as a dairy sector have not got our challenges. We recognize our sustainability challenges and have done a lot of work to improve the sustainability performance and the sustainability credentials of the dairy sector.

What is the Global Daily Platform’s approach then to this commitment to sustainability?

Jay Waldvogel: Let’s start at the very beginning when the Global Dairy Platform was created nearly 15 years ago. At that point in time, we were, fairly, being criticized for our environmental footprint. There wasn’t a lot of attention globally on it and it wasn’t that dairy farming necessarily was consciously bad, we just weren’t being as consciously good as we could have been.

Donald Moore: Since GDP’s inception, we’ve been doing a lot of work on how we improve dairy’s sustainability performance.

Together with the global dairy sector, we developed the Dairy Sustainability Framework (DSF) to track 11 strategic criteria to report on the progress dairy is making in areas such as greenhouse gas emissions, animal care, water quality, soil nutrients, among others.

The really good news is that we are seeing continuous improvement in dairy’s sustainability performance. For instance, analysis conducted by FAO found dairy’s emission intensity, or the volume of greenhouse gas emitted per kilogram of product, declined 11% from 2005-2015.

GDP has also been tackling how best we can help the developing world improve similar to, or perhaps even more so than the so-called developed world. If you think about greenhouse gasses, from here in the U.S. or in Europe, we produce roughly 1.2 to 1.4 kilograms of greenhouse gas per kilogram of dairy product produced. In parts of Africa, that’s somewhere between 12 to 18 kilograms of greenhouse gas per kilogram of product produced. So we recognize the opportunity for us to enhance the practices in the developing world and in doing so, reduce the environmental impacts of the dairy sector as a whole while improving farmer livelihoods and farm outcomes.

Margaret Munene: The dairy industry is also truly committed to taking the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) from theory to reality.

Clearly, when farmers have cows, they have milk, which is nutritious and provides them with Vitamin A and protein, among other impactful nutrients. From the milk those farmers sell, they now have the capital to purchase other foods. A cow also, importantly, produces manure which farmers use to fertilize their land, to produce other crops.

So, dairy farmers are often not hungry farmers. I have seen it with the many farmers I work with; they have money in their pockets. They can do many, many things, and actually have better livelihoods. Because they have money, they can take their children to school. Then they have bank accounts and from them, can acquire micro-credit loans. They can improve their herds and therefore, their lives cyclically actually become much better.

I see dairy as a very important sector, driving sustainable development in the developing world and also in the developed world.

Jay Waldvogel: We have an incredible commitment to improving collectively as an industry across numerous metrics. I think if you were to talk to the people at the UN and other agencies about how dairy is pursuing this versus other sectors, you’ll find we’re quite ahead of the curve.

It doesn’t mean we’re perfect at it. It doesn’t mean we’ve got it all solved, but we know our challenges, we know what we need to do, and we’re really actively engaged in measuring and understanding how we can get better.

How has the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic impacted the operations of the global dairy sector?

Donald Moore: In some of the more developed countries, there have been challenges to our value chain because of the amount of dairy product that was previously going into food service; in restaurants, hotels, schools, etc. So, in that channel, the impact has been significant.

On the other side of the coin, however, consumer buying at a retail level had increased quite markedly. It hasn’t made up for losses in the food service area, mind you.

It is difficult for the sector to transition quickly from making 25-kilogram boxes of shredded cheese intended for the foodservice channel, for example, to putting that cheese into consumer-friendly sized packages for retail shelves.

The developing world didn’t really feel the challenge in the same way that those in the more developed world markets did. In the developing world, their challenges were probably more around transporting milk to processing facilities and so on.

Jay Waldvogel: While we had this rather painful moment immediately after COVID-19 broke out here in the U.S., today, we’re actually seeing a forward trajectory that is in fact quite positive, as people are reintroduced to dairy, reintroduced to its flexibility and nutrition and are reintroduced to the fact that there’s an awful lot of dairy products that actually taste quite good!

Margaret Munene: I think for me, COVID-19 has shown us how fragile supply chains can be within the global food system. It has spotlighted that disruption in one link can hurt many other links of the supply chain. And this is not just relegated to the dairy industry. This is, I think, applicable to all sectors for food and nutrition, including meat, fruits, and vegetables.

We run a dairy processing company in rural Kenya, for example. There, we partner with 500 small-scale farmers. Notably, 85% of those farmers are women. We collect milk, process it to make yogurt, and send that yogurt to the very high-end markets of Nairobi. However, at the moment, Nairobi’s five-star hotels and major restaurants have almost come to a standstill. And therefore there has been market disruption throughout, especially for processing companies.

But all is not lost, because we remain adaptive and very innovative. The dairy sector is well-positioned for the future because we are dealing with a product with a high nutritional value and now, more than ever, we need nutritional products like milk to boost our immune systems.

Milk is safe, it is nutritious, it is affordable, and therefore, looking into the future and past COVID-19, though there has been a disruption today, tomorrow still looks bright for the dairy industry.

Where do you envision the global dairy sector in the future?

Donald Moore: I see the dairy sector becoming more effective, more efficient.

From an industry perspective, we really see a bright future for the role that dairy plays. Milk consumption around the world continues to grow at just under two percent per annum. When you consider the size of the dairy sector, two percent is enormous growth in terms of volume.

We’re also actively involved in an initiative we call, “Dairy Nourishes Africa (‘DNA’)”. The idea behind this initiative is to use the dairy sector in such a way that we can tackle the issues of childhood malnutrition.

About 30% of children under the age of five in certain African countries suffer from malnutrition and particularly stunting and wasting. Wasting you can recover from, with appropriate intervention, but stunting is something that has very long-term effects.

Making sure that a child under the age of five has adequate nutrition and high-quality protein in their diet is extremely important to alleviate stunting. We’re looking at how we can use the dairy sector to help tackle those kinds of issues of malnutrition.

We have a series of pilots, which we’ve just literally in the last few weeks signed off on, which will happen in Tanzania and those pilots are intended to enhance the productivity of the sector, make milk more available locally, and for it to then be directed into school nutrition programs.

[To Margaret’s previous point], we are focused on the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and how the dairy sector can help to address those key challenges. With regard to our ongoing collaboration with FAO, we [GDP] developed a research paper in conjunction with them 18 months ago about the impact that the dairy sector has on reducing poverty, which is SDG-1. Earlier this year, GDP again collaborated with FAO to publish a paper on SDG-2, emphasizing dairy’s role in ending hunger.  And we’re in the process at the moment of preparing a paper on the impact that dairy has on disadvantaged groups; in particular, women and youth, and the role that dairy can [and already] plays in reducing inequalities.

So, there’s quite an active role that we think the dairy sector can take in helping to deliver on some of the key issues that are affecting society at large.

Jay Waldvogel: Dairy will play a lead role going forward. The question is, how big a role?

If dairy continues to improve on its environmental footprint, and I believe it will, if we can help explain to people the holistic impact dairy provides, this food system approach where you take into account, not just the impact you have environmentally, not just the nutritional benefits you bring, but those greater, critical societal issues, those economic issues, then dairy has an opportunity to remain a vital part of society going forward.

Margaret Munene: When you consider all that dairy provides, the nutrition and its health benefits, serving as a driving force for social and economic development in the process and taking into account further the progress that the sector is making in terms of reducing its impact on the planet; for me, I see the future of dairy looking extremely positive.

Dairy is a critically important sector in many ways; I really can’t imagine a future without dairy.