Chinese provinces are experiencing sharply divergent impacts on their exports to the United States, with some recording steep declines while others see shipments surge by as much as 265%, according to a report from CIB Research. Data from the IndexBox platform corroborates the overall trend, showing China’s exports to the US fell 15.5% year-on-year in the first eight months of 2025.

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The trade effects are highly uneven across the country’s more than 30 provincial-level regions. Six eastern coastal hubs—Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Shandong, and Fujian—collectively accounted for nearly 80% of the total value of China’s exports to the US for the first seven months of the year, making them particularly exposed to the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump’s administration.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform