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Global Decaffeinated Coffee Trade Falls with Reduced American Purchases

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Global Decaffeinated Coffee Trade Falls with Reduced American Purchases

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Decaffeinated Coffee – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

Global decaffeinated coffee exports dropped from $1.6B in 2019 to $1.5B in 2020. Germany remains the world’s largest supplier, accounting for 48% of the total decaffeinated coffee exports in 2020. Last year, Germany saw a decrease in coffee exports, as its major trade partner, the U.S., had reduced the purchases. The average export price for decaffeinated coffee jumped by +5.6% y-o-y to $4,618 per tonne in 2020. The U.S., Spain and the Netherlands continue to lead in global decaffeinated coffee imports. 

Global Decaffeinated Coffee Exports

Global decaffeinated coffee exports dropped to 319K tonnes in 2020, with a decrease of -14.3% compared with the year before. In value terms, decaffeinated coffee exports reduced from $1.6B in 2019 to $1.5B (IndexBox estimates) in 2020.

Germany constitutes the major exporter of decaffeinated coffee in the world, with the volume of exports amounting to 153K tonnes, which was approx. 48% of total exports in 2020. In Germany, decaffeinated coffee exports declined by -2.6% over the last year.

Viet Nam (24K tonnes) held a 7.5% share (based on tonnes) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Switzerland (7.4%), Spain (6.6%), Canada (5.9%) and Colombia (5.1%). Mexico (10K tonnes) and France (7.7K tonnes) occupied a minor share of total exports.

In value terms, Germany ($480M) remains the largest decaffeinated coffee supplier worldwide, comprising 33% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Switzerland ($219M), with a 15% share of global exports. It was followed by France, with a 9.1% share.

In 2020, the average decaffeinated coffee export price amounted to $4,618 per tonne, picking up by +5.6% against the previous year. Prices varied noticeably by country of origin. The country with the highest price was France, while Viet Nam was amongst the lowest. In 2020, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France, while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

World’s Largest Importers of Decaffeinated Coffee

The U.S. remains the largest importing country with an import of about 101K tonnes, which accounted for 41% of total imports. In 2020, the U.S. reduced its purchases by -7.8% against the previous year. Germany was the largest supplier of decaffeinated coffee to the U.S. last year.

Spain (34K tonnes) ranks second in terms of the total imports with a 14% share, followed by the Netherlands (5.6%) and Switzerland (4.6%). France (11K tonnes), Italy (10K tonnes), the UK (9.5K tonnes), Canada (5.7K tonnes), Saudi Arabia (4.1K tonnes), Mexico (4K tonnes) and South Korea (3.9K tonnes) held a minor share of total imports.

In value terms, the U.S. ($411M) constitutes the largest market for imported decaffeinated coffee worldwide, comprising 33% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Spain ($121M), with a 9.8% share of global imports. It was followed by France, with a 7.7% share.

Source: IndexBox Platform

coffee

Global Coffee Market Enjoys Ongoing Growth Despite Pandemic

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Coffee (Green) – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

Coffee yield figures remained robust in 2020 and coffee bean exports increased, despite the disruption to supply chains caused by the Coronavirus restrictions. Home coffee consumption surged, thereby helping to offset the slump in sales following the closure of the HoReCa segment. Average prices remained growing gradually through to Q1 2021. 

Key Trends and Insights

Favorable weather conditions in 2020 enabled coffee bean crop figures to remain high. IndexBox estimates based on the USDA and International Coffee Organization (ICO) data indicate that global coffee production increased by +3.3% over the last year, reaching 10.5 million tonnes. According to ICO, Robusta coffee bean production fell by -2.8% year-on-year, while Arabica coffee bean output increased by +13.6%, amounting to 6.3 million tonnes and 4.2 million tonnes, respectively. Production slowed in Africa (-0.9% y-o-y) and Mexico and Central America (-0.1%), but South America indicated significant growth (+13.9% y-o-y).

Global coffee exports increased by 2.4% against the previous year, reaching 7.6 billion tonnes (IndexBox estimates). Brazil, recording a 2.5 million tonne shipments volume, continues to lead in terms of exports (IndexBox estimates).

Coffee prices, monitored by the International Coffee Organisation (ICO) Monthly Price Index, averaged 120.36 US cents/lb in March 2021, against 119.35 US cents/lb in February of this year. In 2020, average coffee prices fluctuated between 99.05-116.25 US cents/lb. Over the pandemic, prices grew gradually, and this trend persisted in Q1 2021.

In the medium term to 2030, market growth is forecast to continue, bringing the market volume to approx. 12.4 million tonnes, due to rising population and an increase in disposable income (IndexBox estimates). Should the pandemic wane in 2021, and HoReCa and tourism restrictions be removed, it would promote market growth.

Brazil to Dominate the Global Green Coffee Production and Export Market

Global green coffee production amounted to 10M tonnes in 2019, reducing by -4% in 2018. In general, production, however, saw a slight expansion. In value terms, green coffee production declined to $25.6B in 2019 estimated at export prices.

The countries with the highest volumes of green coffee production in 2019 were Brazil (3M tonnes), Viet Nam (1.7M tonnes) and Colombia (885K tonnes), together accounting for 55% of global production (IndexBox estimates).

From 2012 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of green coffee production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Colombia, while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2019, Brazil (2.2M tonnes), distantly followed by Viet Nam (1,388K tonnes), Colombia (681K tonnes) and Honduras (360K tonnes) were the major exporters of coffee (green), together committing 63% of total exports. The following exporters – Indonesia (318K tonnes), Ethiopia (237K tonnes), India (233K tonnes), Belgium (231K tonnes), Peru (222K tonnes), Germany (213K tonnes), Uganda (203K tonnes), Guatemala (191K tonnes) and Nicaragua (159K tonnes) – together made up 27% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Colombia, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Brazil ($4.6B), Colombia ($2.5B) and Viet Nam ($2.1B) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2019, with a combined 51% share of global exports.

Among the main exporting countries, Colombia saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced a decline in the exports figures.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

dalgona coffee

INTO THE DALGONA COFFEE TREND? MMM, THANKS TRADE.

Whipping up a Trade Trend

The “cloud coffee” phenomenon making the rounds on Instagram and TikTok is a prime example of how ingenious people leverage global trade to bring us ideas and products we never knew we needed, but that we now love.

I’m talking about dalgona coffee, sweet caffeinated happiness in a cup. It is made of equal parts instant coffee, sugar and hot water whipped together into a beautiful froth and then spooned on top of your favorite hot or cold milk. This delightful and photogenic confection is *everywhere* on social media.

In the spirit of inquiring into the global origins of the products we love, here’s what we found out.

Dalgona’s “Honeycomb Toffee” Origins

Dalgona coffee isn’t new, but owes its new popularity to Korean actor Jung Il-woo, who demonstrated how to make it on a television show. Dalgona, however, appeals to both older and younger generations because it harkens back to a street food candy from the 1970s and 80s called ppopyi in Korean, meaning honeycomb toffee. The shortcut version of dalgona coffee is meant to be the Millennial version of ppopyi.

Thanks to K-pop culture and social media, dalgona coffee has spread worldwide. As it goes viral globally, more cultures are laying claim to its origins. Macau, in southern China, is where Jung’s clip was filmed earlier this year. The owner of Hon Kee Café in Macau had been making the drink since the early 2000s.

Culture warriors in India and Pakistan claim it as well. There the drink goes by phenti hui coffee, “hand-beaten coffee,” and “Indian cappuccino.” Proud coffee drinkers in Greece claim dalgona derives from its “frappe” (sound familiar?). A form of dalgona can be found in Libya. Coffee aficionados in Cuba use espresso instead of instant coffee.

ppopyi candy
Image credit: KIMCHIMARI, Dalgona/Ppopgi – Korean Sponge Candy Street Food

We Can’t Make Our Dalgona Without Trade

But these countries aren’t the superstars of coffee trade, nor is the United States. Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Indonesia and Ethiopia are the world’s top producers of coffee. Coffee is mainly produced in developing countries located in the Bean Belt and exported to higher income countries (we see you Finland, top consumer of coffee in the world).

The sugar in dalgona coffee (at least outside the United States) is likely to come from one of the largest producers in the world – Brazil, India, China, Thailand or Pakistan. Both sugar and coffee involve tariffs and complicated supply chains that include giant multinational corporations and myriad smallholder farmers growing crops around the world. Yet somehow, they are both quotidian or everyday products that we don’t think deeply about when we buy them. We choose our coffees and sugars from the grocery aisles or coffee shops and move on with our lives.

So the next time you find social media inspiration for your next food craze, think about the global trade that underpins it. The world is a big place, and trade brings it right to our Instagram feeds.

