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Chicken Meat Price in the U.S. Stabilizes near $1,470 per Ton, Remaining Stable in August

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Chicken Meat Price in the U.S. Stabilizes near $1,470 per Ton, Remaining Stable in August

U.S. Chicken Meat Export Price per Ton August 2022

In August 2022, the chicken meat price per ton amounted to $1,471, remaining constant against the previous month. Over the period from January 2022 to August 2022, it increased at an average monthly rate of +2.1%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in June 2022 an increase of 18% m-o-m. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $1,507 per ton; afterwards, it flattened through to August 2022.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major foreign markets. In August 2022, the country with the highest price was Canada ($3.3 per kg), while the average price for exports to Georgia ($1 per kg) was amongst the lowest.

From January 2022 to August 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Taiwan (Chinese) (+4.8%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

U.S. Chicken Meat Export Prices by Type

Average prices varied somewhat for the major types of exported product. In August 2022, the highest price was recorded for prices to frozen whole chickens ($2 per kg) and fresh or chilled whole chickens ($1.9 per kg), while the average price for exports of frozen cuts of chicken ($1.4 per kg) and fresh or chilled cuts of chicken ($1.6 per kg) were amongst the lowest.

From January 2022 to August 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for the following types: frozen whole chicken (+12.0%), while the prices for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

U.S. Chicken Meat Exports

In August 2022, overseas shipments of chicken meat were finally on the rise to reach 308K tons for the first time since May 2022, thus ending a two-month declining trend. The total export volume increased at an average monthly rate of +1.3% from January 2022 to August 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain months. The growth pace was the most rapid in February 2022 with an increase of 13% m-o-m. The exports peaked at 338K tons in May 2022; however, from June 2022 to August 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, chicken meat exports rose notably to $453M (IndexBox estimates) in August 2022. The total export value increased at an average monthly rate of +3.3% over the period from January 2022 to August 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain months. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in June 2022 with an increase of 10% month-to-month. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $477M. From July 2022 to August 2022, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

U.S. Chicken Meat Exports by Type

Frozen cuts of chicken (251K tons) was the largest type of chicken meat exported from the United States, accounting for a 82% share of total exports. Moreover, frozen cuts of chicken exceeded the volume of the second product type, fresh or chilled cuts of chicken (55K tons), fivefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by frozen whole chickens (1.6K tons), with a 0.5% share.

From January 2022 to August 2022, the average monthly rate of growth in terms of the volume of export of frozen cuts of chicken stood at +1.4%. With regard to the other exported products, the following average monthly rates of growth were recorded: fresh or chilled cuts of chicken (+2.2% per month) and frozen whole chickens (-17.3% per month).

In value terms, frozen cuts of chicken ($364M) remains the largest type of chicken meat exported from the United States, comprising 80% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by fresh or chilled cuts of chicken ($85M), with a 19% share of total exports. It was followed by frozen whole chickens, with a 0.7% share.

From January 2022 to August 2022, the average monthly rate of growth in terms of the export volume of frozen cuts of chicken amounted to +3.3%. With regard to the other exported products, the following average monthly rates of growth were recorded: fresh or chilled cuts of chicken (+4.1% per month) and frozen whole chickens (-7.4% per month).

U.S. Chicken Meat Exports by Country

China (62K tons), Mexico (57K tons) and Cuba (21K tons) were the main destinations of chicken meat exports from the United States, together accounting for 45% of total exports. These countries were followed by the Philippines, Vietnam, Taiwan (Chinese), Angola, Canada, Guatemala, Georgia, Congo, Haiti and Colombia, which together accounted for a further 35%.

From January 2022 to August 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Vietnam (with a CAGR of +20.9%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest markets for the meat exported from the United States were China ($106M), Mexico ($65M) and Canada ($42M), with a combined 47% share of total exports. Cuba, the Philippines, Taiwan (Chinese), Angola, Vietnam, Guatemala, Congo, Georgia, Colombia and Haiti lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 33%.

