Global Canned Meat Market Grows For the Fourth Consecutive Year - Global Trade Magazine
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  June 25th, 2020 | Written by

Global Canned Meat Market Grows For the Fourth Consecutive Year

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  • The average canned meat import price stood at $4,294 per tonne in 2019.
  • In 2019, approx. 3.9M tonnes of canned meat were exported worldwide.

IndexBox has just published a new report: ‘World – Canned Meat – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights’. Here is a summary of the report’s key findings.

In 2019, the global canned meat market increased by 2.9% to $245.5B, rising for the fourth year in a row after two years of decline. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% over the period from 2007 to 2019; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2008 with an increase of 13% against the previous year. Global consumption peaked in 2019 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

Consumption By Country

China (10M tonnes) constituted the country with the largest volume of canned meat consumption, comprising approx. 18% of total volume. Moreover, canned meat consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (3.8M tonnes), threefold. The third position in this ranking was occupied by Russia (2.1M tonnes), with a 3.6% share.

In China, canned meat consumption increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the period from 2007-2019. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+2.7% per year) and Russia (+1.7% per year).

In value terms, China ($45.8B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by India ($16.7B). It was followed by Japan.

The countries with the highest levels of canned meat per capita consumption in 2019 were the UK (18 kg per person), Japan (16 kg per person) and Germany (15 kg per person).

Market Forecast 2019-2030

Driven by increasing demand for canned meat worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.2% for the period from 2019 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 58M tonnes by the end of 2030.

Production 2007-2019

For the fifth consecutive year, the global market recorded growth in production of canned meat, which increased by 1.6% to 57M tonnes in 2019. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2007 to 2019; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 3.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs in 2019 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, canned meat production rose modestly to $1,808.7B in 2019 estimated in export prices. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% from 2007 to 2019; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period.

Production By Country

China (11M tonnes) remains the largest canned meat producing country worldwide, comprising approx. 19% of total volume. Moreover, canned meat production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (3.8M tonnes), threefold. Russia (2.1M tonnes) ranked third in terms of total production with a 3.6% share.

From 2007 to 2019, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China totaled +1.0%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (+2.7% per year) and Russia (+1.8% per year).

Exports 2007-2019

In 2019, approx. 3.9M tonnes of canned meat were exported worldwide; standing approx. at the year before. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the period from 2007 to 2019; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2011 when exports increased by 8.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global exports hit record highs in 2019 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, canned meat exports rose modestly to $16.9B (IndexBox estimates) in 2019. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% from 2007 to 2019; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period.

Exports by Country

Thailand (632K tonnes), China (432K tonnes), Germany (358K tonnes), Poland (275K tonnes), the U.S. (272K tonnes), the Netherlands (236K tonnes), Brazil (217K tonnes), Belgium (149K tonnes), Ireland (145K tonnes), Denmark (144K tonnes) and France (139K tonnes) represented roughly 76% of total exports of canned meat in 2019. Italy (78K tonnes) held a relatively small share of total exports.

From 2007 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Poland, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Thailand ($2.9B), China ($1.9B) and Germany ($1.7B) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2019, together accounting for 38% of global exports. These countries were followed by the U.S., Poland, the Netherlands, Brazil, Ireland, Belgium, France, Denmark and Italy, which together accounted for a further 42%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2019, the average canned meat export price amounted to $4,278 per tonne, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. Over the period from 2007 to 2019, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.2%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2008 when the average export price increased by 12% year-to-year. Global export price peaked at $4,550 per tonne in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2019, export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of origin; the country with the highest price was Ireland ($5,652 per tonne), while Poland ($3,607 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China, while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports 2007-2019

In 2019, purchases abroad of canned meat decreased by -0.4% to 3.8M tonnes for the first time since 2015, thus ending a three-year rising trend. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the period from 2007 to 2019; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2011 with an increase of 12% y-o-y. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 3.8M tonnes in 2018, and then dropped in the following year.

In value terms, canned meat imports declined to $16.3B (IndexBox estimates) in 2019. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the period from 2007 to 2019; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period.

Imports by Country

Japan (723K tonnes) and the UK (584K tonnes) represented roughly 34% of total imports of canned meat in 2019. Germany (235K tonnes) occupied the next position in the ranking, followed by the Netherlands (192K tonnes) and China, Hong Kong SAR (181K tonnes). All these countries together held near 16% share of total imports. The following importers – France (153K tonnes), the U.S. (146K tonnes), Canada (128K tonnes), Belgium (104K tonnes), Ireland (102K tonnes), Denmark (77K tonnes) and Sweden (57K tonnes) – together made up 20% of total imports.

From 2007 to 2019, the biggest increases were in China, Hong Kong SAR, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Japan ($3.2B), the UK ($2.5B) and Germany ($1.1B) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2019, with a combined 41% share of global imports. The U.S., the Netherlands, France, Canada, China, Hong Kong SAR, Belgium, Ireland, Denmark and Sweden lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 32%.

In terms of the main importing countries, China, Hong Kong SAR recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average canned meat import price stood at $4,294 per tonne in 2019, flattening at the previous year. Over the period from 2007 to 2019, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.0%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2008 when the average import price increased by 12% y-o-y. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the peak figure at $4,656 per tonne in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2019, import prices failed to regain the momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest price was the U.S. ($6,862 per tonne), while China, Hong Kong SAR ($3,121 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the U.S., while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform