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What’s In Store For the 2021 Stock Market?

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What’s In Store For the 2021 Stock Market?

The past 12 months have been an exciting and interesting time for all the stock exchanges around the world. Amid a global pandemic and political changes in dozens of developed nations, nearly all the key indicators showed surprising strength and durability, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S & P 500. The Dow took a temporary hit at the beginning of 2020 when COVID struck, but since then has come roaring back.

It not only made up all those lost points but has tacked on about 4,000 more, currently hovering close to the 35,000 mark. The S&P 500 did almost the same thing, falling rapidly from mid-February to mid-March of last year, only to recoup all the loss and rise even higher, now sitting near the 4,300 mark. Here’s what the rest of 2021 could have in store for anyone interested in taking part in the global securities markets.

What’s the Purpose of the Stock Market?

Before examining what the rest of the year has in store for corporations and investors, it’s important to recall the two reasons the securities markets came into existence. Even after more than a century of daily buying, selling, and deal-making, those two purposes still underpin the existence of all the major global exchanges. The first purpose is to allow organizations, also known as listed firms, the chance to acquire capital so they can go about their daily operations, grow, and prosper. Second to that, but no less vital, is that the exchanges give ordinary investors the ability to benefit by owning a piece of any entity that is listed on the trading board.

Businesses Raise Money as Needed

For example, a new business might not have enough luck raising the funds it needs via private sources, loans, and angel investors. When that happens, it has the chance to apply to appear on the exchange’s board and accept direct capital inflow from the public, through a network of brokers.

Private Citizens Can Earn a Living

For individuals who want to own a portion of any listed entity, shares are available for sale. There’s no limit on investing timelines or amounts, as long as the purchase is legally made through a licensed agent. Many stock market enthusiasts who want to earn regular income learn how to day trade and take part in daily sessions. By definition, day traders close out all their positions each day, never holding equity shares overnight.

Corporate Earnings Estimates

After the COVID pandemic restrictions eased up and the global economy began getting back to normal in early 2021, many corporations unexpectedly exceeded earnings expectations. As is the case with share prices, earnings can sometimes travel for a while on built-up momentum. But even though most of the prognosticators and Sunday morning TV shows were expecting to see 2020’s momentum die down heading into the new year, it was not as significant as expected. Then, dozens of major companies began reporting record earnings early in the second quarter of 2021, which means there’s likely a new wave of enthusiasm and optimism coming out of the pandemic.

Overall Direction and New Leaders

Since March of 2020, the overall direction of the equity markets has been generally upward. Even in the doldrums of the later part of last year, the general trajectory of share prices was up, a megatrend that has continued to this day. What new leaders are emerging? Some of the biggest winners of the past six months have included companies in sectors like pharmaceuticals, healthcare, retail, and home improvement. Now that the economy is focused more on home delivery, online commerce, and working from home, merchants who have plugged into those major trends are enjoying broad-based success.

Low Risk, Not No Risk

Even the most diversified portfolio of blue-chip stocks still comes with risk. It’s essential for newcomers to the marketplace to understand that low risk is not the same thing as no risk. Anyone who puts their money on the line for the purposes of earning a profit from stocks, bonds, forex, options, commodities, or anything else, faces the ups and downs of the international economy. However, for prudent traders, there are multiple ways to minimize risk, keep an eye on account balances, and take part in one of the most exciting financial enterprises on earth: the international securities exchanges.

Commodity Management global

The Need for Commodity Analytics in Commodity Management Software

The management of commodities and the risks associated with this activity have evolved since the introduction of Energy Trading and Risk Management (ETRM) software in the 1990s. Over time, the type and quantity of data to be managed changed and these solutions later evolved to Commodity Trading and Risk Management (CTRM) software in the mid-2000s that grew in scope to include support for commodities other than energy. In addition to support for additional commodity types, ETRM and CTRM software has grown further into the supply chain and the functional footprint of these systems has dramatically increased. Now, we are seeing another generational shift from what were primarily transaction-based systems to solutions that provide sophisticated, real-time, analytics along with transaction management.

Commodity Management is a Big Data Business

Inherently, the commodities industry has always been a big data business. Physical trades that are hedged with financial derivatives create thousands of individual data points. And each of those data points represent multiple decisions to be made and perhaps reconsidered before the trade is eventually closed. Prices move, markets change, and regulations are updated. For example, as a market data provider, GlobalView is constantly adding new data sources to meet the needs of commodity market participants. Today’s focus on analytics is driven by the need for more data.

All of this data drives complexity in decision making. Those companies who are best equipped to leverage the data available to them to make the best decisions will gain a competitive advantage. It’s a whole new world. No longer is the typical CTRM software system adequate for companies exposed to commodity market risk. While the ability to capture the data that surrounds each transaction or engagement is still required in CTRM software, that functionality alone is not enough. As margins tighten and conditions get tougher, commodities companies need systems that do more.

A Generational Shift from Data Capture to Data Analytics

To remain competitive, today’s commodities companies need next-generation systems that support real-time decision making to move beyond data capture to data analytics. The ability to analyze information to create predictive models allows firms to develop accurate, repeatable formulas that take into account market conditions to identify optimal scenarios. Using advanced visualization techniques coupled with user-controlled, predictive analytics, commodities companies can optimize operations.

Commodities companies can no longer afford to wait days and weeks to understand market changes, analyze the alternatives, and make decisions. Instead, all business users need the power to analyze data the way they want. The solution that will enable real-time decision making requires two components: the right technology to handle the large volume of data generated by the commodities industry and built-in commodity specific intelligence to analyze the data. In addition, the most useful analytics solutions will enable business users to start using the solution immediately without an extended and costly implementation project.

Today’s Next-Generation Commodity Management Solution is Smart Commodity Management

Smart Commodity Management includes Commodity Analytics Cloud, an advanced data aggregation and analytics tool, and InSight CM, an integrated system for managing commodity transactions end-to-end. These two solutions together provide the analytical and operational solutions that commodities companies need to manage in today’s complex and volatile markets.

Analytics are the future of commodity management. Commodities companies need to look at advanced analytics solutions to ensure future success. Geared specifically for commodities companies in the agriculture, manufacturing, energy, and metals industries, Commodity Analytics Cloud provides traders, risk managers, analysts, supply chain/logistics managers, IT specialists, back office personnel, and executives with previously unavailable insights into key business areas.

Commodity Analytics Cloud brings together data from multiple internal and external sources including ETRM, CTRM, ERP, CRM, spreadsheets, and market data, including GlobalView’s MarketView data, which is available in a special bundled package price.

Eka Software Solutions is a global leader in providing digital commodity management solutions, driven by cloud, blockchain, machine learning and analytics.

To talk to Eka experts please write to info@eka1.com

commodities

5 Business Issues Facing Agricultural Commodities Companies

Let’s learn more about 5 frequently asked questions on common issues that affect not only agri-commodities companies but span almost all commodities: managing complex supply chains, over-use of spreadsheets, growing amounts of data, analytics, and mobility.

1) Is there a better way to solve critical business problems than relying on multiple systems and spreadsheets?

Most commodities companies have multiple software systems in place to manage commodity trading, risk, procurement, and supply chains. This could be due to an accumulation of systems from mergers and acquisitions, especially in agriculture as many of the large ags traders are looking to gain more control over their supply chains by expanding their global footprint.

They may also have a separate solution for each product, department, or geographic region. However, when data is kept in multiple siloed systems, companies often turn to spreadsheets to connect the dots. Manually entering data into excel is not timely, accurate, or auditable, and it forces companies to base critical decisions on the hope that an individual didn’t make any errors. Not to mention it can be expensive, like when an employee at Deutsche Bank reportedly sent a hedge fund client $6 billion on accident due to a ‘fat-finger’ mistake.

Luckily the company was able to recover the money, but these types of errors can be easily avoided. Rather than take the risk of costing your company millions, or billions, of dollars, commodities companies should adopt an integrated solution that covers the entire value chain and allows users to focus on data analysis instead of data collection. By aggregating and analyzing data all in one system, users can optimize decision making and gain a competitive advantage.

2) How can we get more analytics and reporting from our existing systems?

Commodities companies need to be able to perform predictive analytics in addition to slicing and dicing their data. In order to make better business decisions in today’s complex and volatile markets, analytics need to be in the hands of business users, not the domain of IT and specialists. Using an advanced analytics tool along with an existing solution, such as CTRM software, ERP, or other transaction systems, allows you to bring together all of your data from different sources, discover new insights, and investigate hidden risks faster.

3) Is there a Business Intelligence tool specific to the commodities markets?

Generic business intelligence (BI) tools typically require too much customization to be useful for commodity-specific issues. It can be very costly, both in dollars and time, to add all the functionality needed to manage commodities to a generic system, and in the end, you will probably still need to use another system to handle certain tasks.

There are solutions built specifically for the commodities markets that agriculture, energy, metals, and manufacturing companies should consider instead of a generic BI tool. This will enable them to get the relevant information they need to solve the most important business issues without having to hunt down the answers from separate departments or solutions.

4) How can we better understand and identify commodity risk and opportunities across the supply chain?

Having visual representations of your business makes it much easier to recognize risks and opportunities. For an agriculture company, having a transparent view from farmer to stockyard to processor to producer, all the way to the end-user, will allow you to make the best decisions for buying, transporting, storing, and selling commodities. For other commodity trading companies, it is critical to be able to view the entire transaction life cycle, from trading, risk management, and processing, to scheduling, logistics, accounting, and settlement. Using sophisticated visualization tools to get an accurate view across an entire deal lifecycle, users can identify commodity risk and exposures as well as gain insights into opportunities to improve efficiencies and profit margins.

5) Are there CTRM systems built for mobile?

As more people are conducting business on the go, traveling to customer or supplier sites, or working from a remote location, it is no longer acceptable to have to wait until you are in the office to access data and make decisions. To get the most value out of a CTRM software solution it needs to have all the functionality of a desktop system built in.

Traders, risk managers, and executives can maximize productivity with the ability to perform key functions anytime, anywhere. With mobile apps, traders can enter deals and hedge effectively, even while out of the office. Risk managers can manage risk across the organization and executives can monitor key performance indicators at any time. The ability to react quickly to new deal information and communicate this information to the relevant people in an organization rapidly, accurately, and conveniently, provides companies with a competitive advantage. Using mobile apps eliminates the need for multiple follow-up emails and telephone communications that can be inaccurate and delay contract settlement.

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Eka Software Solutions is a global leader in providing digital commodity management solutions, driven by cloud, blockchain, machine learning and analytics.

To talk to Eka experts please write to info@eka1.com