Take the “dalgona coffee challenge” and find out how good trade tastes: video tutorial from Yummy:

Video thumbnail how to make dalgona coffee

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Brooke Tenison is an International Economist at the Department of Commerce. She was previously a Research Analyst at the International Monetary Fund, a Graduate Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center, and an Economic Fellow at New Markets Lab. She received her Master’s in Economics from George Mason University. Any opinions expressed are her own and are not representative of her current or former positions.

This article originally appeared on TradeVistas.org. Republished with permission.

decaffeinated coffee

The Growth of the EU Decaffeinated Coffee Market Lost its Momentum

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘EU – Decaffeinated Coffee (Not Roasted) – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

The revenue of the decaffeinated coffee market in the European Union amounted to $1.6B in 2018, going down by -2.5% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, decaffeinated coffee consumption continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

Consumption By Country in the EU

The countries with the highest volumes of decaffeinated coffee consumption in 2018 were the UK (59K tonnes), Germany (49K tonnes) and France (45K tonnes), with a combined 47% share of total consumption. These countries were followed by Spain, Poland, Belgium, the Netherlands, Sweden, Austria, Portugal, Italy and Finland, which together accounted for a further 42%.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of decaffeinated coffee consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Spain, while decaffeinated coffee consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the UK ($449M) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by France ($174M). It was followed by Germany.

The countries with the highest levels of decaffeinated coffee per capita consumption in 2018 were Belgium (1,201 kg per 1000 persons), Austria (1,159 kg per 1000 persons) and Sweden (1,133 kg per 1000 persons).

Production in the EU

In 2018, the amount of decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) produced in the European Union totaled 433K tonnes, flattening at the previous year. Overall, decaffeinated coffee production continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 5.5% against the previous year.

Production By Country in the EU

The country with the largest volume of decaffeinated coffee production was Germany (208K tonnes), accounting for 48% of total volume. Moreover, decaffeinated coffee production in Germany exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the UK (55K tonnes), fourfold. France (42K tonnes) ranked third in terms of total production with a 9.7% share.

In Germany, decaffeinated coffee production remained relatively stable over the period from 2007-2018. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the UK (+1.0% per year) and France (-0.4% per year).

Exports in the EU

In 2018, the exports of decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) in the European Union stood at 180K tonnes, going up by 3.1% against the previous year. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% from 2007 to 2018; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed over the period under review. Over the period under review, decaffeinated coffee exports reached their peak figure at 187K tonnes in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2018, exports remained at a lower figure. In value terms, decaffeinated coffee exports totaled $596M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.

Exports by Country

Germany dominates decaffeinated coffee exports structure, resulting at 161K tonnes, which was approx. 89% of total exports in 2018. It was distantly followed by Spain (15K tonnes), committing an 8.2% share of total exports.

Exports from Germany increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% from 2007 to 2018. At the same time, Spain emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the European Union, with a CAGR of +3.4% from 2007-2018. While the share of Germany (+13 p.p.) and Spain (+2.5 p.p.) increased significantly, the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Germany ($503M) remains the largest decaffeinated coffee supplier in the European Union, comprising 84% of total decaffeinated coffee exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Spain ($74M), with a 12% share of total exports.

Export Prices by Country

In 2018, the decaffeinated coffee export price in the European Union amounted to $3,303 per tonne. Overall, the decaffeinated coffee export price, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2018, the country with the highest price was Spain ($4,989 per tonne), while Germany amounted to $3,134 per tonne.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Spain.

Imports in the EU

The imports stood at 69K tonnes in 2018, rising by 12% against the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% from 2007 to 2018; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded over the period under review. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when imports increased by 13% year-to-year. The volume of imports peaked in 2018 and are likely to see steady growth in the immediate term. In value terms, decaffeinated coffee imports totaled $185M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.

Imports by Country

Spain represented the major importer of decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) imported in the European Union, with the volume of imports finishing at 31K tonnes, which was near 45% of total imports in 2018. The Netherlands (11,908 tonnes) took a 17% share (based on tonnes) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Italy (9.7%), the UK (6.8%) and Belgium (6.7%). The following importers – France (2,912 tonnes) and Portugal (2,540 tonnes) – each accounted for a 7.9% share of total imports.

Spain was also the fastest-growing in terms of the decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) imports, with a CAGR of +12.1% from 2007 to 2018. At the same time, the UK (+3.2%), Portugal (+2.0%) and France (+1.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. The Netherlands experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Italy (-1.4%) and Belgium (-4.1%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period.

In value terms, the largest decaffeinated coffee importing markets in the European Union were Spain ($59M), the Netherlands ($36M) and Italy ($22M), with a combined 63% share of total imports.