Vietnam, with a CAGR of +24.6%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, in terms of the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: https://www.indexbox.io/blog/chicken-meat-price-per-ton-august-2022/

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Chicken Meat Prices Skyrocket Due to Restored Demand in the HoReCa, a Flash of the Bird Flu and Increasing Costs for Grains

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Chicken Meat – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

Since the start of 2021, prices in the global chicken meat market shot up as a result of high demand, rising costs for feed grain and food as well as a decreasing rate of chicken slaughter in the EU, South Korea and Japan. Heightened costs for shipping containers are additionally driving the growth in export prices. As of year-end 2021, worldwide production and exports of chicken meat are forecast to remain at the previous year’s level. Demand for chicken meat in China is dropping while the pig population in the country is recovering and hog prices are decreasing. Saudi Arabia’s ban on imports of chicken products from Brazil may lead to diminished exports from that country.


 

Key Trends and Insights

All around the world this year, prices for chicken meat are growing at a fast pace. According to FAO, export prices for chicken cuts and edible offal from the U.S. spiked from $977 per ton in January 2021 to $1138 per ton in June 2021. The price for broiler meat in the EU during the 29th week of 2021 was at 204.5 euros for 100kg or 10% higher than the same period of the previous year. The price increase is caused by demand growth from the HoReCa sector and retail in western countries, particularly the U.S., high costs for poultry feed and a slow production pace in the EU following a flash of the bird flu. Rising rates for shipping containers is also adding to the increased export prices.

Based on USDA figures, IndexBox calculates that at year-end 2021 chicken meat production globally will remain at 123M tonnes, the same level as the previous year. Falling demand for chicken meat in China is the main factor holding back production growth. China is intensively recovering its hog population after widespread disease led to a major decline in numbers. As a result, prices for swine are decreasing and boosting pork consumption. The high cost for feed grain and lingering impacts of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in the EU, South Korea and Japan are also hindering expansion in the poultry industry.

In 2021, chicken meat exports globally will remain at the previous year’s levels. Drops in meat shipments from the EU and Brazil will be offset by an increase in supply from the U.S. and China. The U.S. is the second world’s largest exporter of chicken meat with a 24% market share of global exports. The country will ramp up deliveries by +1% y-o-y to 3.5M tonnes. Chinese exports are projected to grow by 10% y-o-y to 176K tonnes.

Chicken meat exports from Brazil, the largest supplier in the world, will decrease by 3% y-o-y to 3.7M tonnes as a consequence of Saudia Arabia’s ban on imports going into effect in May 2021. The ban specifically focuses on 11 poultry processing plants in Brazil. Saudia Arabia is one of the largest importers of Brazilian chicken meat, but this year, the country will aggressively develop its domestic production and offset the drop in imports from Brazil with shipments from China, Cuba and Angola.

Global Chicken Meat Production by Country

In 2020, the amount of chicken meat produced worldwide rose by +4% to 123M tonnes, growing compared with 2019. In value terms, chicken meat production reached $192.4B in 2020 estimated in export prices.

The countries with the highest volumes of chicken meat production in 2020 were the U.S. (20M tonnes), China (15M tonnes) and Brazil (14M tonnes), together comprising 40% of global production. These countries were followed by Russia, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Japan, Iran, Argentina, Poland, Turkey and Peru, which together accounted for a further 25%.

Global Chicken Meat Exports by Country

In 2020, the amount of chicken meat exported worldwide rose slightly to 15M tonnes, growing by +3.9% compared with the previous year’s figure. In value terms, chicken meat exports contracted slightly to $21.6B (IndexBox estimates) in 2020.

Brazil (3.9M tonnes) and the U.S. (3.5M tonnes) represented roughly 49% of total exports of chicken meat in 2020. It was distantly followed by the Netherlands (1.4M tonnes) and Poland (1.2M tonnes), together creating a 17% share of total exports. The following exporters – Turkey (516K tonnes), Belgium (439K tonnes), Ukraine (430K tonnes), the UK (427K tonnes), Thailand (341K tonnes), Germany (295K tonnes) and France (228K tonnes) – together made up 18% of total exports.

In 2020, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Turkey (+68.0% per year), while exports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest chicken meat supplying countries worldwide were Brazil ($5.5B), the U.S. ($3.4B) and the Netherlands ($2.5B), together accounting for 53% of global exports. These countries were followed by Poland, Thailand, Belgium, Ukraine, Germany, Turkey, France and the UK, which together accounted for a further 28%.

The average chicken meat export price stood at $1,451 per tonne in 2020, declining by -8.3% against the previous year. In 2020, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the U.S., while the other global leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform