IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Cherries – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.
The global cherry market revenue amounted to $12.3B in 2018, increasing by 11% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price).
The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the period from 2007 to 2018; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016, when the market value increased by 18% against the previous year. Global cherry consumption peaked in 2018, and is expected to retain its growth in the immediate term.
Production 2007-2018
In 2018, the amount of cherries produced worldwide stood at 3.9M tonnes, going up by 4.2% against the previous year. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% from 2007 to 2018; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years.
Exports 2007-2018
In 2018, the global cherry exports amounted to 558K tonnes, declining by -3.2% against the previous year. In general, cherry exports, however, continue to indicate a strong expansion. In value terms, cherry exports stood at $2.1B (IndexBox estimates) in 2018. Over the period under review, cherry exports, however, continue to indicate a strong expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016, with an increase of 53% against the previous year. In that year, global cherry exports attained their peak of $2.8B. From 2017 to 2018, the growth of global cherry exports remained at a lower figure.
Exports by Country
In 2018, Chile (146K tonnes), distantly followed by the U.S. (87K tonnes), Turkey (60K tonnes), Uzbekistan (36K tonnes) and Spain (31K tonnes) represented the main exporters of cherries, together constituting 64% of total exports. Azerbaijan (24K tonnes), Greece (21K tonnes), Australia (19K tonnes), Moldova (15K tonnes), Italy (13K tonnes), Serbia (13K tonnes) and Poland (11K tonnes) followed a long way behind the leaders.
From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of exports, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Australia, while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest cherry markets worldwide were Chile ($760M), the U.S. ($522M) and Turkey ($166M), with a combined 70% share of global exports. These countries were followed by Spain, Uzbekistan, Australia, Italy, Greece, Azerbaijan, Moldova, Serbia and Poland, which together accounted for a further 19%.
Export Prices by Country
In 2018, the average cherry export price amounted to $3,691 per tonne, lowering by -8% against the previous year. Over the period from 2007 to 2018, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.4%. There were significant differences in the average export prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2018, the country with the highest export price was the U.S. ($5,986 per tonne), while Poland ($910 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.
From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of export prices was attained by Moldova, while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Imports 2007-2018
In 2018, approx. 789K tonnes of cherries were imported worldwide; increasing by 30% against the previous year. Over the period under review, cherry imports continue to indicate a strong increase. In value terms, cherry imports amounted to $3.4B (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.
Imports by Country
China represented the key importing country with an import of around 324K tonnes, which resulted at 41% of total imports. Russia (92K tonnes) held a 12% share (based on tonnes) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by China, Hong Kong SAR (11%) and Germany (5.9%). The following importers – Canada (28K tonnes), Kazakhstan (25K tonnes), South Korea (19K tonnes), Belarus (14K tonnes), Taiwan, Chinese (14K tonnes) and the U.S. (13K tonnes) – together made up 14% of total imports.
From 2007 to 2018, average annual rates of growth with regard to cherry imports into China stood at +49.3%. At the same time, Kazakhstan (+91.7%), Belarus (+29.9%), China, Hong Kong SAR (+23.6%), South Korea (+14.7%), Russia (+3.7%) and Taiwan, Chinese (+2.1%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Kazakhstan emerged as the fastest growing importer in the world, with a CAGR of +91.7% from 2007-2018. Germany and Canada experienced a relatively flat trend pattern.
By contrast, the U.S. (-1.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Belarus (-1.7%), South Korea (-1.9%), Kazakhstan (-3.2%), Russia (-3.8%), China, Hong Kong SAR (-9.5%) and China (-40.6%) significantly weakened its position in terms of the global imports, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.
In value terms, China ($1.8B) constitutes the largest market for imported cherries worldwide, comprising 52% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by China, Hong Kong SAR ($409M), with a 12% share of global imports. It was followed by South Korea, with a 4.6% share.
Import Prices by Country
In 2018, the average cherry import price amounted to $4,298 per tonne, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. Over the last eleven year period, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.5%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016, when the average import price increased by 20% year-to-year. In that year, the average import prices for cherries attained their peak level of $4,492 per tonne. From 2017 to 2018, the growth in terms of the average import prices for cherries failed to regain its momentum.
Import prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest import price was South Korea ($8,002 per tonne), while Russia ($1,345 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.
From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of import prices was attained by Taiwan, Chinese, while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Source: IndexBox AI Platform