Import Prices by Country

In 2018, the decaffeinated coffee import price in the European Union amounted to $2,698 per tonne, waning by -11.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the decaffeinated coffee import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The import prices for decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) attained their peak level of $4,621 per tonne in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, the growth in terms of the import prices for decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2018, the country with the highest price was France ($4,154 per tonne), while Spain ($1,926 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

coffee and tea market U.S. Decaffeinated Coffee

U.S. Coffee And Tea Market Enjoys the Second Year of Solid Gains, Peaking At Almost $16B

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘U.S. Coffee And Tea Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2025’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

The revenue of the coffee and tea market in the U.S. amounted to $15.9B in 2018, picking up by 3.9% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% from 2013 to 2018; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded over the period under review. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015, with an increase of 13% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the coffee and tea market attained its maximum level in 2018, and is expected to retain its growth in the near future.

Coffee And Tea Production in the U.S.

In value terms, coffee and tea production totaled $14.5B in 2018. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% from 2013 to 2018; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015, when the output figure increased by 15% against the previous year. Coffee and tea production peaked in 2018, and is expected to retain its growth in the near future.

Exports from the U.S.

In 2018, approx. 9.6K tonnes of coffee and tea were exported from the U.S.; falling by -11.2% against the previous year. Overall, coffee and tea exports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. In value terms, coffee and tea exports stood at $50M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.

Exports by Country

China (936 tonnes), the United Arab Emirates (913 tonnes) and South Korea (870 tonnes) were the main destinations of coffee and tea exports from the U.S., together comprising 28% of total exports. Japan, Belgium, Singapore, the UK, the Philippines, Ireland, Belize, Latvia and the Netherlands lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 40%.

From 2013 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of exports, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Belgium (+107.1% per year), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Belgium ($8.4M), China ($4.3M) and South Korea ($4M) appeared to be the largest markets for coffee and tea exported from the U.S. worldwide, together accounting for 34% of total exports.

Export Prices by Country

In 2018, the average coffee and tea export price amounted to $5,190 per tonne, growing by 2.2% against the previous year. Over the period from 2013 to 2018, it increased at an average annual rate of +4.4%. Export prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest export price was Belgium ($14,823 per tonne), while the average price for exports to Japan ($3,408 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of export prices was recorded for supplies to Belgium, while the export prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports into the U.S.

In 2018, the amount of coffee and tea imported into the U.S. totaled 305K tonnes, going down by -4.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, coffee and tea imports continue to indicate a mild setback. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015, when imports increased by 1% against the previous year. Imports peaked at 330K tonnes in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2018, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure. In value terms, coffee and tea imports stood at $1.4B (IndexBox estimates) in 2018. Overall, coffee and tea imports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015, with an increase of 0.7% year-to-year. In that year, coffee and tea imports attained their peak of $1.5B. From 2016 to 2018, the growth of coffee and tea imports failed to regain its momentum.

Imports by Country

Argentina (51K tonnes), Germany (39K tonnes) and Brazil (32K tonnes) were the main suppliers of coffee and tea imports to the U.S., together accounting for 40% of total imports. Viet Nam, Colombia, China, India, Italy, Switzerland, Sri Lanka, Mexico and Indonesia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 43%.

From 2013 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of imports, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Switzerland, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Switzerland ($227M), Brazil ($158M) and Germany ($139M) were the largest coffee and tea suppliers to the U.S., with a combined 36% share of total imports.

Import Prices by Country

In 2018, the average coffee and tea import price amounted to $4,737 per tonne, going up by 3.2% against the previous year. Overall, the coffee and tea import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. There were significant differences in the average import prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2018, the country with the highest import price was Switzerland ($19,925 per tonne), while the price for Argentina ($1,353 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of import prices was attained by Switzerland, while the import prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Companies Mentioned in the Report

Peet’s Coffee & Tea, Community Coffee Company, Royal Cup, Reily Foods Company, S. & D. Coffee, R.C. Bigelow, Boyd Coffee Company, Keurig Green Mountain, New England Partnership, Imperial, Atlantic Coffee Industrial Solutions, Farmer Bros. Co., F. Gavina & Sons, Coffee Holding Co., Tc Global, The Folger Coffee Company, Celestial Seasonings, East West Tea Company, Millstone Coffee, Jbr, Wm. B. Reily & Company, Tetley US Holdings, CCC Holding, Hie Holdings, Twinlab Corporation, Refreshment Product Services, Inter American Products

Source: IndexBox AI Platform